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Championship · Matchweek 20
Bristol CityBristol City
2–2
FT
Leicester CityLEI

Momentum

– Bristol CityLEI –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Capacity
27,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,397

Teams

Coaches
Gerhard Struber · Martí Cifuentes Corvillo
Position
9 · 14
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

James Linington

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
8.8° (feels 6.0°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Bristol City

DWLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 7.18–5.9 · xPts 7.64

  • L H Millwall 0–1 xG 1.71–1.1 UK CHAMP
  • W A Portsmouth 1–0 xG 1.74–1.72 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 0–2 xG 1.14–0.87 UK CHAMP
  • W H Swansea City 3–0 xG 1.96–1.12 UK CHAMP
  • D A Watford 1–1 xG 0.63–1.08 UK CHAMP

Leicester City

WWLLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 5.81–6.47 · xPts 6.79

  • W A Derby County 3–1 xG 1.22–1.31 UK CHAMP
  • L H Sheffield United 2–3 xG 1.57–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 0–3 xG 0.47–2.48 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 2–1 xG 1.25–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • W A Norwich City 2–1 xG 1.31–0.37 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 14 matches since 2007

Bristol City 53 draws6 Leicester City

Goals 15–20 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bristol City 41 draws5 Leicester City

Goals 11–16 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bristol City 11 draws3 Leicester City

Goals 3–9 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Leicester City 2–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 2–2 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 1–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 1–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 0–4 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 2–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 3–2 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 1–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 2–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 2–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBristol City all · 46Bristol City at home · 23Leicester City all · 46Leicester City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.351.351.131.04
W / D / L17 / 11 / 189 / 4 / 1012 / 16 / 185 / 9 / 9
Goals for / match1.281.431.261.17
Goals against / match1.281.351.481.48
Clean sheets30%35%13%13%
Failed to score33%30%20%17%
Both teams scored46%39%72%74%
Over 2.546%48%54%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.211.281.22
xG against / match1.481.491.471.67
xG difference-0.29-0.28-0.19-0.45
Finishing vs xG0.100.22-0.02-0.05
xPts / match1.201.211.261.12
Points vs xPts0.150.13-0.13-0.08
Game state
Scored first39%44%48%35%
PPG when scoring first2.332.201.731.88
PPG when conceding first0.670.670.550.57
Came back from behind31%29%33%40%
Leads held77%75%46%50%
Minutes leading30%33%26%19%
Minutes level41%38%43%45%
Minutes trailing29%29%31%36%
First goal (min)32284051
First goal conceded (min)30313934
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half46%52%48%59%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%48%50%44%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.350.370.43
Late goals against0.240.300.280.26
Style
Possession49%52%52%50%
Shots12.212.712.912.0
On target4.14.04.24.3
Shot conversion10%11%10%10%
Shots inside box60%59%59%66%
Big chances created1.92.01.71.5
Corners4.84.75.34.4
xG from set plays24%20%34%38%
Goals from headers21%21%12%11%
Pressure index11.914.512.69.9
Dominant minutes43.948.947.141.7
Pass accuracy78%80%80%79%
Fouls9.58.810.810.9
Cards1.831.651.962.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-3-2-11 2%3.02.01.02.461.9

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 42%3.3Draw 28% P 28%3.1Away 30% P 31%

Double Chance

1.36Bristol City or Draw 35% P 35%1.33Bristol City or Leicester 36% P 36%1.61Draw or Leicester 29% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 55%2.1No 44% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 51%1.72Under 54% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%41%41%-0.1
Draw28%28%26%-1.9
Away31%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

James Linington

Career
298 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.82 (3.69 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 103 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.324.05+0.4969
Fouls / match22.021.8+0.11
Fouls per card5.15.4-0.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.17+0.6280
Time added7.27.2-0.0247
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-29 20 220 22'9
2025-11-22 10 170 90'5
2025-11-04 50 190 11'6
2025-10-25 · Bristol City 30 150 30'7
2025-10-21 30 200 15'8
2025-10-04 20 150 38'6
2025-05-03 · Bristol City 60 160 22'7
2025-04-26 60 240 8'6
2025-04-18 40 220 29'10
2025-04-05 50 140 52'7