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Championship · Matchweek 19
Bristol CityBristol City
0–1
FT
MillwallMillwall

Momentum

– Bristol CityMillwall –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
19

Venue

Stadium
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Capacity
27,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,587

Teams

Coaches
Gerhard Struber · Alex Neil
Position
6 · 3
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Edward Duckworth

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
10.5° (feels 9.9°)
Wind
8.8
Humidity
89%

Where to watch · 187

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Bristol City

LDWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 6.05–6.16 · xPts 6.6

  • W A Portsmouth 1–0 xG 1.74–1.72 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 0–2 xG 1.14–0.87 UK CHAMP
  • W H Swansea City 3–0 xG 1.96–1.12 UK CHAMP
  • D A Watford 1–1 xG 0.63–1.08 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 0–1 xG 0.58–1.37 UK CHAMP

Millwall

LDLWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 8.34–6.07 · xPts 7.73

  • W H Southampton 3–2 xG 2.35–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 xG 3.54–0.72 UK CHAMP
  • L A Portsmouth 1–3 xG 0.76–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • D H Preston North End 1–1 xG 1.53–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 0–4 xG 0.16–1.69 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 26 matches since 2010

Bristol City 86 draws12 Millwall

Goals 26–34 · 2.31 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 42%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bristol City 41 draws5 Millwall

Goals 12–13 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bristol City 20 draws3 Millwall

Goals 7–8 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Bristol City 0–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 2–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 0–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 0–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 4–3 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 0–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 0–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Millwall 0–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 1–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 3–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBristol City all · 46Bristol City at home · 23Millwall all · 48Millwall away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.351.351.751.75
W / D / L17 / 11 / 189 / 4 / 1024 / 12 / 1211 / 9 / 4
Goals for / match1.281.431.331.29
Goals against / match1.281.351.061.00
Clean sheets30%35%40%33%
Failed to score33%30%21%21%
Both teams scored46%39%48%58%
Over 2.546%48%46%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.211.501.38
xG against / match1.481.491.331.51
xG difference-0.29-0.280.18-0.13
Finishing vs xG0.100.22-0.17-0.08
xPts / match1.201.211.471.30
Points vs xPts0.150.130.280.45
Game state
Scored first39%44%52%46%
PPG when scoring first2.332.202.602.64
PPG when conceding first0.670.670.791.00
Came back from behind31%29%43%60%
Leads held77%75%86%85%
Minutes leading30%33%27%20%
Minutes level41%38%56%61%
Minutes trailing29%29%17%18%
First goal (min)32284451
First goal conceded (min)30314342
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half46%52%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%48%67%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.350.350.38
Late goals against0.240.300.350.25
Style
Possession49%52%48%46%
Shots12.212.712.912.3
On target4.14.04.23.8
Shot conversion10%11%10%10%
Shots inside box60%59%68%65%
Big chances created1.92.02.32.2
Corners4.84.75.75.2
xG from set plays24%20%33%30%
Goals from headers21%21%16%13%
Pressure index11.914.511.99.1
Dominant minutes43.948.944.439.2
Pass accuracy78%80%70%69%
Fouls9.58.812.614.4
Cards1.831.651.902.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
5-3-21 2%1.01.01.00.411.82

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 47%3.5Draw 27% P 28%3.5Away 27% P 26%

Double Chance

1.28Bristol City or Draw 36% P 37%1.28Bristol City or Millwall 36% P 36%1.72Draw or Millwall 27% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 51%1.83No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 47%1.72Under 55% P 53%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 51%1.83Under 50% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home47%46%44%-1.8
Draw28%28%30%+1.8
Away26%26%26%+0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Edward Duckworth

Career
16 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.19 (4.0 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
19.3 · 3.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 8 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.25 cards, 20.2 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-08 80 270 24'6
2025-11-05 40 170 17'8
2025-10-04 · Bristol City 60 170 29'7