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Championship · Matchweek 20
Charlton AthleticCHA
1–2
FT
MiddlesbroughMID

Momentum

– CHAMID –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
The Valley, London
Capacity
27,111
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,258

Teams

Coaches
Nathan Jones · Kim Hellberg
Position
17 · 2
Formation
3-1-4-2 · 4-4-2

Referee

Oliver Langford

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
13.3° (feels 12.8°)
Wind
8.8
Humidity
79%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Charlton Athletic

WLLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 12 · xG 3.72–11.46 · xPts 3.05

  • L A Coventry City 1–3 xG 0.75–2.79 UK CHAMP
  • L A Stoke City 0–3 xG 0.39–1.2 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 1–5 xG 0.95–3.98 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 0–1 xG 0.41–2.54 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 1–0 xG 1.22–0.95 UK CHAMP

Middlesbrough

WDLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 8 · xG 5.36–6.0 · xPts 6.42

  • W A Hull City 4–1 xG 1.21–1.08 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 2–1 xG 1.63–0.84 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 2–4 xG 0.95–2.01 UK CHAMP
  • D A Oxford United 1–1 xG 0.91–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 2–1 xG 0.66–1.33 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 28 matches since 2000

Charlton Athletic 79 draws12 Middlesbrough

Goals 23–33 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 36% · over 2.5 39%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Charlton Athletic 21 draws7 Middlesbrough

Goals 5–12 · 1.7 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Charlton Athletic 20 draws3 Middlesbrough

Goals 4–4 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Middlesbrough 0–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 1–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 0–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 1–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 2–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 3–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 3–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Charlton Athletic 0–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 1–0 Charlton Athletic neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 0–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricCharlton Athletic all · 46Charlton Athletic at home · 23Middlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough away · 25
Results
Matches46234925
Points per game1.151.351.651.52
W / D / L13 / 14 / 199 / 4 / 1022 / 15 / 1210 / 8 / 7
Goals for / match0.961.001.491.56
Goals against / match1.261.131.021.28
Clean sheets28%35%29%16%
Failed to score22%17%26%24%
Both teams scored54%52%55%64%
Over 2.539%44%53%64%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.271.591.55
xG against / match1.551.341.051.15
xG difference-0.40-0.080.530.40
Finishing vs xG-0.19-0.27-0.100.01
xPts / match1.191.381.701.60
Points vs xPts-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.08
Game state
Scored first48%56%53%52%
PPG when scoring first2.052.232.462.31
PPG when conceding first0.270.110.670.64
Came back from behind24%9%46%50%
Leads held59%69%79%71%
Minutes leading16%18%32%31%
Minutes level56%51%49%47%
Minutes trailing28%31%19%22%
First goal (min)56523736
First goal conceded (min)43344645
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half66%61%51%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%35%55%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.220.28
Late goals against0.330.040.290.28
Style
Possession42%45%59%58%
Shots11.012.816.215.3
On target3.54.14.84.5
Shot conversion9%8%9%10%
Shots inside box68%69%64%65%
Big chances created1.92.12.42.5
Corners4.15.16.85.8
xG from set plays39%36%24%18%
Goals from headers19%17%12%10%
Pressure index7.09.319.718.4
Dominant minutes34.441.363.163.2
Pass accuracy70%71%84%84%
Fouls12.011.39.39.5
Cards2.202.301.612.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Charlton Athletic

0–15'28
16–30'58
31–45'811
46–60'78
61–75'108
76–90'1215

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Charlton Athletic · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.117
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.333
When level-0.037
When behind-0.113
10 min after conceding-0.574
10 min after scoring+0.044

Situations

At home-0.034
Away-0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.342
4+ days rest-0.225

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.372
v bottom-tier opponents+0.154
Evenly matched+0.172
As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.447
Conceded when ahead+0.373
Conceded late (76+)+0.096

Congested vs rested +0.56 · Ahead vs level -0.30 · Behind vs level -0.09

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.61 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Charlton Athletic

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-1-4-214 30%0.860.861.641.081.41
3-5-210 22%1.10.91.01.031.55
3-4-2-16 13%0.830.831.51.421.54
3-4-1-25 11%1.00.61.01.021.72
4-2-3-13 6%1.331.01.331.261.01

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
4-3-33 6%2.331.670.01.250.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.9Home 32% P 32%3.25Draw 29% P 28%2.4Away 39% P 40%

Double Chance

1.53Charlton or Draw 31% P 30%1.33Charlton or Middlesbrough 35% P 36%1.4Draw or Middlesbrough 34% P 34%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 54%2.0No 46% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.52.1Over 44% P 45%1.66Under 56% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 37.5–40% · 556 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home32%31%31%-0.2
Draw28%30%31%+1.5
Away40%39%38%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Oliver Langford

Career
353 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.37 (3.23 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
20.9 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 119 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.824.05-0.4229
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.91
Fouls per card5.55.4-0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3731
Time added7.47.2+0.2157
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-02 40 230 10'6
2025-11-29 20 221 34'9
2025-10-04 60 200 15'7
2025-09-27 60 230 12'8
2025-09-20 30 190 55'5
2025-08-16 30 271 30'14
2025-08-09 30 160 71'8
2025-05-08 11 181 45'9
2025-05-03 30 190 29'4
2025-04-26 82 250 13'15