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Championship · Matchweek 22

Momentum

PNENorwich City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
Deepdale, Preston
Capacity
23,408
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,831

Teams

Coaches
Paul Heckingbottom · Philippe Clement
Position
3 · 23
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Stephen Martin

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
7.0° (feels 3.4°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
86%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Preston North End

DWDDW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 5.16–8.52 · xPts 4.63

  • W A Oxford United 2–1 xG 0.85–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • D H Coventry City 1–1 xG 0.48–1.87 UK CHAMP
  • D H Wrexham 1–1 xG 2.33–1.36 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 3–2 xG 0.91–1.96 UK CHAMP
  • D A Watford 1–1 xG 0.59–1.95 UK CHAMP

Norwich City

DWLDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 7.98–9.04 · xPts 6.56

  • W H Southampton 2–1 xG 1.97–1.76 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield United 1–1 xG 1.35–3.07 UK CHAMP
  • L A Watford 2–3 xG 1.76–1.33 UK CHAMP
  • W H Queens Park Rangers 3–1 xG 1.38–1.94 UK CHAMP
  • D H Oxford United 1–1 xG 1.53–0.93 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 28 matches since 2006

Preston North End 910 draws9 Norwich City

Goals 31–34 · 2.32 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 36%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Preston North End 25 draws3 Norwich City

Goals 10–15 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Preston North End 12 draws2 Norwich City

Goals 4–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Norwich City 2–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 0–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 2–2 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 0–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 0–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 0–4 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 2–3 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 2–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPreston North End all · 46Preston North End at home · 23Norwich City all · 46Norwich City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.301.351.411.52
W / D / L15 / 15 / 168 / 7 / 819 / 8 / 1910 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.201.221.371.57
Goals against / match1.351.301.221.22
Clean sheets20%22%20%22%
Failed to score26%26%20%13%
Both teams scored59%56%61%65%
Over 2.548%48%48%52%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.221.351.30
xG against / match1.631.421.461.64
xG difference-0.45-0.20-0.10-0.35
Finishing vs xG0.020.000.020.27
xPts / match1.131.251.351.23
Points vs xPts0.170.100.060.29
Game state
Scored first41%39%52%56%
PPG when scoring first2.162.332.082.08
PPG when conceding first0.680.690.680.80
Came back from behind38%43%27%33%
Leads held62%73%68%67%
Minutes leading28%27%28%32%
Minutes level45%46%48%42%
Minutes trailing27%27%24%26%
First goal (min)36404236
First goal conceded (min)42434641
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%61%57%56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%59%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.260.30
Late goals against0.300.350.300.30
Style
Possession46%48%54%52%
Shots10.911.312.611.5
On target3.63.44.54.4
Shot conversion11%11%11%14%
Shots inside box68%69%64%66%
Big chances created1.61.72.32.1
Corners4.55.35.35.0
xG from set plays34%35%25%23%
Goals from headers22%21%10%11%
Pressure index8.89.512.510.8
Dominant minutes40.542.353.247.7
Pass accuracy72%73%79%78%
Fouls10.410.110.210.4
Cards2.092.131.932.30

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.072
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 45%3.5Draw 27% P 26%3.1Away 30% P 29%

Double Chance

1.36Preston or Draw 35% P 35%1.28Preston or Norwich 37% P 37%1.66Draw or Norwich 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 57%2.0No 46% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 52%1.9Under 50% P 48%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%44%43%-0.3
Draw26%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Stephen Martin

Career
78 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.58 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.9 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 72 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.64.05+0.9986
Fouls / match23.021.8+1.06
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.59 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9412
Time added7.77.2+0.5667
First card
35' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-13 40 280 57'6
2025-12-06 30 211 33'7
2025-11-22 40 210 60'7
2025-11-08 · Preston North End 40 210 13'7
2025-11-04 10 200 85'8
2025-10-25 50 250 32'9
2025-09-26 70 290 47'6
2025-08-23 80 280 39'13
2025-08-16 · Norwich City 60 211 25'12
2025-08-09 30 220 25'9