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Championship · Matchweek 21
MiddlesbroughMID
3–1
FT
Queens Park RangersQPR

Momentum

– MIDQPR –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Capacity
34,988
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,055

Teams

Coaches
Kim Hellberg · Julien Stéphan
Position
2 · 8
Formation
4-2-2-2 · 4-4-2

Referee

David Webb

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
8.8° (feels 4.9°)
Wind
8.8
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Middlesbrough

DLWWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 8 · xG 5.53–4.98 · xPts 7.38

  • W A Charlton Athletic 2–1 xG 0.83–0.31 UK CHAMP
  • W A Hull City 4–1 xG 1.21–1.08 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 2–1 xG 1.63–0.84 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 2–4 xG 0.95–2.01 UK CHAMP
  • D A Oxford United 1–1 xG 0.91–0.74 UK CHAMP

Queens Park Rangers

WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 7 · xG 9.66–5.45 · xPts 9.41

  • W H Birmingham City 2–1 xG 1.71–0.45 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 3–1 xG 1.19–1.31 UK CHAMP
  • L A Norwich City 1–3 xG 1.94–1.38 UK CHAMP
  • W A Blackburn Rovers 1–0 xG 1.41–0.9 UK CHAMP
  • W H Hull City 3–2 xG 3.41–1.41 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 27 matches since 2009

Middlesbrough 143 draws10 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 50–38 · 3.26 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Middlesbrough 71 draws2 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 23–11 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Middlesbrough 50 draws0 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 14–3 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Queens Park Rangers 0–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 0–4 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 3–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 2–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–4 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 0–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 0–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 3–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 3–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 2–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMiddlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough at home · 24Queens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers away · 23
Results
Matches49244623
Points per game1.651.791.261.09
W / D / L22 / 15 / 1212 / 7 / 516 / 10 / 206 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.491.421.330.91
Goals against / match1.020.751.591.57
Clean sheets29%42%22%26%
Failed to score26%29%28%39%
Both teams scored55%46%63%52%
Over 2.553%42%63%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.591.621.300.98
xG against / match1.050.951.331.45
xG difference0.530.67-0.03-0.47
Finishing vs xG-0.10-0.210.02-0.07
xPts / match1.701.801.371.07
Points vs xPts-0.04-0.01-0.110.02
Game state
Scored first53%54%33%17%
PPG when scoring first2.462.622.473.00
PPG when conceding first0.670.710.600.60
Came back from behind46%38%26%33%
Leads held79%86%84%100%
Minutes leading32%33%20%10%
Minutes level49%52%46%48%
Minutes trailing19%15%34%42%
First goal (min)37384550
First goal conceded (min)46473423
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%53%57%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%61%48%28%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.170.390.26
Late goals against0.290.290.260.04
Style
Possession59%60%46%45%
Shots16.217.312.711.1
On target4.85.24.13.2
Shot conversion9%8%10%8%
Shots inside box64%63%63%63%
Big chances created2.42.31.81.2
Corners6.87.84.84.3
xG from set plays24%30%31%34%
Goals from headers12%15%17%20%
Pressure index19.721.011.77.9
Dominant minutes63.163.146.738.9
Pass accuracy84%84%76%76%
Fouls9.39.211.010.8
Cards1.611.081.911.70

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.61 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
4-3-33 6%2.331.670.01.250.75

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.85Home 51% P 51%3.7Draw 25% P 26%3.9Away 24% P 23%

Double Chance

1.25Middlesbrough or Draw 38% P 38%1.28Middlesbrough or QPR 37% P 37%1.9Draw or QPR 25% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 53%1.9No 49% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%6.5Over 14 13%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 22.5–25% · 500 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home51%51%53%+2.3
Draw26%25%23%-2.6
Away23%23%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%51%51%-0.1

David Webb

Career
296 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
2.96 (2.84 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
18.7 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 136 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.264.05-1.436
Fouls / match20.421.8-1.29
Fouls per card6.55.4+1.45 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2247
Time added7.67.2+0.4463
First card
38' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-06 20 200 49'8
2025-11-29 20 150 14'12
2025-11-25 · Middlesbrough –– 28– –8
2025-11-23 30 210 36'11
2025-11-04 30 160 45'10
2025-11-01 –– 18– –10
2025-10-21 20 160 61'7
2025-09-30 · Middlesbrough 20 130 13'7
2025-09-20 40 150 13'10
2025-09-13 20 130 52'10