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Championship · Matchweek 18
WrexhamWrexham
1–1
FT
Blackburn RoversBBR

Momentum

– WrexhamBBR –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
18

Venue

Stadium
Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground
Capacity
10,771
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,643

Teams

Coaches
Phil Parkinson · Valérien Ismaël
Position
10 · 18
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Tom Reeves

Weather

Conditions
drizzle
Temperature
4.5° (feels 1.5°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Wrexham

WDWDW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 2 · xG 5.36–6.35 · xPts 5.85

  • W H Bristol City 2–0 xG 0.87–1.14 UK CHAMP
  • D A Ipswich Town 0–0 xG 0.06–1.52 UK CHAMP
  • W H Charlton Athletic 1–0 xG 2.54–0.41 UK CHAMP
  • D A Portsmouth 0–0 xG 0.54–1.81 UK CHAMP
  • W H Coventry City 3–2 xG 1.35–1.48 UK CHAMP

Blackburn Rovers

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 6.55–6.26 · xPts 7.2

  • L H Queens Park Rangers 0–1 xG 0.9–1.41 UK CHAMP
  • W A Preston North End 2–1 xG 1.4–2.18 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 1–2 xG 1.15–0.79 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 1–0 xG 1.37–0.58 UK CHAMP
  • W A Leicester City 2–0 xG 1.73–1.3 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 3 matches since 2024

Wrexham 11 draws1 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 4–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Wrexham 11 draws1 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 4–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Wrexham 11 draws1 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 4–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • W Blackburn Rovers 0–2 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Wrexham 1–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 4–1 Wrexham UK FA Cup · 4th Round
MetricWrexham all · 46Wrexham at home · 23Blackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.541.611.131.35
W / D / L19 / 14 / 1310 / 7 / 613 / 13 / 209 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.501.780.911.00
Goals against / match1.411.611.221.26
Clean sheets26%22%26%30%
Failed to score13%4%35%39%
Both teams scored65%74%48%39%
Over 2.550%56%39%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.541.201.13
xG against / match1.481.281.301.45
xG difference-0.260.26-0.10-0.31
Finishing vs xG0.280.24-0.28-0.13
xPts / match1.221.541.321.19
Points vs xPts0.320.07-0.190.16
Game state
Scored first52%56%46%52%
PPG when scoring first2.082.231.762.17
PPG when conceding first0.950.800.520.33
Came back from behind46%50%26%9%
Leads held63%62%56%69%
Minutes leading31%30%21%28%
Minutes level46%43%55%48%
Minutes trailing23%26%24%24%
First goal (min)37384436
First goal conceded (min)40374944
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%49%48%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%51%59%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.480.220.09
Late goals against0.410.350.390.35
Style
Possession48%51%48%47%
Shots11.314.111.511.4
On target3.84.83.23.1
Shot conversion13%13%8%9%
Shots inside box66%68%67%66%
Big chances created2.32.82.02.2
Corners4.55.25.34.9
xG from set plays32%36%27%24%
Goals from headers29%38%27%27%
Pressure index10.113.110.19.4
Dominant minutes41.951.344.643.4
Pass accuracy78%80%74%75%
Fouls9.78.810.511.3
Cards1.591.262.172.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
5-3-21 2%3.01.00.01.330.18

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 43%3.4Draw 28% P 29%3.25Away 29% P 29%

Double Chance

1.33Wrexham or Draw 35% P 36%1.3Wrexham or Blackburn 36% P 36%1.66Draw or Blackburn 28% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 52%1.9No 49% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 49%1.83Under 50% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%43%-0.3
Draw29%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Tom Reeves

Career
26 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.04 (3.0 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
18.8 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
56%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 10 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.05-0.2841
Fouls / match21.221.8-0.61
Fouls per card5.45.4-0.17 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.17+0.3069
Time added8.17.2+1.0286
First card
36' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 42% in last 15'
Cards to home side
56% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-25 10 180 89'8
2025-10-18 31 210 7'9
2025-01-10 30 180 63'7
2024-11-30 30 290 33'1