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Championship · Matchweek 21
Oxford UnitedOXF
1–2
FT
Preston North EndPNE

Momentum

– OXFPNE –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
The Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Capacity
12,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,379

Teams

Coaches
Gary Rowett · Paul Heckingbottom
Position
21 · 5
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

James Linington

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
8.9° (feels 6.8°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Oxford United

DDWLD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 4.76–7.55 · xPts 5.1

  • D A Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 0.32–2.28 UK CHAMP
  • L A Swansea City 0–2 xG 1.63–1.08 UK CHAMP
  • W H Ipswich Town 2–1 xG 1.13–1.76 UK CHAMP
  • D A Norwich City 1–1 xG 0.93–1.53 UK CHAMP
  • D H Middlesbrough 1–1 xG 0.74–0.91 UK CHAMP

Preston North End

LDWDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 6.5–8.54 · xPts 5.52

  • D H Coventry City 1–1 xG 0.48–1.87 UK CHAMP
  • D H Wrexham 1–1 xG 2.33–1.36 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 3–2 xG 0.91–1.96 UK CHAMP
  • D A Watford 1–1 xG 0.59–1.95 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 1–2 xG 2.18–1.4 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Oxford United 21 draws1 Preston North End

Goals 8–5 · 3.25 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Oxford United 21 draws1 Preston North End

Goals 8–5 · 3.25 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 75%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Oxford United 21 draws1 Preston North End

Goals 8–5 · 3.25 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 75%

Recent meetings

  • W Preston North End 1–3 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Oxford United 1–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Oxford United 3–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricOxford United all · 46Oxford United at home · 23Preston North End all · 46Preston North End away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.021.261.301.26
W / D / L11 / 14 / 217 / 8 / 815 / 15 / 167 / 8 / 8
Goals for / match0.981.041.201.17
Goals against / match1.281.171.351.39
Clean sheets17%22%20%17%
Failed to score41%39%26%26%
Both teams scored52%48%59%61%
Over 2.546%44%48%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.171.361.181.14
xG against / match1.431.171.631.83
xG difference-0.250.19-0.45-0.70
Finishing vs xG-0.20-0.320.020.04
xPts / match1.211.481.131.01
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.220.170.25
Game state
Scored first39%44%41%44%
PPG when scoring first2.062.402.162.00
PPG when conceding first0.220.270.680.67
Came back from behind19%27%38%33%
Leads held58%70%62%54%
Minutes leading21%23%28%30%
Minutes level47%47%45%43%
Minutes trailing32%30%27%27%
First goal (min)28263632
First goal conceded (min)35334240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half38%38%51%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half41%41%50%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.170.260.22
Late goals against0.150.040.300.26
Style
Possession40%42%46%44%
Shots11.914.110.910.6
On target3.44.23.63.8
Shot conversion8%7%11%11%
Shots inside box54%55%68%66%
Big chances created1.61.71.61.6
Corners4.04.64.53.7
xG from set plays40%46%34%33%
Goals from headers16%12%22%22%
Pressure index6.49.18.88.1
Dominant minutes33.744.240.538.6
Pass accuracy69%69%72%72%
Fouls10.810.510.410.7
Cards1.671.302.092.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.165
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 36%3.25Draw 29% P 29%2.7Away 35% P 36%

Double Chance

1.44Oxford Utd or Draw 32% P 32%1.33Oxford Utd or Preston 35% P 36%1.44Draw or Preston 32% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 53%1.9No 49% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%36%35%-0.6
Draw29%28%28%+0.2
Away36%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

James Linington

Career
298 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.82 (3.69 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 103 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.324.05+0.4869
Fouls / match22.021.8+0.11
Fouls per card5.15.4-0.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.17+0.6382
Time added7.27.2-0.0245
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-10 50 251 9'7
2025-11-29 20 220 22'9
2025-11-22 10 170 90'5
2025-11-04 50 190 11'6
2025-10-25 30 150 30'7
2025-10-21 30 200 15'8
2025-10-04 · Preston North End 20 150 38'6
2025-05-03 · Preston North End 60 160 22'7
2025-04-26 60 240 8'6
2025-04-18 40 220 29'10