Rating 7.0 (90th pct) · G+A 1 + 8 (13% of team goals) · 71% of minutes
Team 1.72 ppg with (32) · 1.0 without (14)
Championship · Matchweek 19
Momentum
– Derby CountyLEI –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Derby County | at home | Stat | league | away | Leicester City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.4 #22 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 51.9 #9 |
| 11.0 #22 | – | Shots total | 12.6 | – | 12.9 #10 |
| 3.5 #20 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 4.2 #9 |
| 4.5 #17 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 5.3 #12 |
| 12.3 #2 | – | Fouls | 10.7 | – | 10.8 #10 |
| 1.5 #21 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.5 #22 |
| 14.7 #16 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.9 #7 |
| 89.2 #21 | – | Attacks | 94.9 | – | 95.5 #12 |
| 42.5 #15 | – | Dangerous attacks | 45.2 | – | 44.1 #11 |
| 336.6 #22 | – | Passes | 400.9 | – | 428.0 #8 |
| 2.5 #2 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.9 #14 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| 0.9 #9 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 0.9 #9 |
| – #3 | – | Btts | 56.5 | – | – #1 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 24.9 | – | – #23 |
| – #22 | – | Draw | 26.6 | – | – #1 |
| 1.2 #16 | – | Expected goals | 1.4 | – | 1.3 #13 |
| 0.2 #2 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.0 #11 |
| – #24 | – | Failed to score | 25.0 | – | – #17 |
| 1.5 #7 | 1.4 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 #13 |
| 1.3 #10 | 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.5 #3 |
| 0.1 #24 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #15 |
| 9.4 #7 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 8.6 #16 |
| – #14 | – | Lost | 36.8 | – | – #11 |
| 0.1 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #8 |
| 6.8 #14 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #17 |
| 3.2 #22 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.8 #12 |
| 7.6 #15 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.2 | – | 7.6 #14 |
| 4.2 #20 | – | Shots off target | 4.7 | – | 5.0 #9 |
| 3.3 #23 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 5.3 #4 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 36.6 | – | – #22 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 557 of 558
- Goals / match
- 2.59 (home 1.39 · away 1.2)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 27% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 50%
- Cards / match
- 3.99 (reds 0.06)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Derby County · 2025/2026 · Championship
Rating 7.04 (94th pct) · G+A 12 + 2 (21% of team goals) · 51% of minutes
Team 1.46 ppg with (24) · 1.55 without (22)
Rating 6.68 (20th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (9% of team goals) · 71% of minutes
Team 1.67 ppg with (33) · 1.08 without (13)
Leicester City
No ranked players yet.
Absences
Derby County
- injury Carlton Morris #2 key player attacker · Leg Injury · 16 missed · until 2026-02-11
- injury David Ozoh #10 key player midfielder · Thigh Problems · 11 missed · until 2026-01-09
- injury Lewis Travis #9 key player midfielder · Calf Injury · 13 missed · until 2025-12-27
- injury Max Johnston #12 key player defender · Hamstring Injury · 10 missed · until 2026-04-02
- injury Owen Beck defender · Hamstring Injury · 12 missed
Leicester City
- injury Harry Souttar defender · Achilles tendon rupture · 48 missed · until 2026-04-07
- suspension Harry Winks midfielder · Suspended · 62 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 19
Venue
- Stadium
- Pride Park Stadium, Derby
- Capacity
- 33,597
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 30,784
Teams
- Coaches
- John Eustace · Martí Cifuentes Corvillo
- Position
- 11 · 16
- Formation
- 4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Joshua Smith
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 11.2° (feels 10.6°)
- Wind
- 7.7
- Humidity
- 87%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry City |
46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97 | 45 | 52 | 95 | DDWWW |
| 2 |  Ipswich Town |
46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 84 | DWDDW |
| 3 |  Millwall |
46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64 | 49 | 15 | 83 | DWWDW |
| 4 |  Southampton |
46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82 | 56 | 26 | 80 | WWDDW |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough |
46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72 | 47 | 25 | 80 | LDWWD |
| 6 |  Hull City |
46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70 | 66 | 4 | 73 | LDDLW |
| 7 |  Wrexham |
46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 | LWWLD |
| 8 |  Derby County |
46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67 | 59 | 8 | 69 | LWLWL |
| 9 |  Norwich City |
46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 65 | LWWDL |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 64 | WDWWD |
| 11 |  Swansea City |
46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57 | 59 | -2 | 64 | WLWDW |
| 12 |  Bristol City |
46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 62 | DLDLW |
| 13 |  Sheffield United |
46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 60 | WWLLW |
| 14 |  Preston North End |
46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 60 | WLLWL |
| 15 |  Queens Park Rangers |
46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 58 | DLLLL |
| 16 |  Watford |
46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 57 | LLLLL |
| 17 |  Stoke City |
46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 55 | DLLLL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49 | 64 | -15 | 55 | WWLWD |
| 19 |  Charlton Athletic |
46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 53 | LDLWL |
| 20 |  Blackburn Rovers |
46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 52 | DLDWL |
| 21 |  West Bromwich Albion (-2) |
