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Championship · Matchweek 18
West Bromwich AlbionWBA
3–2
FT
Swansea CitySwansea City

Momentum

– WBASwansea City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
18

Venue

Stadium
The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Capacity
26,445
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,200

Teams

Coaches
Ryan Mason · Vítor Matos
Position
17 · 21
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Tom Nield

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
4.0° (feels 2.6°)
Wind
1.7
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 213

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

West Bromwich Albion

DLWLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 7.16–6.38 · xPts 7.62

  • D H Birmingham City 1–1 xG 1.08–1.17 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 2–3 xG 1.59–2.84 UK CHAMP
  • W H Oxford United 2–1 xG 2.21–0.79 UK CHAMP
  • L A Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 0.95–1.22 UK CHAMP
  • D H Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 xG 1.33–0.35 UK CHAMP

Swansea City

DLLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 12 · xG 4.43–6.24 · xPts 5.51

  • L H Derby County 1–2 xG 0.91–1.11 UK CHAMP
  • L A Bristol City 0–3 xG 1.12–1.96 UK CHAMP
  • L H Ipswich Town 1–4 xG 0.59–1.15 UK CHAMP
  • L A Preston North End 1–2 xG 1.0–0.6 UK CHAMP
  • D A Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 0.81–1.43 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 31 matches since 2009

West Bromwich Albion 115 draws15 Swansea City

Goals 41–44 · 2.74 per match · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 55%

Last 10 · 10 matches

West Bromwich Albion 32 draws5 Swansea City

Goals 14–17 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

West Bromwich Albion 22 draws1 Swansea City

Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Swansea City 2–2 West Bromwich Albion pens None–None UK FA Cup · Round 3
  • L Swansea City 1–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 3–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 1–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 1–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 1–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 3–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 3–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 2–3 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 0–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWest Bromwich Albion all · 46West Bromwich Albion at home · 23Swansea City all · 46Swansea City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.151.481.391.09
W / D / L13 / 14 / 198 / 10 / 518 / 10 / 187 / 4 / 12
Goals for / match1.041.221.241.00
Goals against / match1.261.091.281.39
Clean sheets30%35%26%22%
Failed to score33%30%22%35%
Both teams scored50%52%54%48%
Over 2.546%44%50%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.441.671.221.10
xG against / match1.050.781.371.37
xG difference0.390.89-0.15-0.27
Finishing vs xG-0.40-0.450.02-0.10
xPts / match1.621.951.281.19
Points vs xPts-0.47-0.480.12-0.11
Game state
Scored first41%52%48%35%
PPG when scoring first2.052.002.362.38
PPG when conceding first0.380.860.480.36
Came back from behind17%29%28%20%
Leads held62%57%72%78%
Minutes leading25%32%25%22%
Minutes level50%52%48%47%
Minutes trailing25%16%27%31%
First goal (min)42384643
First goal conceded (min)45504042
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%54%65%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%64%52%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.170.350.26
Late goals against0.260.300.300.30
Style
Possession52%54%55%54%
Shots13.415.212.311.0
On target4.14.73.94.0
Shot conversion8%8%10%9%
Shots inside box65%63%58%56%
Big chances created2.12.41.71.8
Corners5.26.14.54.0
xG from set plays36%41%36%36%
Goals from headers26%22%13%9%
Pressure index13.416.312.810.5
Dominant minutes52.957.351.945.9
Pass accuracy80%81%79%79%
Fouls10.210.19.810.6
Cards1.831.612.002.09

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'66
16–30'89
31–45'912
46–60'511
61–75'88
76–90'1212

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level -0.22

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.251.171.291.480.98
4-4-217 37%1.291.00.821.521.08
3-4-2-13 6%0.00.03.00.861.62
5-4-12 4%0.51.52.01.180.75

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-5-11 2%1.02.02.02.283.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.8Home 53% P 52%3.5Draw 27% P 27%4.75Away 20% P 21%

Double Chance

1.18West Brom or Draw 40% P 40%1.28West Brom or Swansea 37% P 36%2.0Draw or Swansea 23% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.281 73%3.52 27%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46% P 49%1.72No 54% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 56%1.9Under 49% P 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home52%51%55%+3.6
Draw27%27%26%-1.4
Away21%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Tom Nield

Career
79 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.86 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 62 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.114.05+0.1057
Fouls / match23.321.8+1.27
Fouls per card5.85.4+0.29 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.140.17-0.4720
Time added7.67.2+0.4463
First card
37' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-25 20 260 31'10
2025-11-08 40 200 62'11
2025-11-01 10 210 23'7
2025-10-18 50 250 18'4
2025-09-27 60 250 8'8
2025-09-13 20 280 7'7
2025-08-23 60 370 12'6
2025-08-16 90 270 27'10
2025-04-12 10 310 88'2
2025-04-05 · West Bromwich Albion 50 290 59'13