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Championship · Matchweek 20

Momentum

PNECVC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Deepdale, Preston
Capacity
23,408
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,477

Teams

Coaches
Paul Heckingbottom · Frank Lampard
Position
5 · 1
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 5-4-1

Referee

Ben Toner

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
10.4° (feels 9.5°)
Wind
11.1
Humidity
77%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Preston North End

DLDWD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 6.75–8.2 · xPts 5.86

  • D H Wrexham 1–1 xG 2.33–1.36 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 3–2 xG 0.91–1.96 UK CHAMP
  • D A Watford 1–1 xG 0.59–1.95 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 1–2 xG 2.18–1.4 UK CHAMP
  • D A Millwall 1–1 xG 0.74–1.53 UK CHAMP

Coventry City

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 8 · xG 9.7–5.38 · xPts 9.28

  • L A Ipswich Town 0–3 xG 0.63–1.0 UK CHAMP
  • W H Charlton Athletic 3–1 xG 2.79–0.75 UK CHAMP
  • W A Middlesbrough 4–2 xG 2.01–0.95 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 3–2 xG 2.84–1.59 UK CHAMP
  • W A Stoke City 1–0 xG 1.43–1.09 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 24 matches since 2005

Preston North End 156 draws3 Coventry City

Goals 37–20 · 2.37 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Preston North End 53 draws2 Coventry City

Goals 13–10 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Preston North End 21 draws2 Coventry City

Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Coventry City 3–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Coventry City 2–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 1–0 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 0–3 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 3–2 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 0–0 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 0–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Coventry City 1–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 2–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPreston North End all · 46Preston North End at home · 23Coventry City all · 46Coventry City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.301.352.071.74
W / D / L15 / 15 / 168 / 7 / 828 / 11 / 711 / 7 / 5
Goals for / match1.201.222.112.00
Goals against / match1.351.300.981.13
Clean sheets20%22%37%39%
Failed to score26%26%15%13%
Both teams scored59%56%59%56%
Over 2.548%48%63%61%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.222.041.73
xG against / match1.631.421.141.19
xG difference-0.45-0.200.900.54
Finishing vs xG0.020.000.070.27
xPts / match1.131.251.831.64
Points vs xPts0.170.100.230.10
Game state
Scored first41%39%65%74%
PPG when scoring first2.162.332.432.00
PPG when conceding first0.680.691.551.00
Came back from behind38%43%53%38%
Leads held62%73%80%61%
Minutes leading28%27%38%38%
Minutes level45%46%50%51%
Minutes trailing27%27%12%11%
First goal (min)36403332
First goal conceded (min)42434548
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%61%53%46%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%62%73%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.480.39
Late goals against0.300.350.170.17
Style
Possession46%48%55%52%
Shots10.911.316.314.7
On target3.63.45.65.3
Shot conversion11%11%13%14%
Shots inside box68%69%72%71%
Big chances created1.61.72.82.4
Corners4.55.35.34.7
xG from set plays34%35%36%38%
Goals from headers22%21%20%26%
Pressure index8.89.517.012.7
Dominant minutes40.542.358.852.4
Pass accuracy72%73%80%79%
Fouls10.410.19.69.8
Cards2.092.131.611.87

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Coventry City

0–15'155
16–30'106
31–45'216
46–60'189
61–75'1111
76–90'228

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Coventry City · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.104
Early press (0-15, level)-0.284
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.242

Game state

When level+0.024
When behind-0.224
10 min after conceding-0.264

Situations

At home+0.102
Away-0.342
4+ days rest-0.104

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.163
As underdog-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.462

Behind vs level -0.24

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99

Coventry City

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 78%2.142.170.862.091.12
4-4-24 9%2.252.251.51.831.58
3-4-31 2%3.02.01.02.550.79
5-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.870.48
4-3-31 2%3.03.01.02.011.29

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.5Home 26% P 26%3.4Draw 27% P 27%2.0Away 46% P 47%

Double Chance

1.72Preston or Draw 27% P 27%1.3Preston or Coventry 36% P 36%1.28Draw or Coventry 37% P 37%

Draw No Bet

2.51 38%1.52 62%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 53%2.0No 46% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 49%1.8Under 53% P 51%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home26%26%26%-0.3
Draw27%28%28%+0.2
Away47%46%46%+0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Ben Toner

Career
64 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
3.77 (3.66 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.384.05+0.5971
Fouls / match24.721.8+2.54
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.17+1.1792
Time added7.97.2+0.7974
First card
34' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-29 30 171 36'8
2025-11-22 60 280 15'7
2025-11-01 20 310 70'11
2025-10-21 30 200 10'8
2025-10-01 70 240 2'8
2025-09-20 40 320 39'5
2025-09-13 31 210 3'8
2025-04-18 61 301 3'5
2025-04-05 40 330 29'11
2025-03-29 70 291 34'11