46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 51 | DWWDL |
| 22 |  Oxford United |
46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 47 | WLLWL |
| 23 |  Leicester City (-6) |
46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 46 | LLDDW |
| 24 |  Sheffield Wednesday (-18) |
46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29 | 89 | -60 | 0 | DDLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City |
23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 55 | DDWWW |
| 2 | Ipswich Town |
23 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 43 | 17 | 26 | 50 | DWDDW |
| 3 | Southampton |
23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 44 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 44 | WDWWD |
| 5 | Middlesbrough |
23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 42 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Millwall |
23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 42 | DWWDW |
| 7 | Swansea City |
23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 8 | Hull City |
23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 38 | LDDLW |
| 9 | Wrexham |
23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 37 | LWWLD |
| 10 | Watford |
23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 37 | LLLLL |
| 11 | Derby County |
23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 36 | LWLWL |
| 12 | West Bromwich Albion |
23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 | DWWDL |
| 13 | Stoke City |
23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 33 | DLLLL |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 33 | DLLLL |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 | WWLLW |
| 16 | Bristol City |
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 31 | DLDLW |
| 17 | Preston North End |
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 31 | WLLWL |
| 18 | Charlton Athletic |
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 | LDLWL |
| 19 | Portsmouth |
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 | WWLWD |
| 20 | Norwich City |
23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 30 | LWWDL |
| 21 | Oxford United |
23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 29 | WLLWL |
| 22 | Leicester City |
23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 | LLDDW |
| 23 | Blackburn Rovers |
23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 | DLDWL |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday |
23 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 44 | -30 | 10 | DDLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall |
23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 41 | DWWDW |
| 2 | Coventry City |
23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 40 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Middlesbrough |
23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 38 | LDWWD |
| 4 | Southampton |
23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 36 | WWDDW |
| 5 | Norwich City |
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 35 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Hull City |
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 35 | LDDLW |
| 7 | Ipswich Town |
23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 | DWDDW |
| 8 | Wrexham |
23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 34 | LWWLD |
| 9 | Derby County |
23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 33 | LWLWL |
| 10 | Bristol City |
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 | DLDLW |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 31 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sheffield United |
23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 29 | WWLLW |
| 13 | Preston North End |
23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 29 | WLLWL |
| 14 | Swansea City |
23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 | WLWDW |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers |
23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 25 | DLLLL |
| 16 | Portsmouth |
23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 | WWLWD |
| 17 | Leicester City |
23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 24 | LLDDW |
| 18 | Charlton Athletic |
23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 22 | LDLWL |
| 19 | Stoke City |
23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 22 | DLLLL |
| 20 | Watford |
23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 21 | Birmingham City |
23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 20 | WDWWD |
| 22 | West Bromwich Albion |
23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 | DWWDL |
| 23 | Oxford United |
23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 18 | WLLWL |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday |
23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 45 | -30 | 8 | DDLLW |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Derby County
WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 3.88–6.5 · xPts 4.87
- L
A
Middlesbrough
1–2
xG 0.84–1.63
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Swansea City
2–1
xG 1.11–0.91
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Watford
2–3
xG 0.4–1.6
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Blackburn Rovers
2–1
xG 0.79–1.15
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Hull City
2–1
xG 0.74–1.21
UK CHAMP
DLWWWWWLWL 6W 1D 3L · 19 pts (1.9 ppg) · GF 15 GA 11 · xG 10.23–13.19 · xPts 11.7
- L
A
Middlesbrough
1–2
xG 0.84–1.63
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Swansea City
2–1
xG 1.11–0.91
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Watford
2–3
xG 0.4–1.6
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Blackburn Rovers
2–1
xG 0.79–1.15
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Hull City
2–1
xG 0.74–1.21
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Sheffield United
3–1
xG 1.87–2.06
