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Championship · Matchweek 20
WatfordWatford
1–1
FT
Sheffield WednesdaySHF

Momentum

– WatfordSHF –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Vicarage Road, Watford
Capacity
22,200
Surface
grass
Attendance
16,834

Teams

Coaches
Javier Gracia Carlos · Henrik Pedersen
Position
13 · 24
Formation
4-4-2 · 3-5-2

Referee

Dean Whitestone

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
11.5° (feels 10.9°)
Wind
7.2
Humidity
87%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Watford

DWDLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 7.33–4.72 · xPts 8.75

  • W H Norwich City 3–2 xG 1.33–1.76 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 1–2 xG 1.37–1.34 UK CHAMP
  • D H Preston North End 1–1 xG 1.95–0.59 UK CHAMP
  • W A Derby County 3–2 xG 1.6–0.4 UK CHAMP
  • D H Bristol City 1–1 xG 1.08–0.63 UK CHAMP

Sheffield Wednesday

DLLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 11 · xG 5.43–9.38 · xPts 4.99

  • L H Preston North End 2–3 xG 1.96–0.91 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 0–1 xG 0.72–3.54 UK CHAMP
  • L H Sheffield United 0–3 xG 0.31–1.94 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 1–3 xG 1.11–1.67 UK CHAMP
  • D H Norwich City 1–1 xG 1.33–1.32 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2005

Watford 118 draws3 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 38–20 · 2.64 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Watford 46 draws0 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 15–6 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Watford 14 draws0 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 9–5 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Watford 1–1 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Watford 1–1 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 2–6 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Watford 1–1 Sheffield Wednesday neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 0–3 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWatford all · 46Watford at home · 23Sheffield Wednesday all · 46Sheffield Wednesday away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.241.610.390.35
W / D / L14 / 15 / 1710 / 7 / 62 / 12 / 321 / 5 / 17
Goals for / match1.151.300.630.65
Goals against / match1.411.171.931.96
Clean sheets15%22%9%13%
Failed to score30%30%50%48%
Both teams scored59%52%48%48%
Over 2.548%44%52%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.341.500.880.80
xG against / match1.251.152.012.07
xG difference0.100.34-1.13-1.27
Finishing vs xG-0.19-0.19-0.25-0.15
xPts / match1.431.570.730.62
Points vs xPts-0.200.04-0.34-0.28
Game state
Scored first26%30%26%17%
PPG when scoring first2.332.711.001.00
PPG when conceding first0.841.130.100.12
Came back from behind47%60%9%10%
Leads held67%91%15%20%
Minutes leading18%25%13%9%
Minutes level49%48%41%37%
Minutes trailing34%27%46%53%
First goal (min)48423840
First goal conceded (min)34363628
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%50%48%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%52%55%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.300.300.070.09
Late goals against0.280.220.430.43
Style
Possession51%52%45%43%
Shots13.815.78.78.0
On target4.45.42.52.5
Shot conversion8%8%7%8%
Shots inside box58%57%68%65%
Big chances created2.12.41.20.9
Corners4.95.44.33.9
xG from set plays27%23%33%29%
Goals from headers14%17%17%7%
Pressure index10.912.46.96.1
Dominant minutes47.052.232.829.2
Pass accuracy80%81%73%72%
Fouls11.011.111.811.9
Cards2.151.871.701.87

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Watford

0–15'59
16–30'613
31–45'1112
46–60'910
61–75'88
76–90'1413

Sheffield Wednesday

0–15'516
16–30'79
31–45'315
46–60'713
61–75'416
76–90'320

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Watford · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.117
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.193

Game state

When ahead-0.144
When level-0.157
When behind+0.004
10 min after conceding-0.177
10 min after scoring-0.015

Situations

At home-0.234
Away+0.093
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As underdog-0.085

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.277
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)-0.017

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level +0.16

Sheffield Wednesday

No pressure profile yet.

Watford

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-221 46%1.481.291.291.251.32
4-2-3-110 22%1.31.21.11.250.83
3-5-25 11%0.40.82.00.861.68
3-4-1-23 6%2.332.01.333.01.2
4-3-32 4%0.00.52.01.481.61

Sheffield Wednesday

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 28%0.540.381.540.851.98
3-5-212 26%0.670.751.750.831.9
4-2-3-16 13%0.00.332.330.472.39
3-4-34 9%0.250.752.01.051.86
5-3-24 9%0.250.52.01.052.15

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.53Home 61% P 61%4.33Draw 22% P 22%5.5Away 17% P 17%

Double Chance

1.14Watford or Draw 41% P 41%1.2Watford or Sheff Wed 39% P 39%2.37Draw or Sheff Wed 20% P 19%

Draw No Bet

1.21 78%4.332 22%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 53%2.0No 46% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

3.52.2Over 42% P 43%1.61Under 58% P 57%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home61%61%62%+0.4
Draw22%23%23%+0.7
Away17%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Dean Whitestone

Career
255 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
2.93 (2.83 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
20.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 108 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.334.05-1.318
Fouls / match20.921.8-0.83
Fouls per card6.35.4+1.16 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.4878
Time added7.37.2+0.1053
First card
42' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-05 10 281 58'6
2025-11-22 50 260 37'5
2025-11-08 20 270 9'12
2025-11-04 30 180 37'17
2025-10-25 · Watford 51 181 44'9
2025-09-27 30 270 23'8
2025-09-13 · Watford 30 260 58'9
2025-08-23 30 270 54'11
2025-08-09 30 250 41'15
2025-04-26 30 270 43'5