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Championship · Matchweek 21
Sheffield WednesdaySHF
0–3
FT
Derby CountyDerby County

Momentum

– SHFDerby County –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield
Capacity
34,835
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,466

Teams

Coaches
Henrik Pedersen · John Eustace
Position
24 · 16
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-4-3

Referee

Lewis Smith

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
8.4° (feels 8.4°)
Wind
1.1
Humidity
92%

Where to watch · 222

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Sheffield Wednesday

LLLLD 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 11 · xG 4.74–10.79 · xPts 3.92

  • D A Watford 1–1 xG 0.63–2.73 UK CHAMP
  • L H Preston North End 2–3 xG 1.96–0.91 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 0–1 xG 0.72–3.54 UK CHAMP
  • L H Sheffield United 0–3 xG 0.31–1.94 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 1–3 xG 1.11–1.67 UK CHAMP

Derby County

LWLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 5.0–6.46 · xPts 5.81

  • D H Millwall 1–1 xG 1.34–1.1 UK CHAMP
  • L H Leicester City 1–3 xG 1.31–1.22 UK CHAMP
  • L A Middlesbrough 1–2 xG 0.84–1.63 UK CHAMP
  • W A Swansea City 2–1 xG 1.11–0.91 UK CHAMP
  • L H Watford 2–3 xG 0.4–1.6 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 32 matches since 2005

Sheffield Wednesday 711 draws14 Derby County

Goals 34–49 · 2.59 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 53%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sheffield Wednesday 33 draws4 Derby County

Goals 15–18 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sheffield Wednesday 21 draws2 Derby County

Goals 10–11 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Derby County 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield Wednesday 0–3 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 4–2 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Derby County 1–2 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 3–3 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield Wednesday 1–3 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 1–1 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 1–1 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield Wednesday 1–2 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSheffield Wednesday all · 46Sheffield Wednesday at home · 23Derby County all · 46Derby County away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game0.390.431.501.43
W / D / L2 / 12 / 321 / 7 / 1520 / 9 / 1710 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match0.630.611.461.57
Goals against / match1.931.911.281.39
Clean sheets9%4%26%22%
Failed to score50%52%9%13%
Both teams scored48%48%65%65%
Over 2.552%48%52%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.880.961.231.18
xG against / match2.011.951.321.54
xG difference-1.13-0.99-0.09-0.35
Finishing vs xG-0.25-0.350.230.38
xPts / match0.730.831.331.18
Points vs xPts-0.34-0.400.170.25
Game state
Scored first26%35%54%56%
PPG when scoring first1.001.002.242.15
PPG when conceding first0.100.070.620.50
Came back from behind9%6%35%23%
Leads held15%12%69%67%
Minutes leading13%16%30%32%
Minutes level41%45%46%46%
Minutes trailing46%39%24%22%
First goal (min)38364035
First goal conceded (min)36434045
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%43%52%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%64%58%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.070.040.260.26
Late goals against0.430.430.300.35
Style
Possession45%47%44%40%
Shots8.79.311.010.0
On target2.52.53.63.4
Shot conversion7%6%13%16%
Shots inside box68%71%70%77%
Big chances created1.21.42.22.2
Corners4.34.84.53.6
xG from set plays33%35%39%33%
Goals from headers17%29%28%25%
Pressure index6.97.710.18.6
Dominant minutes32.836.539.934.2
Pass accuracy73%74%73%70%
Fouls11.811.712.312.8
Cards1.701.522.632.96

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sheffield Wednesday

0–15'516
16–30'79
31–45'315
46–60'713
61–75'416
76–90'320

Derby County

0–15'811
16–30'95
31–45'159
46–60'135
61–75'1015
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sheffield Wednesday

No pressure profile yet.

Derby County · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.297
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315

Game state

When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254

Situations

At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207

Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20

Sheffield Wednesday

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 28%0.540.381.540.851.98
3-5-212 26%0.670.751.750.831.9
4-2-3-16 13%0.00.332.330.472.39
3-4-1-24 9%0.251.02.51.242.19
3-4-34 9%0.250.752.01.051.86

Derby County

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.621.461.131.481.25
3-4-2-111 24%1.821.551.180.921.35
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.41.61.031.95
4-4-24 9%0.251.02.250.831.09
3-4-31 2%3.03.00.01.470.12

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.6Home 26% P 27%3.25Draw 29% P 28%2.05Away 45% P 45%

Double Chance

1.72Sheff Wed or Draw 27% P 28%1.33Sheff Wed or Derby 36% P 36%1.28Draw or Derby 37% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 52%1.83No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 13%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 42.5–45% · 322 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%27%26%-0.8
Draw28%29%32%+2.9
Away45%44%42%-2.0

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 39%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Lewis Smith

Career
75 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.67 (3.57 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 51 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.05-0.2841
Fouls / match20.821.8-1.01
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.3043
Time added8.27.2+1.1488
First card
34' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-06 20 140 49'8
2025-11-29 40 180 57'10
2025-11-25 40 220 22'7
2025-11-08 20 130 45'7
2025-11-04 –– 25– –6
2025-10-21 70 220 10'9
2025-10-04 70 150 5'11
2025-10-01 40 180 17'8
2025-09-20 · Derby County 40 170 55'9
2025-08-30 30 180 18'10