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Queens Park Rangers
1–0
xG 1.6–0.29
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Norwich City
1–0
xG 1.25–1.37
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Oxford United
0–1
xG 0.32–1.94
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Southampton
1–1
xG 1.31–1.02
UK CHAMP
Leicester City
DWWLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 5.98–6.55 · xPts 6.86
- L
H
Sheffield United
2–3
xG 1.57–1.35
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Southampton
0–3
xG 0.47–2.48
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Stoke City
2–1
xG 1.25–0.96
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Norwich City
2–1
xG 1.31–0.37
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Middlesbrough
1–1
xG 1.38–1.39
UK CHAMP
WDLLLDWWLL 3W 2D 5L · 11 pts (1.1 ppg) · GF 12 GA 16 · xG 13.61–14.23 · xPts 13.66
- L
H
Sheffield United
2–3
xG 1.57–1.35
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Southampton
0–3
xG 0.47–2.48
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Stoke City
2–1
xG 1.25–0.96
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Norwich City
2–1
xG 1.31–0.37
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Middlesbrough
1–1
xG 1.38–1.39
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Blackburn Rovers
0–2
xG 1.3–1.73
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Millwall
0–1
xG 0.8–1.41
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Hull City
1–2
xG 2.07–1.34
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Portsmouth
1–1
xG 1.46–1.27
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Swansea City
3–1
xG 2.01–1.93
UK CHAMP
All meetings · 22 matches since 2000
Goals 23–38 · 2.77 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 54%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 9–25 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 80%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–14 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- L Leicester City 2–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Derby County 1–3 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Leicester City 3–1 Derby County aet UK FA Cup · 4th Round Replays
- D Derby County 2–2 Leicester City neutral UK FA Cup · 4th Round
- L Leicester City 4–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Derby County 0–1 Leicester City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Derby County 2–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Leicester City 4–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Derby County 0–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Leicester City 4–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Derby County all · 46 | Derby County at home · 23 | Leicester City all · 46 | Leicester City away · 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 46 | 23 | 46 | 23 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.57 | 1.13 | 1.04 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 | 10 / 6 / 7 | 12 / 16 / 18 | 5 / 9 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.46 | 1.35 | 1.26 | 1.17 |
| Goals against / match | 1.28 | 1.17 | 1.48 | 1.48 |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 30% | 13% | 13% |
| Failed to score | 9% | 4% | 20% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 65% | 72% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 39% | 54% | 56% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.23 | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.22 |
| xG against / match | 1.32 | 1.11 | 1.47 | 1.67 |
| xG difference | -0.09 | 0.16 | -0.19 | -0.45 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.23 | 0.07 | -0.02 | -0.05 |
| xPts / match | 1.33 | 1.47 | 1.26 | 1.12 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.17 | 0.09 | -0.13 | -0.08 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 54% | 52% | 48% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.24 | 2.33 | 1.73 | 1.88 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.62 | 0.73 | 0.55 | 0.57 |
| Came back from behind | 35% | 46% | 33% | 40% |
| Leads held | 69% | 71% | 46% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 29% | 26% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 46% | 43% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 25% | 31% | 36% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 45 | 40 | 51 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 36 | 39 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 55% | 48% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 48% | 50% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.37 | 0.43 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 48% | 52% | 50% |
| Shots | 11.0 | 11.9 | 12.9 | 12.0 |
| On target | 3.6 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 11% | 10% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 65% | 59% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 39% | 44% | 34% | 38% |
| Goals from headers | 28% | 32% | 12% | 11% |
| Pressure index | 10.1 | 11.6 | 12.6 | 9.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.9 | 45.7 | 47.1 | 41.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 73% | 77% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 11.9 | 10.8 | 10.9 |
| Cards | 2.63 | 2.30 | 1.96 | 2.17 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Derby County
0–15'811
16–30'95
31–45'159
46–60'135
61–75'1015
76–90'1214
Leicester City
0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Derby County · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.287
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315
Game state
When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254
Situations
At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.183
As underdog-0.153
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207
Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20
Leicester City
No pressure profile yet.
