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Championship · Matchweek 21
Leicester CityLEI
3–1
FT
Ipswich TownIpswich Town

Momentum

– LEIIpswich Town –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
King Power Stadium, Leicester
Capacity
32,312
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,948

Teams

Coaches
Martí Cifuentes Corvillo · Kieran McKenna
Position
13 · 5
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Thomas Kirk

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
7.2° (feels 3.6°)
Wind
6.3
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Leicester City

WLLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 10 · xG 6.01–7.65 · xPts 6.03

  • D A Bristol City 2–2 xG 1.5–1.55 UK CHAMP
  • W A Derby County 3–1 xG 1.22–1.31 UK CHAMP
  • L H Sheffield United 2–3 xG 1.57–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 0–3 xG 0.47–2.48 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 2–1 xG 1.25–0.96 UK CHAMP

Ipswich Town

WLDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 3 · xG 6.82–3.83 · xPts 8.82

  • W H Stoke City 1–0 xG 1.07–0.54 UK CHAMP
  • W H Coventry City 3–0 xG 1.0–0.63 UK CHAMP
  • D A Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 0.76–0.91 UK CHAMP
  • L A Oxford United 1–2 xG 1.76–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • W A Hull City 2–0 xG 2.23–0.62 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 26 matches since 2000

Leicester City 119 draws6 Ipswich Town

Goals 39–27 · 2.54 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 38%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Leicester City 54 draws1 Ipswich Town

Goals 20–7 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Leicester City 23 draws0 Ipswich Town

Goals 8–4 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 3–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 2–0 Ipswich Town UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Leicester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Leicester City 1–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 3–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 1–2 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 1–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 6–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricLeicester City all · 46Leicester City at home · 23Ipswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.131.221.831.48
W / D / L12 / 16 / 187 / 7 / 923 / 15 / 89 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.261.351.741.61
Goals against / match1.481.481.021.30
Clean sheets13%13%37%30%
Failed to score20%22%13%17%
Both teams scored72%70%56%61%
Over 2.554%52%52%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.281.341.831.59
xG against / match1.471.271.031.22
xG difference-0.190.070.800.36
Finishing vs xG-0.020.01-0.090.02
xPts / match1.261.391.881.61
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.17-0.06-0.13
Game state
Scored first48%61%54%39%
PPG when scoring first1.731.642.682.78
PPG when conceding first0.550.500.780.58
Came back from behind33%25%60%46%
Leads held46%44%79%75%
Minutes leading26%34%33%21%
Minutes level43%41%50%53%
Minutes trailing31%25%17%26%
First goal (min)40304050
First goal conceded (min)39444035
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%39%59%76%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%56%51%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.300.500.52
Late goals against0.280.300.130.22
Style
Possession52%54%56%56%
Shots12.913.815.113.7
On target4.24.05.14.5
Shot conversion10%10%12%12%
Shots inside box59%54%67%66%
Big chances created1.72.02.82.2
Corners5.36.15.75.2
xG from set plays34%30%32%36%
Goals from headers12%13%12%19%
Pressure index12.615.318.816.9
Dominant minutes47.152.462.357.8
Pass accuracy80%82%81%80%
Fouls10.810.711.212.0
Cards1.961.741.932.48

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.25Home 29% P 27%3.25Draw 29% P 30%2.2Away 42% P 43%

Double Chance

1.61Leicester or Draw 29% P 29%1.33Leicester or Ipswich 36% P 35%1.36Draw or Ipswich 35% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 49%1.83No 50% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 42%1.66Under 57% P 58%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 46%1.83Under 50% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 42.5–45% · 322 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%27%26%-0.8
Draw30%29%32%+2.9
Away43%44%42%-2.0

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 39%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

Thomas Kirk

Career
51 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.55 (4.39 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.05+0.7074
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.11
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.97 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.3974
Time added8.07.2+0.9078
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-10 50 220 3'6
2025-12-03 –– 17– –8
2025-11-26 30 190 28'8
2025-11-08 40 171 14'7
2025-10-25 50 230 35'9
2025-10-22 40 120 72'9
2025-10-05 · Ipswich Town 40 240 38'7
2025-10-04 · Leicester City 30 211 71'8
2025-09-27 51 230 34'12
2025-09-13 40 200 8'10