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Championship · Matchweek 21

Momentum

Norwich CitySouthampton
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Carrow Road, Norwich
Capacity
27,244
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,627

Teams

Coaches
Philippe Clement · Tonda Eckert
Position
23 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

James Bell

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
9.2° (feels 7.2°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
85%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Norwich City

LDWLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 10 · xG 7.78–10.06 · xPts 5.92

  • D A Sheffield United 1–1 xG 1.35–3.07 UK CHAMP
  • L A Watford 2–3 xG 1.76–1.33 UK CHAMP
  • W H Queens Park Rangers 3–1 xG 1.38–1.94 UK CHAMP
  • D H Oxford United 1–1 xG 1.53–0.93 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 1–4 xG 1.77–2.78 UK CHAMP

Southampton

WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 16 GA 7 · xG 10.53–7.57 · xPts 8.21

  • W H West Bromwich Albion 3–2 xG 0.79–1.97 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 3–1 xG 1.7–1.83 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 2–3 xG 1.58–2.35 UK CHAMP
  • W H Leicester City 3–0 xG 2.48–0.47 UK CHAMP
  • W A Charlton Athletic 5–1 xG 3.98–0.95 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 26 matches since 2004

Norwich City 86 draws12 Southampton

Goals 31–41 · 2.77 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Norwich City 23 draws5 Southampton

Goals 12–18 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Norwich City 12 draws2 Southampton

Goals 7–9 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Southampton 1–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 2–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 1–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 4–4 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 2–0 Norwich City UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 2–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 0–3 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 2–1 Norwich City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 1–0 Norwich City UK FA Cup · 3rd Round Replays
  • D Norwich City 2–2 Southampton UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
MetricNorwich City all · 46Norwich City at home · 23Southampton all · 48Southampton away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.411.301.751.54
W / D / L19 / 8 / 199 / 3 / 1123 / 15 / 1010 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.371.171.751.83
Goals against / match1.221.221.191.54
Clean sheets20%17%25%8%
Failed to score20%26%12%8%
Both teams scored61%56%71%88%
Over 2.548%44%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.411.711.64
xG against / match1.461.271.331.57
xG difference-0.100.140.380.06
Finishing vs xG0.02-0.240.040.20
xPts / match1.351.461.591.41
Points vs xPts0.06-0.160.160.13
Game state
Scored first52%48%52%54%
PPG when scoring first2.082.092.241.85
PPG when conceding first0.680.581.261.20
Came back from behind27%21%54%46%
Leads held68%69%72%62%
Minutes leading28%24%34%31%
Minutes level48%53%49%49%
Minutes trailing24%24%18%20%
First goal (min)42494040
First goal conceded (min)46504446
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%59%55%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%64%61%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.220.380.50
Late goals against0.300.300.270.38
Style
Possession54%56%56%54%
Shots12.613.714.413.1
On target4.54.55.35.1
Shot conversion11%9%12%14%
Shots inside box64%62%68%71%
Big chances created2.32.52.92.8
Corners5.35.75.85.0
xG from set plays25%27%28%32%
Goals from headers10%8%22%19%
Pressure index12.514.117.914.7
Dominant minutes53.258.859.054.2
Pass accuracy79%80%83%82%
Fouls10.210.010.711.5
Cards1.931.571.882.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.072
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86
5-4-12 4%2.01.50.02.420.33

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.3Home 28% P 27%3.9Draw 24% P 24%1.95Away 48% P 49%

Double Chance

1.8Norwich or Draw 26% P 26%1.25Norwich or Southampton 38% P 38%1.33Draw or Southampton 36% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.51 38%1.52 62%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62% P 62%2.5No 38% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.37Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49% P 45%1.8Under 51% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 47.5–50% · 285 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%26%24%-2.2
Draw24%25%27%+1.9
Away49%49%49%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 56%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

James Bell

Career
75 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.95 (3.81 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.6 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.964.05-0.1747
Fouls / match20.421.8-1.36
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.48 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2049
Time added7.77.2+0.5667
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-09 30 190 80'7
2025-11-25 60 210 37'7
2025-11-05 · Southampton 40 260 38'9
2025-11-01 30 230 7'6
2025-10-25 30 201 28'10
2025-10-18 50 210 43'7
2025-08-09 · Southampton 40 251 25'10
2025-05-03 20 180 48'7
2025-04-28 10 100 49'6
2025-04-21 30 220 73'6