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Championship · Matchweek 19
Preston North EndPNE
1–1
FT
WrexhamWrexham

Momentum

– PNEWrexham –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
19

Venue

Stadium
Deepdale, Preston
Capacity
23,408
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,842

Teams

Coaches
Paul Heckingbottom · Phil Parkinson
Position
5 · 10
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 3-5-2

Referee

Lewis Smith

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
9.3° (feels 5.7°)
Wind
8.0
Humidity
93%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Preston North End

WDLDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 5.02–7.84 · xPts 4.89

  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 3–2 xG 0.91–1.96 UK CHAMP
  • D A Watford 1–1 xG 0.59–1.95 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 1–2 xG 2.18–1.4 UK CHAMP
  • D A Millwall 1–1 xG 0.74–1.53 UK CHAMP
  • W H Swansea City 2–1 xG 0.6–1.0 UK CHAMP

Wrexham

DWDWD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 1 · xG 6.15–6.35 · xPts 6.35

  • D H Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 2.13–1.48 UK CHAMP
  • W H Bristol City 2–0 xG 0.87–1.14 UK CHAMP
  • D A Ipswich Town 0–0 xG 0.06–1.52 UK CHAMP
  • W H Charlton Athletic 1–0 xG 2.54–0.41 UK CHAMP
  • D A Portsmouth 0–0 xG 0.54–1.81 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Preston North End 01 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Preston North End 01 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Preston North End 01 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Wrexham 2–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPreston North End all · 46Preston North End at home · 23Wrexham all · 46Wrexham away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.301.351.541.48
W / D / L15 / 15 / 168 / 7 / 819 / 14 / 139 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.201.221.501.22
Goals against / match1.351.301.411.22
Clean sheets20%22%26%30%
Failed to score26%26%13%22%
Both teams scored59%56%65%56%
Over 2.548%48%50%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.221.220.91
xG against / match1.631.421.481.68
xG difference-0.45-0.20-0.26-0.77
Finishing vs xG0.020.000.280.31
xPts / match1.131.251.220.91
Points vs xPts0.170.100.320.57
Game state
Scored first41%39%52%48%
PPG when scoring first2.162.332.081.91
PPG when conceding first0.680.690.951.10
Came back from behind38%43%46%42%
Leads held62%73%63%64%
Minutes leading28%27%31%32%
Minutes level45%46%46%49%
Minutes trailing27%27%23%20%
First goal (min)36403736
First goal conceded (min)42434043
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%61%54%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%55%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.370.26
Late goals against0.300.350.410.48
Style
Possession46%48%48%45%
Shots10.911.311.38.5
On target3.63.43.82.7
Shot conversion11%11%13%14%
Shots inside box68%69%66%64%
Big chances created1.61.72.31.7
Corners4.55.34.53.7
xG from set plays34%35%32%25%
Goals from headers22%21%29%15%
Pressure index8.89.510.17.1
Dominant minutes40.542.341.932.4
Pass accuracy72%73%78%76%
Fouls10.410.19.710.5
Cards2.092.131.591.91

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.165
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 41%3.2Draw 29% P 29%3.2Away 29% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Preston or Draw 35% P 35%1.36Preston or Wrexham 35% P 35%1.57Draw or Wrexham 30% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 50%1.83No 50% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.66Under 57% P 57%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 44%1.83Under 50% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%42%+0.5
Draw29%30%27%-2.4
Away30%29%31%+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Lewis Smith

Career
75 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.67 (3.57 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 51 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.05-0.2839
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.98
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2843
Time added8.27.2+1.1388
First card
34' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-29 40 180 57'10
2025-11-25 40 220 22'7
2025-11-08 20 130 45'7
2025-11-04 –– 25– –6
2025-10-21 · Preston North End 70 220 10'9
2025-10-04 70 150 5'11
2025-10-01 40 180 17'8
2025-09-20 · Preston North End 40 170 55'9
2025-08-30 30 180 18'10
2025-08-16 30 220 13'10