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 24 52% | 1.62 | 1.46 | 1.13 | 1.48 | 1.25 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 11 24% | 1.82 | 1.55 | 1.18 | 0.92 | 1.35 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 5 11% | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.03 | 1.95 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 9% | 0.25 | 1.0 | 2.25 | 0.83 | 1.09 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.47 | 0.12 |
Leicester City
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 45 98% | 1.13 | 1.27 | 1.49 | 1.29 | 1.48 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.85 | 1.11 |
| Metric | Derby County all · 10 | Derby County at home · 10 | Leicester City all · 10 | Leicester City away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.70 | 1.60 | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 7 | 5 / 1 / 4 | 2 / 5 / 3 | 1 / 6 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.30 | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% | 50% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 60% | 30% | 30% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.19 | 1.68 | 1.86 | 1.33 |
| xG against / match | 2.12 | 1.38 | 1.14 | 1.44 |
| xG difference | -0.93 | 0.30 | 0.72 | -0.11 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.09 | -0.38 | -0.86 | -0.43 |
| xPts / match | 0.95 | 1.63 | 1.81 | 1.31 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.26 | -0.03 | -0.71 | -0.41 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 60% | 50% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.75 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 1.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 22% | 33% | 50% | 50% |
| Leads held | 40% | 71% | 33% | 25% |
| Minutes leading | 19% | 31% | 19% | 10% |
| Minutes level | 36% | 43% | 52% | 64% |
| Minutes trailing | 45% | 26% | 28% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 27 | 32 | 46 | 54 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 28 | 29 | 44 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | 46% | 60% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 33% | 54% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 53% | 55% | 49% |
| Shots | 12.2 | 15.0 | 17.8 | 13.7 |
| On target | 4.0 | 4.1 | 5.9 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 9% | 6% | 7% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 64% | 58% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.5 | 7.0 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 31% | 43% | 47% |
| Goals from headers | 9% | 23% | 20% | 11% |
| Pressure index | 11.3 | 14.4 | 15.9 | 9.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.4 | 57.3 | 53.5 | 39.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 78% | 79% | 76% |
| Fouls | 12.9 | 12.2 | 9.6 | 11.1 |
| Cards | 2.60 | 2.40 | 1.80 | 2.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Derby County
0–15'13
16–30'42
31–45'14
46–60'22
61–75'14
76–90'24
Leicester City
0–15'31
16–30'11
31–45'03
46–60'23
61–75'02
76–90'41
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.78 | 1.11 | 1.89 | 1.16 | 2.21 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 1.37 |
Leicester City
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.86 | 1.14 |
| Metric | Derby County all · 49 | Derby County at home · 26 | Leicester City all · 43 | Leicester City away · 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 26 | 43 | 22 |
| Points per game | 1.39 | 1.38 | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 8 / 21 | 10 / 6 / 10 | 10 / 15 / 18 | 5 / 8 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.35 | 1.19 | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| Goals against / match | 1.31 | 1.23 | 1.51 | 1.45 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 27% | 12% | 14% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 12% | 21% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 62% | 72% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 46% | 54% | 54% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.24 | 1.28 | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| xG against / match | 1.38 | 1.25 | 1.42 | 1.55 |
| xG difference | -0.14 | 0.03 | -0.13 | -0.30 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | -0.09 | -0.06 | -0.07 |
| xPts / match | 1.33 | 1.41 | 1.29 | 1.21 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.06 | -0.03 | -0.25 | -0.17 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 55% | 54% | 49% | 36% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.07 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 1.88 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.55 | 0.67 | 0.40 | 0.54 |
| Came back from behind | 28% | 38% | 28% | 36% |
| Leads held | 69% | 67% | 42% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 26% | 26% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 46% | 44% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 28% | 30% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 43 | 41 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 35 | 41 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 47% | 52% | 43% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 47% | 52% | 45% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| Late goals against | 0.31 | 0.27 | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 48% | 52% | 50% |
| Shots | 11.4 | 12.2 | 13.1 | 12.7 |
