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Championship · Matchweek 20
Queens Park RangersQPR
2–1
FT
Birmingham CityBRC

Momentum

– QPRBRC –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
MATRADE Loftus Road, London
Capacity
18,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,947

Teams

Coaches
Julien Stéphan · Chris Davies
Position
10 · 8
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

James Bell

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
12.5° (feels 11.9°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Queens Park Rangers

DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 8.69–6.87 · xPts 7.78

  • W H West Bromwich Albion 3–1 xG 1.19–1.31 UK CHAMP
  • L A Norwich City 1–3 xG 1.94–1.38 UK CHAMP
  • W A Blackburn Rovers 1–0 xG 1.41–0.9 UK CHAMP
  • W H Hull City 3–2 xG 3.41–1.41 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield United 0–0 xG 0.74–1.88 UK CHAMP

Birmingham City

LWDWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 8.45–6.58 · xPts 8.07

  • L A Southampton 1–3 xG 1.83–1.7 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 2–1 xG 1.34–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 1–1 xG 1.17–1.08 UK CHAMP
  • W H Norwich City 4–1 xG 2.78–1.77 UK CHAMP
  • L A Middlesbrough 1–2 xG 1.33–0.66 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 26 matches since 2006

Queens Park Rangers 125 draws9 Birmingham City

Goals 34–26 · 2.31 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 42%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Queens Park Rangers 42 draws4 Birmingham City

Goals 9–9 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Queens Park Rangers 21 draws2 Birmingham City

Goals 4–4 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Birmingham City 1–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 0–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 0–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 2–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 2–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 2–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 0–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricQueens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers at home · 23Birmingham City all · 46Birmingham City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.261.431.390.87
W / D / L16 / 10 / 2010 / 3 / 1017 / 13 / 165 / 5 / 13
Goals for / match1.331.741.240.78
Goals against / match1.591.611.221.48
Clean sheets22%17%22%13%
Failed to score28%17%24%39%
Both teams scored63%74%56%48%
Over 2.563%78%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.301.631.491.07
xG against / match1.331.211.141.27
xG difference-0.030.420.35-0.21
Finishing vs xG0.020.11-0.25-0.28
xPts / match1.371.681.571.23
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.24-0.18-0.36
Game state
Scored first33%48%50%22%
PPG when scoring first2.472.272.352.40
PPG when conceding first0.600.600.410.44
Came back from behind26%17%33%32%
Leads held84%77%71%83%
Minutes leading20%30%28%11%
Minutes level46%45%42%38%
Minutes trailing34%26%31%51%
First goal (min)45413952
First goal conceded (min)34433527
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%49%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%68%39%32%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.520.240.30
Late goals against0.260.480.150.13
Style
Possession46%47%54%52%
Shots12.714.313.69.9
On target4.15.04.12.6
Shot conversion10%12%9%8%
Shots inside box63%63%64%67%
Big chances created1.82.42.41.8
Corners4.85.45.85.0
xG from set plays31%28%30%33%
Goals from headers17%15%21%17%
Pressure index11.715.414.410.4
Dominant minutes46.754.454.344.6
Pass accuracy76%75%77%77%
Fouls11.011.111.712.3
Cards1.912.132.112.22

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Birmingham City

0–15'1010
16–30'1112
31–45'812
46–60'98
61–75'87
76–90'117

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 87%1.381.331.281.541.16
4-4-22 4%1.50.50.51.160.61
4-4-1-12 4%1.51.01.51.730.5
4-1-4-11 2%3.01.00.00.831.5
3-4-31 2%0.00.01.00.251.91

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.8Home 33% P 34%3.3Draw 28% P 27%2.45Away 38% P 39%

Double Chance

1.53QPR or Draw 31% P 31%1.33QPR or Birmingham 35% P 36%1.4Draw or Birmingham 34% P 33%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 56%2.1No 44% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home34%34%31%-2.8
Draw27%28%28%-0.1
Away39%39%42%+3.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

James Bell

Career
75 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.95 (3.81 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.6 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.964.05-0.1747
Fouls / match20.421.8-1.36
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.48 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2049
Time added7.77.2+0.5667
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-25 60 210 37'7
2025-11-05 · Queens Park Rangers 40 260 38'9
2025-11-01 30 230 7'6
2025-10-25 30 201 28'10
2025-10-18 50 210 43'7
2025-08-09 40 251 25'10
2025-05-03 20 180 48'7
2025-04-28 10 100 49'6
2025-04-21 30 220 73'6
2025-04-08 30 130 39'2