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Championship · Matchweek 19
Swansea CitySwansea City
2–0
FT
Oxford UnitedOXF

Momentum

– Swansea CityOXF –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
19

Venue

Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Capacity
20,827
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,318

Teams

Coaches
Vítor Matos · Gary Rowett
Position
21 · 20
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Anthony Backhouse

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
10.5° (feels 9.9°)
Wind
4.0
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Swansea City

LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 14 · xG 3.79–6.77 · xPts 4.84

  • L A West Bromwich Albion 2–3 xG 0.16–1.95 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 1–2 xG 0.91–1.11 UK CHAMP
  • L A Bristol City 0–3 xG 1.12–1.96 UK CHAMP
  • L H Ipswich Town 1–4 xG 0.59–1.15 UK CHAMP
  • L A Preston North End 1–2 xG 1.0–0.6 UK CHAMP

Oxford United

LLDDW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 5.35–8.89 · xPts 4.64

  • W H Ipswich Town 2–1 xG 1.13–1.76 UK CHAMP
  • D A Norwich City 1–1 xG 0.93–1.53 UK CHAMP
  • D H Middlesbrough 1–1 xG 0.74–0.91 UK CHAMP
  • L A West Bromwich Albion 1–2 xG 0.79–2.21 UK CHAMP
  • L H Stoke City 0–3 xG 1.76–2.49 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 5 matches since 2016

Swansea City 31 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 10–7 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 5 matches

Swansea City 31 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 10–7 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Swansea City 31 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 10–7 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Oxford United 0–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 2–0 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 3–3 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Oxford United 1–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Oxford United 3–2 Swansea City neutral UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
MetricSwansea City all · 46Swansea City at home · 23Oxford United all · 46Oxford United away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.391.701.020.78
W / D / L18 / 10 / 1811 / 6 / 611 / 14 / 214 / 6 / 13
Goals for / match1.241.480.980.91
Goals against / match1.281.171.281.39
Clean sheets26%30%17%13%
Failed to score22%9%41%44%
Both teams scored54%61%52%56%
Over 2.550%52%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.351.170.99
xG against / match1.371.371.431.68
xG difference-0.15-0.02-0.25-0.70
Finishing vs xG0.020.13-0.20-0.07
xPts / match1.281.361.210.95
Points vs xPts0.120.34-0.19-0.17
Game state
Scored first48%61%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.362.362.061.63
PPG when conceding first0.480.670.220.17
Came back from behind28%40%19%13%
Leads held72%69%58%44%
Minutes leading25%28%21%19%
Minutes level48%48%47%47%
Minutes trailing27%23%32%34%
First goal (min)46492829
First goal conceded (min)40373538
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half65%65%38%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%41%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.430.150.13
Late goals against0.300.300.150.26
Style
Possession55%56%40%38%
Shots12.313.611.99.8
On target3.93.83.42.6
Shot conversion10%11%8%9%
Shots inside box58%60%54%53%
Big chances created1.71.71.61.6
Corners4.55.14.03.4
xG from set plays36%36%40%33%
Goals from headers13%16%16%19%
Pressure index12.815.26.43.8
Dominant minutes51.958.033.723.1
Pass accuracy79%80%69%70%
Fouls9.89.110.811.0
Cards2.001.911.672.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-5-11 2%1.02.02.02.283.13

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 46%3.4Draw 28% P 28%3.7Away 26% P 26%

Double Chance

1.28Swansea or Draw 37% P 37%1.3Swansea or Oxford Utd 37% P 36%1.8Draw or Oxford Utd 26% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 49%1.83No 50% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.72Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%44%-1.8
Draw28%28%30%+1.8
Away26%26%26%+0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Anthony Backhouse

Career
81 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.02 (3.94 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
19.6 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.11
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 58 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.05+0.8580
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.19
Fouls per card4.85.4-1.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3341
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
33' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-29 30 210 68'6
2025-11-22 30 180 15'7
2025-11-05 · Swansea City 40 170 48'6
2025-10-31 30 190 43'6
2025-10-21 30 210 70'7
2025-10-04 30 190 68'7
2025-09-27 60 260 39'9
2025-09-20 80 250 15'10
2025-08-30 · Swansea City 20 240 30'6
2025-08-16 70 252 45'10