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Championship · Matchweek 22
Blackburn RoversBBR
2–0
FT
MillwallMillwall

Momentum

– BBRMillwall –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
Ewood Park, Blackburn
Capacity
31,367
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,657

Teams

Coaches
Valérien Ismaël · Alex Neil
Position
20 · 4
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Samuel Allison

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
6.6° (feels 5.4°)
Wind
1.8
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Blackburn Rovers

LDDDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 6.65–6.77 · xPts 6.82

  • L A Portsmouth 1–2 xG 1.09–2.15 UK CHAMP
  • D H Oxford United 1–1 xG 2.28–0.32 UK CHAMP
  • D H Ipswich Town 1–1 xG 0.91–0.76 UK CHAMP
  • D A Wrexham 1–1 xG 1.48–2.13 UK CHAMP
  • L H Queens Park Rangers 0–1 xG 0.9–1.41 UK CHAMP

Millwall

WWWDL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 8.68–7.28 · xPts 7.24

  • L H Hull City 1–3 xG 0.58–1.92 UK CHAMP
  • D A Derby County 1–1 xG 1.1–1.34 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 1–0 xG 1.1–1.71 UK CHAMP
  • W H Southampton 3–2 xG 2.35–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 xG 3.54–0.72 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 25 matches since 2012

Blackburn Rovers 147 draws4 Millwall

Goals 40–23 · 2.52 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Blackburn Rovers 72 draws1 Millwall

Goals 20–10 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Blackburn Rovers 40 draws1 Millwall

Goals 11–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Blackburn Rovers 3–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 1–2 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 2–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 4–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 1–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Blackburn Rovers 1–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 1–2 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 3–4 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Blackburn Rovers 0–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBlackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers at home · 23Millwall all · 48Millwall away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.130.911.751.75
W / D / L13 / 13 / 204 / 9 / 1024 / 12 / 1211 / 9 / 4
Goals for / match0.910.831.331.29
Goals against / match1.221.171.061.00
Clean sheets26%22%40%33%
Failed to score35%30%21%21%
Both teams scored48%56%48%58%
Over 2.539%30%46%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.201.261.501.38
xG against / match1.301.151.331.51
xG difference-0.100.110.18-0.13
Finishing vs xG-0.28-0.43-0.17-0.08
xPts / match1.321.461.471.30
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.540.280.45
Game state
Scored first46%39%52%46%
PPG when scoring first1.761.222.602.64
PPG when conceding first0.520.670.791.00
Came back from behind26%38%43%60%
Leads held56%40%86%85%
Minutes leading21%14%27%20%
Minutes level55%61%56%61%
Minutes trailing24%24%17%18%
First goal (min)44514451
First goal conceded (min)49534342
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%58%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%52%67%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.350.350.38
Late goals against0.390.430.350.25
Style
Possession48%48%48%46%
Shots11.511.612.912.3
On target3.23.24.23.8
Shot conversion8%7%10%10%
Shots inside box67%69%68%65%
Big chances created2.01.72.32.2
Corners5.35.85.75.2
xG from set plays27%30%33%30%
Goals from headers27%26%16%13%
Pressure index10.110.711.99.1
Dominant minutes44.645.844.439.2
Pass accuracy74%73%70%69%
Fouls10.59.812.614.4
Cards2.172.001.902.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
3-1-4-21 2%0.00.03.00.782.71

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 41%3.3Draw 29% P 29%3.2Away 29% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Blackburn or Draw 35% P 35%1.33Blackburn or Millwall 36% P 35%1.61Draw or Millwall 29% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 52%1.83No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 51%1.83Under 50% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%42%+0.5
Draw29%30%27%-2.4
Away30%29%31%+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%44%43%-1.2

Samuel Allison

Career
80 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.88 (3.8 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
22.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 64 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.834.05-0.4031
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.24
Fouls per card5.95.4+0.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9512
Time added7.37.2+0.0953
First card
33' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-09 40 250 8'9
2025-11-29 30 230 31'7
2025-11-08 20 220 30'11
2025-11-01 40 260 63'9
2025-10-18 · Blackburn Rovers 20 220 18'6
2025-10-01 50 170 28'8
2025-04-21 71 250 27'13
2025-04-08 · Millwall 10 230 45'2
2025-03-29 30 220 4'5
2025-03-14 50 210 34'5