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Championship · Matchweek 19

Momentum

Hull CityMID
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
19

Venue

Stadium
MKM Stadium, Hull
Capacity
25,586
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,105

Teams

Coaches
Sergej Jakirović · Kim Hellberg
Position
9 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Dean Whitestone

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
6.6° (feels 1.4°)
Wind
11.3
Humidity
93%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Hull City

LWLLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 10 · xG 5.96–8.53 · xPts 5.66

  • W A Stoke City 2–1 xG 0.72–1.03 UK CHAMP
  • L H Ipswich Town 0–2 xG 0.62–2.23 UK CHAMP
  • L A Queens Park Rangers 2–3 xG 1.41–3.41 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 3–2 xG 2.01–1.12 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 1–2 xG 1.21–0.74 UK CHAMP

Middlesbrough

DWDLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 5.54–6.3 · xPts 6.34

  • W H Derby County 2–1 xG 1.63–0.84 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 2–4 xG 0.95–2.01 UK CHAMP
  • D A Oxford United 1–1 xG 0.91–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 2–1 xG 0.66–1.33 UK CHAMP
  • D A Leicester City 1–1 xG 1.39–1.38 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 32 matches since 2007

Hull City 125 draws15 Middlesbrough

Goals 43–51 · 2.94 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Hull City 41 draws5 Middlesbrough

Goals 11–17 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Hull City 20 draws3 Middlesbrough

Goals 4–8 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Hull City 1–0 Middlesbrough neutral UK CHAMP · Promotion Play-offs - Final
  • W Middlesbrough 0–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 1–4 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 0–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 3–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 2–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 1–2 Hull City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 3–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 1–3 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 0–1 Hull City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricHull City all · 49Hull City at home · 25Middlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough away · 25
Results
Matches49254925
Points per game1.631.681.651.52
W / D / L23 / 11 / 1512 / 6 / 722 / 15 / 1210 / 8 / 7
Goals for / match1.491.441.491.56
Goals against / match1.351.361.021.28
Clean sheets29%28%29%16%
Failed to score18%24%26%24%
Both teams scored61%60%55%64%
Over 2.561%56%53%64%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.371.461.591.55
xG against / match1.661.421.051.15
xG difference-0.290.040.530.40
Finishing vs xG0.12-0.02-0.100.01
xPts / match1.251.411.701.60
Points vs xPts0.380.27-0.04-0.08
Game state
Scored first57%48%53%52%
PPG when scoring first2.182.422.462.31
PPG when conceding first0.881.000.670.64
Came back from behind35%36%46%50%
Leads held72%80%79%71%
Minutes leading30%28%32%31%
Minutes level53%54%49%47%
Minutes trailing17%18%19%22%
First goal (min)32303736
First goal conceded (min)40384645
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%42%51%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%41%55%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.270.200.220.28
Late goals against0.310.240.290.28
Style
Possession45%47%59%58%
Shots11.111.216.215.3
On target4.13.84.84.5
Shot conversion13%13%9%10%
Shots inside box68%68%64%65%
Big chances created2.22.12.42.5
Corners4.44.26.85.8
xG from set plays21%27%24%18%
Goals from headers14%9%12%10%
Pressure index9.311.019.718.4
Dominant minutes39.846.763.163.2
Pass accuracy72%73%84%84%
Fouls11.210.89.39.5
Cards2.552.081.612.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.573
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.61 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
3-5-21 2%3.01.00.00.521.73

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
4-1-4-13 6%1.672.00.672.480.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.4h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.75Home 34% P 34%3.6Draw 26% P 26%2.4Away 39% P 39%

Double Chance

1.61Hull or Draw 29% P 30%1.28Hull or Middlesbrough 37% P 37%1.36Draw or Middlesbrough 34% P 33%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 62%2.2No 42% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 58%2.1Under 45% P 42%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.52.2Over 42% P 40%1.61Under 58% P 60%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home34%34%31%-2.8
Draw26%28%28%-0.1
Away39%39%42%+3.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Dean Whitestone

Career
255 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
2.93 (2.83 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
20.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 107 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.324.05-1.328
Fouls / match21.021.8-0.79
Fouls per card6.45.4+1.22 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.3974
Time added7.37.2+0.0953
First card
42' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-22 50 260 37'5
2025-11-08 20 270 9'12
2025-11-04 30 180 37'17
2025-10-25 51 181 44'9
2025-09-27 30 270 23'8
2025-09-13 30 260 58'9
2025-08-23 30 270 54'11
2025-08-09 30 250 41'15
2025-04-26 · Middlesbrough 30 270 43'5
2025-04-18 60 220 42'10