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Championship · Matchweek 20
Hull CityHull City
2–0
FT
WrexhamWrexham

Momentum

– Hull CityWrexham –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
MKM Stadium, Hull
Capacity
25,586
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,464

Teams

Coaches
Sergej Jakirović · Phil Parkinson
Position
12 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Andrew Kitchen

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
9.9° (feels 6.1°)
Wind
10.3
Humidity
80%

Where to watch · 224

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Hull City

WLLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 12 · xG 5.84–9.0 · xPts 5.21

  • L H Middlesbrough 1–4 xG 1.08–1.21 UK CHAMP
  • W A Stoke City 2–1 xG 0.72–1.03 UK CHAMP
  • L H Ipswich Town 0–2 xG 0.62–2.23 UK CHAMP
  • L A Queens Park Rangers 2–3 xG 1.41–3.41 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 3–2 xG 2.01–1.12 UK CHAMP

Wrexham

WDWDD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 2 · xG 6.97–6.87 · xPts 6.66

  • D A Preston North End 1–1 xG 1.36–2.33 UK CHAMP
  • D H Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 2.13–1.48 UK CHAMP
  • W H Bristol City 2–0 xG 0.87–1.14 UK CHAMP
  • D A Ipswich Town 0–0 xG 0.06–1.52 UK CHAMP
  • W H Charlton Athletic 1–0 xG 2.54–0.41 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Hull City 20 draws0 Wrexham

Goals 4–1 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Hull City 20 draws0 Wrexham

Goals 4–1 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Hull City 20 draws0 Wrexham

Goals 4–1 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Wrexham 1–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 2–0 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricHull City all · 49Hull City at home · 25Wrexham all · 46Wrexham away · 23
Results
Matches49254623
Points per game1.631.681.541.48
W / D / L23 / 11 / 1512 / 6 / 719 / 14 / 139 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.491.441.501.22
Goals against / match1.351.361.411.22
Clean sheets29%28%26%30%
Failed to score18%24%13%22%
Both teams scored61%60%65%56%
Over 2.561%56%50%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.371.461.220.91
xG against / match1.661.421.481.68
xG difference-0.290.04-0.26-0.77
Finishing vs xG0.12-0.020.280.31
xPts / match1.251.411.220.91
Points vs xPts0.380.270.320.57
Game state
Scored first57%48%52%48%
PPG when scoring first2.182.422.081.91
PPG when conceding first0.881.000.951.10
Came back from behind35%36%46%42%
Leads held72%80%63%64%
Minutes leading30%28%31%32%
Minutes level53%54%46%49%
Minutes trailing17%18%23%20%
First goal (min)32303736
First goal conceded (min)40384043
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%42%54%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%41%55%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.270.200.370.26
Late goals against0.310.240.410.48
Style
Possession45%47%48%45%
Shots11.111.211.38.5
On target4.13.83.82.7
Shot conversion13%13%13%14%
Shots inside box68%68%66%64%
Big chances created2.22.12.31.7
Corners4.44.24.53.7
xG from set plays21%27%32%25%
Goals from headers14%9%29%15%
Pressure index9.311.010.17.1
Dominant minutes39.846.741.932.4
Pass accuracy72%73%78%76%
Fouls11.210.89.710.5
Cards2.552.081.591.91

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.583
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
3-5-21 2%3.01.00.00.521.73

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.45Home 38% P 38%3.3Draw 28% P 28%2.8Away 33% P 34%

Double Chance

1.4Hull or Draw 34% P 33%1.33Hull or Wrexham 35% P 36%1.53Draw or Wrexham 31% P 31%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 57%2.0No 46% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%
3.52.2Over 42% P 42%1.61Under 58% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 571 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%39%+0.5
Draw28%28%28%-0.0
Away34%34%33%-0.4

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Andrew Kitchen

Career
95 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.09 (3.01 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 7.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.18
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 78 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.334.05-1.318
Fouls / match22.821.8+0.84
Fouls per card7.05.4+2.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.17+0.0155
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
43' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-04 40 220 8'6
2025-11-25 20 300 82'5
2025-11-22 51 190 28'8
2025-11-08 30 260 49'8
2025-11-01 30 221 23'5
2025-10-25 · Hull City 30 170 44'7
2025-10-18 30 100 10'10
2025-10-05 40 240 17'8
2025-09-27 30 260 7'5
2025-09-19 –– 10– –8