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Championship · Matchweek 20
Swansea CitySwansea City
1–0
FT
PortsmouthPortsmouth

Momentum

– Swansea CityPortsmouth –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Capacity
20,827
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,163

Teams

Coaches
Vítor Matos · John Mousinho
Position
20 · 22
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Tom Reeves

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
11.6° (feels 11.1°)
Wind
2.2
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Swansea City

LLLLW 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 12 · xG 3.86–7.8 · xPts 4.17

  • W H Oxford United 2–0 xG 1.08–1.63 UK CHAMP
  • L A West Bromwich Albion 2–3 xG 0.16–1.95 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 1–2 xG 0.91–1.11 UK CHAMP
  • L A Bristol City 0–3 xG 1.12–1.96 UK CHAMP
  • L H Ipswich Town 1–4 xG 0.59–1.15 UK CHAMP

Portsmouth

DLWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 6.09–8.15 · xPts 6.34

  • L H Bristol City 0–1 xG 1.72–1.74 UK CHAMP
  • L A Sheffield United 0–3 xG 0.09–3.09 UK CHAMP
  • W H Millwall 3–1 xG 1.35–0.76 UK CHAMP
  • L A Hull City 2–3 xG 1.12–2.01 UK CHAMP
  • D H Wrexham 0–0 xG 1.81–0.54 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 7 matches since 2009

Swansea City 32 draws2 Portsmouth

Goals 8–9 · 2.43 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 7 matches

Swansea City 32 draws2 Portsmouth

Goals 8–9 · 2.43 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 57%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Swansea City 22 draws1 Portsmouth

Goals 5–7 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Portsmouth 1–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 1–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 4–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 2–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 0–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 1–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 0–2 Swansea City UK FA Cup · 4th Round
MetricSwansea City all · 46Swansea City at home · 23Portsmouth all · 46Portsmouth away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.391.701.201.09
W / D / L18 / 10 / 1811 / 6 / 614 / 13 / 196 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.241.481.071.04
Goals against / match1.281.171.391.78
Clean sheets26%30%22%17%
Failed to score22%9%28%26%
Both teams scored54%61%54%61%
Over 2.550%52%44%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.351.180.89
xG against / match1.371.371.241.37
xG difference-0.15-0.02-0.06-0.47
Finishing vs xG0.020.13-0.110.15
xPts / match1.281.361.361.11
Points vs xPts0.120.34-0.16-0.02
Game state
Scored first48%61%46%44%
PPG when scoring first2.362.362.192.10
PPG when conceding first0.480.670.300.25
Came back from behind28%40%27%23%
Leads held72%69%64%60%
Minutes leading25%28%18%14%
Minutes level48%48%51%51%
Minutes trailing27%23%31%34%
First goal (min)46495054
First goal conceded (min)40374138
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half65%65%61%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%55%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.430.280.22
Late goals against0.300.300.280.43
Style
Possession55%56%50%47%
Shots12.313.612.29.0
On target3.93.83.73.0
Shot conversion10%11%9%12%
Shots inside box58%60%65%63%
Big chances created1.71.71.61.3
Corners4.55.15.65.0
xG from set plays36%36%40%40%
Goals from headers13%16%16%12%
Pressure index12.815.211.78.5
Dominant minutes51.958.049.742.4
Pass accuracy79%80%74%74%
Fouls9.89.110.210.5
Cards2.001.911.932.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.034

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.19

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-4-21 2%0.01.03.01.932.01

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 50% P 49%3.5Draw 27% P 27%4.0Away 24% P 24%

Double Chance

1.22Swansea or Draw 38% P 38%1.28Swansea or Portsmouth 36% P 37%1.83Draw or Portsmouth 25% P 26%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 52%1.9No 49% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 48%1.9Under 50% P 52%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 809 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home49%49%47%-1.9
Draw27%28%29%+1.6
Away24%24%24%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Tom Reeves

Career
26 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.04 (3.0 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
18.8 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
56%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 10 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.05-0.2839
Fouls / match21.221.8-0.59
Fouls per card5.45.4-0.17 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.17+0.3169
Time added8.17.2+1.0186
First card
36' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 42% in last 15'
Cards to home side
56% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-07 30 200 30'8
2025-11-29 40 170 64'6
2025-11-25 10 180 89'8
2025-10-18 31 210 7'9
2025-01-10 · Portsmouth 30 180 63'7