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Championship · Matchweek 20

Momentum

BBROXF
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Ewood Park, Blackburn
Capacity
31,367
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,255

Teams

Coaches
Valérien Ismaël · Gary Rowett
Position
19 · 21
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 5-3-2

Referee

Leigh Doughty

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
10.0° (feels 9.1°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
77%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Blackburn Rovers

LWLDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 5.84–7.27 · xPts 6.03

  • D H Ipswich Town 1–1 xG 0.91–0.76 UK CHAMP
  • D A Wrexham 1–1 xG 1.48–2.13 UK CHAMP
  • L H Queens Park Rangers 0–1 xG 0.9–1.41 UK CHAMP
  • W A Preston North End 2–1 xG 1.4–2.18 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 1–2 xG 1.15–0.79 UK CHAMP

Oxford United

LDDWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 5.23–7.48 · xPts 5.39

  • L A Swansea City 0–2 xG 1.63–1.08 UK CHAMP
  • W H Ipswich Town 2–1 xG 1.13–1.76 UK CHAMP
  • D A Norwich City 1–1 xG 0.93–1.53 UK CHAMP
  • D H Middlesbrough 1–1 xG 0.74–0.91 UK CHAMP
  • L A West Bromwich Albion 1–2 xG 0.79–2.21 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 5 matches since 2016

Blackburn Rovers 21 draws2 Oxford United

Goals 6–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 5 matches

Blackburn Rovers 21 draws2 Oxford United

Goals 6–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Blackburn Rovers 21 draws2 Oxford United

Goals 6–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Oxford United 1–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Blackburn Rovers 1–1 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Oxford United 1–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Oxford United 0–3 Blackburn Rovers UK FA Cup · 4th Round
MetricBlackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers at home · 23Oxford United all · 46Oxford United away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.130.911.020.78
W / D / L13 / 13 / 204 / 9 / 1011 / 14 / 214 / 6 / 13
Goals for / match0.910.830.980.91
Goals against / match1.221.171.281.39
Clean sheets26%22%17%13%
Failed to score35%30%41%44%
Both teams scored48%56%52%56%
Over 2.539%30%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.201.261.170.99
xG against / match1.301.151.431.68
xG difference-0.100.11-0.25-0.70
Finishing vs xG-0.28-0.43-0.20-0.07
xPts / match1.321.461.210.95
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.54-0.19-0.17
Game state
Scored first46%39%39%35%
PPG when scoring first1.761.222.061.63
PPG when conceding first0.520.670.220.17
Came back from behind26%38%19%13%
Leads held56%40%58%44%
Minutes leading21%14%21%19%
Minutes level55%61%47%47%
Minutes trailing24%24%32%34%
First goal (min)44512829
First goal conceded (min)49533538
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%58%38%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%52%41%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.350.150.13
Late goals against0.390.430.150.26
Style
Possession48%48%40%38%
Shots11.511.611.99.8
On target3.23.23.42.6
Shot conversion8%7%8%9%
Shots inside box67%69%54%53%
Big chances created2.01.71.61.6
Corners5.35.84.03.4
xG from set plays27%30%40%33%
Goals from headers27%26%16%19%
Pressure index10.110.76.43.8
Dominant minutes44.645.833.723.1
Pass accuracy74%73%69%70%
Fouls10.59.810.811.0
Cards2.172.001.672.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
5-3-21 2%3.01.00.01.330.18

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.7Home 55% P 55%3.5Draw 27% P 25%5.0Away 19% P 19%

Double Chance

1.16Blackburn or Draw 41% P 40%1.28Blackburn or Oxford Utd 37% P 37%2.1Draw or Oxford Utd 22% P 22%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 48%1.8No 51% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58% P 53%2.2Under 42% P 47%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home55%56%53%-2.8
Draw25%25%26%+1.0
Away19%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Leigh Doughty

Career
119 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.44 (4.29 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 94 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.514.05+0.8378
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.18
Fouls per card5.05.4-0.89 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.17+0.6280
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-26 11 171 39'6
2025-11-08 50 191 8'10
2025-11-04 · Oxford United 40 190 40'7
2025-10-22 20 200 42'8
2025-09-30 · Blackburn Rovers 50 280 36'7
2025-08-30 90 282 35'16
2025-08-23 31 250 48'11
2025-04-26 30 210 37'9
2025-04-12 30 220 7'2
2025-03-01 · Blackburn Rovers 31 260 22'9