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Championship · Matchweek 21

Momentum

PortsmouthBBR
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Capacity
20,688
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,652

Teams

Coaches
John Mousinho · Valérien Ismaël
Position
23 · 20
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Tim Robinson

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
8.3° (feels 8.3°)
Wind
0.5
Humidity
90%

Where to watch · 53

  • Algeria beIN SPORTS CONNECT · TOD
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  • International Bet365
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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Portsmouth

LWLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 4.89–8.56 · xPts 5.11

  • L A Swansea City 0–1 xG 0.61–0.95 UK CHAMP
  • L H Bristol City 0–1 xG 1.72–1.74 UK CHAMP
  • L A Sheffield United 0–3 xG 0.09–3.09 UK CHAMP
  • W H Millwall 3–1 xG 1.35–0.76 UK CHAMP
  • L A Hull City 2–3 xG 1.12–2.01 UK CHAMP

Blackburn Rovers

WLDDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 6.96–6.8 · xPts 7.0

  • D H Oxford United 1–1 xG 2.28–0.32 UK CHAMP
  • D H Ipswich Town 1–1 xG 0.91–0.76 UK CHAMP
  • D A Wrexham 1–1 xG 1.48–2.13 UK CHAMP
  • L H Queens Park Rangers 0–1 xG 0.9–1.41 UK CHAMP
  • W A Preston North End 2–1 xG 1.4–2.18 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 18 matches since 2003

Portsmouth 63 draws9 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 18–25 · 2.39 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Portsmouth 42 draws4 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 9–13 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Portsmouth 22 draws1 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 4–5 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Blackburn Rovers 1–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 2–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 1–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 3–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 0–0 Blackburn Rovers UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 3–1 Portsmouth neutral UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 2–0 Portsmouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 3–2 Blackburn Rovers UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 0–1 Blackburn Rovers UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Portsmouth neutral UK PL · Regular Season
MetricPortsmouth all · 46Portsmouth at home · 23Blackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.301.131.35
W / D / L14 / 13 / 198 / 6 / 913 / 13 / 209 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.071.090.911.00
Goals against / match1.391.001.221.26
Clean sheets22%26%26%30%
Failed to score28%30%35%39%
Both teams scored54%48%48%39%
Over 2.544%39%39%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.461.201.13
xG against / match1.241.121.301.45
xG difference-0.060.34-0.10-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.37-0.28-0.13
xPts / match1.361.601.321.19
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.30-0.190.16
Game state
Scored first46%48%46%52%
PPG when scoring first2.192.271.762.17
PPG when conceding first0.300.360.520.33
Came back from behind27%31%26%9%
Leads held64%67%56%69%
Minutes leading18%23%21%28%
Minutes level51%51%55%48%
Minutes trailing31%27%24%24%
First goal (min)50454436
First goal conceded (min)41454944
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%48%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%56%59%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.280.350.220.09
Late goals against0.280.130.390.35
Style
Possession50%54%48%47%
Shots12.215.411.511.4
On target3.74.43.23.1
Shot conversion9%7%8%9%
Shots inside box65%67%67%66%
Big chances created1.61.82.02.2
Corners5.66.35.34.9
xG from set plays40%41%27%24%
Goals from headers16%20%27%27%
Pressure index11.714.810.19.4
Dominant minutes49.757.044.643.4
Pass accuracy74%74%74%75%
Fouls10.29.810.511.3
Cards1.931.742.172.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.403

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.024

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.20

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
3-1-4-21 2%0.00.03.00.782.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.9Home 32% P 33%3.3Draw 28% P 28%2.4Away 39% P 39%

Double Chance

1.5Portsmouth or Draw 32% P 31%1.33Portsmouth or Blackburn 36% P 36%1.44Draw or Blackburn 33% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 53%1.9No 49% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 47%1.72Under 55% P 53%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44% P 44%1.66Under 56% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%34%31%-2.8
Draw28%28%28%-0.1
Away39%39%42%+3.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Tim Robinson

Career
329 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
3.97 (3.82 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
23.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 80 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.654.05+1.0892
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.71
Fouls per card4.95.4-1.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.190.17+0.1363
Time added6.77.2-0.6024
First card
36' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-03 40 300 19'10
2025-11-29 101 271 21'15
2025-11-09 50 220 12'9
2025-10-18 30 170 52'8
2025-10-04 30 250 12'4
2025-09-20 80 210 39'8
2025-05-25 20 190 35'9
2025-05-10 20 170 43'9
2025-04-26 40 250 14'7
2025-04-19 61 180 18'11