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Championship · Matchweek 22
Bristol CityBristol City
2–0
FT
MiddlesbroughMID

Momentum

– Bristol CityMID –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Capacity
27,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,259

Teams

Coaches
Gerhard Struber · Kim Hellberg
Position
11 · 2
Formation
4-2-2-2 · 3-5-2

Referee

Anthony Backhouse

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
7.7° (feels 4.4°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Bristol City

LWLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 6 · xG 7.79–7.9 · xPts 7.01

  • L A Coventry City 0–1 xG 1.65–2.7 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 2–2 xG 1.55–1.5 UK CHAMP
  • L H Millwall 0–1 xG 1.71–1.1 UK CHAMP
  • W A Portsmouth 1–0 xG 1.74–1.72 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 0–2 xG 1.14–0.87 UK CHAMP

Middlesbrough

LWWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 13 GA 8 · xG 6.86–5.57 · xPts 7.85

  • W H Queens Park Rangers 3–1 xG 2.24–1.33 UK CHAMP
  • W A Charlton Athletic 2–1 xG 0.83–0.31 UK CHAMP
  • W A Hull City 4–1 xG 1.21–1.08 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 2–1 xG 1.63–0.84 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 2–4 xG 0.95–2.01 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 31 matches since 2007

Bristol City 168 draws7 Middlesbrough

Goals 47–36 · 2.68 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bristol City 63 draws1 Middlesbrough

Goals 18–11 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bristol City 41 draws0 Middlesbrough

Goals 9–3 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Middlesbrough 1–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 2–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 2–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 0–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 1–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 3–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 2–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 1–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 2–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 2–1 Bristol City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBristol City all · 46Bristol City at home · 23Middlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough away · 25
Results
Matches46234925
Points per game1.351.351.651.52
W / D / L17 / 11 / 189 / 4 / 1022 / 15 / 1210 / 8 / 7
Goals for / match1.281.431.491.56
Goals against / match1.281.351.021.28
Clean sheets30%35%29%16%
Failed to score33%30%26%24%
Both teams scored46%39%55%64%
Over 2.546%48%53%64%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.211.591.55
xG against / match1.481.491.051.15
xG difference-0.29-0.280.530.40
Finishing vs xG0.100.22-0.100.01
xPts / match1.201.211.701.60
Points vs xPts0.150.13-0.04-0.08
Game state
Scored first39%44%53%52%
PPG when scoring first2.332.202.462.31
PPG when conceding first0.670.670.670.64
Came back from behind31%29%46%50%
Leads held77%75%79%71%
Minutes leading30%33%32%31%
Minutes level41%38%49%47%
Minutes trailing29%29%19%22%
First goal (min)32283736
First goal conceded (min)30314645
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half46%52%51%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%48%55%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.350.220.28
Late goals against0.240.300.290.28
Style
Possession49%52%59%58%
Shots12.212.716.215.3
On target4.14.04.84.5
Shot conversion10%11%9%10%
Shots inside box60%59%64%65%
Big chances created1.92.02.42.5
Corners4.84.76.85.8
xG from set plays24%20%24%18%
Goals from headers21%21%12%10%
Pressure index11.914.519.718.4
Dominant minutes43.948.963.163.2
Pass accuracy78%80%84%84%
Fouls9.58.89.39.5
Cards1.831.651.612.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bristol City · 8 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.378
Early press (0-15, level)+0.568
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.105
When level+0.478
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.087
10 min after scoring+0.496

Situations

At home+0.154
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.423
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.244
As favourite+0.193
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.148
Conceded when ahead-0.285
Conceded late (76+)-0.408

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level +0.04

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.61 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Bristol City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-3-2-11 2%3.02.01.02.461.9

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
4-1-4-13 6%1.672.00.672.480.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.6Home 36% P 35%3.6Draw 26% P 27%2.5Away 38% P 38%

Double Chance

1.5Bristol City or Draw 32% P 31%1.28Bristol City or Middlesbrough 37% P 37%1.5Draw or Middlesbrough 32% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 58%2.2No 42% P 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 54%1.9Under 49% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 37.5–40% · 154 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%36%35%-0.9
Draw27%26%30%+4.1
Away38%38%35%-3.3

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes58%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%55%+0.8

Anthony Backhouse

Career
81 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.02 (3.94 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
19.6 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.11
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 58 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.05+0.8480
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.18
Fouls per card4.85.4-1.12 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3139
Time added8.07.2+0.9078
First card
33' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-06 60 210 43'8
2025-11-29 30 210 68'6
2025-11-22 30 180 15'7
2025-11-05 40 170 48'6
2025-10-31 30 190 43'6
2025-10-21 · Bristol City 30 210 70'7
2025-10-04 · Middlesbrough 30 190 68'7
2025-09-27 60 260 39'9
2025-09-20 80 250 15'10
2025-08-30 20 240 30'6