| On target | 3.6 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 67% | 60% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 6.0 | 5.4 | 4.9 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 39% | 34% | 38% |
| Goals from headers | 29% | 32% | 11% | 12% |
| Pressure index | 10.9 | 12.0 | 12.7 | 11.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.5 | 46.1 | 47.1 | 42.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 77% | 80% | 78% |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 11.8 | 11.2 | 11.6 |
| Cards | 2.49 | 2.23 | 2.05 | 2.32 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Derby County
0–15'712
16–30'126
31–45'1610
46–60'117
61–75'1014
76–90'1015
Leicester City
0–15'1210
16–30'95
31–45'916
46–60'68
61–75'213
76–90'1512
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Derby County · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.27
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0449
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0249
Late push (76+, level)-0.2616
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2524
Game state
When ahead-0.0629
When level+0.0049
When behind-0.0929
10 min after conceding-0.1737
10 min after scoring+0.2742
Situations
With ten men-0.223
At home-0.0626
Away-0.0223
3 days rest or fewer-0.0115
4+ days rest-0.0634
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.1926
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0915
As favourite+0.2610
Evenly matched-0.0820
As underdog-0.1619
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2349
Conceded when ahead+0.1529
Conceded late (76+)+0.1447
Congested vs rested +0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.09
Leicester City · 43 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.09) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0943
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1043
Late push (76+, level)+0.0721
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1019
Game state
When ahead+0.1724
When level-0.0743
When behind+0.2525
10 min after conceding-0.2337
10 min after scoring+0.5233
Situations
With ten men+0.143
Against ten men-0.692
At home+0.0521
Away+0.1222
3 days rest or fewer-0.0213
4+ days rest+0.1330
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0426
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1114
As favourite+0.2615
Evenly matched+0.0016
As underdog-0.0512
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1743
Conceded when ahead+0.2424
Conceded late (76+)+0.1341
Congested vs rested -0.15 · Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.32
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 30 61% | 1.43 | 1.33 | 1.27 | 1.39 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 16% | 1.88 | 1.63 | 1.25 | 1.01 | 1.14 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 0.93 | 1.54 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 6% | 0.33 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.96 | 1.0 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.47 | 0.12 |
Leicester City
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 42 98% | 1.05 | 1.24 | 1.52 | 1.3 | 1.43 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.85 | 1.11 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.7Home 35% P 35%3.25Draw 29% P 30%2.7Away 35% P 35%
Double Chance
1.44Derby or Draw 32% P 32%1.33Derby or Leicester 35% P 35%1.44Draw or Leicester 32% P 33%
Draw No Bet
1.831 50%1.832 50%
Both Teams To Score
1.9Yes 49% P 50%1.8No 51% P 50%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.3Over 41% P 41%1.61Under 59% P 59%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Number of Cards
3.51.9Over 49% P 50%1.8Under 51% P 50%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 692 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 35% | 34% | 34% | +0.6 |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 27% | -2.5 |
| Away | 35% | 36% | 38% | +2.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%
Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50% | 49% | 49% | +0.0 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 41% | 41% | -0.4 |
Joshua Smith
- Career
- 156 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (3.95 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.1 · 5.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.2
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 121 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.28 | 4.05 | +0.41 | 63 |
| Fouls / match | 22.2 | 21.8 | +0.28 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.3 | 5.4 | -0.36 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.2 | 0.17 | +0.28 | 67 |
| Time added | 6.9 | 7.2 | -0.37 | 35 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 45% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | 6 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 76' | 8 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 49' | 5 |
| 2025-11-01 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 28' | 7 |
| 2025-10-25 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 75' | 7 |
| 2025-10-18 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 34' | 8 |
| 2025-09-30 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 51' | 6 |
| 2025-09-22 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 30' | 7 |
| 2025-08-29 · Leicester City | 6 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 45' | 14 |
| 2025-08-23 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 25' | 12 |
| 2025-08-09 | – | – | 20 | – | – | 7 |