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Championship · Matchweek 22
Queens Park RangersQPR
4–1
FT
Leicester CityLEI

Momentum

– QPRLEI –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
MATRADE Loftus Road, London
Capacity
18,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,500

Teams

Coaches
Julien Stéphan · Martí Cifuentes Corvillo
Position
10 · 9
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Tom Nield

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
7.8° (feels 5.3°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
87%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Queens Park Rangers

WLWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 7.58–6.28 · xPts 7.88

  • L A Middlesbrough 1–3 xG 1.33–2.24 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 2–1 xG 1.71–0.45 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 3–1 xG 1.19–1.31 UK CHAMP
  • L A Norwich City 1–3 xG 1.94–1.38 UK CHAMP
  • W A Blackburn Rovers 1–0 xG 1.41–0.9 UK CHAMP

Leicester City

LLWDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 10 · xG 6.08–8.04 · xPts 5.81

  • W H Ipswich Town 3–1 xG 1.32–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • D A Bristol City 2–2 xG 1.5–1.55 UK CHAMP
  • W A Derby County 3–1 xG 1.22–1.31 UK CHAMP
  • L H Sheffield United 2–3 xG 1.57–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 0–3 xG 0.47–2.48 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 19 matches since 2005

Queens Park Rangers 92 draws8 Leicester City

Goals 32–34 · 3.47 per match · BTTS 74% · over 2.5 68%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Queens Park Rangers 50 draws5 Leicester City

Goals 17–20 · 3.7 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Queens Park Rangers 30 draws2 Leicester City

Goals 12–11 · 4.6 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Leicester City 1–3 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 4–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 6–2 Queens Park Rangers UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • W Leicester City 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 5–1 Queens Park Rangers UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 3–2 Leicester City neutral UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 1–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 0–1 Leicester City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricQueens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers at home · 23Leicester City all · 46Leicester City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.261.431.131.04
W / D / L16 / 10 / 2010 / 3 / 1012 / 16 / 185 / 9 / 9
Goals for / match1.331.741.261.17
Goals against / match1.591.611.481.48
Clean sheets22%17%13%13%
Failed to score28%17%20%17%
Both teams scored63%74%72%74%
Over 2.563%78%54%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.301.631.281.22
xG against / match1.331.211.471.67
xG difference-0.030.42-0.19-0.45
Finishing vs xG0.020.11-0.02-0.05
xPts / match1.371.681.261.12
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.24-0.13-0.08
Game state
Scored first33%48%48%35%
PPG when scoring first2.472.271.731.88
PPG when conceding first0.600.600.550.57
Came back from behind26%17%33%40%
Leads held84%77%46%50%
Minutes leading20%30%26%19%
Minutes level46%45%43%45%
Minutes trailing34%26%31%36%
First goal (min)45414051
First goal conceded (min)34433934
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%48%59%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%68%50%44%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.520.370.43
Late goals against0.260.480.280.26
Style
Possession46%47%52%50%
Shots12.714.312.912.0
On target4.15.04.24.3
Shot conversion10%12%10%10%
Shots inside box63%63%59%66%
Big chances created1.82.41.71.5
Corners4.85.45.34.4
xG from set plays31%28%34%38%
Goals from headers17%15%12%11%
Pressure index11.715.412.69.9
Dominant minutes46.754.447.141.7
Pass accuracy76%75%80%79%
Fouls11.011.110.810.9
Cards1.912.131.962.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.4Home 39% P 39%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.7Away 35% P 34%

Double Chance

1.4QPR or Draw 34% P 33%1.3QPR or Leicester 36% P 36%1.57Draw or Leicester 30% P 31%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 56%2.0No 46% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 54%1.9Under 49% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 571 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home39%39%39%+0.5
Draw27%28%28%-0.0
Away34%34%33%-0.4

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Tom Nield

Career
79 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.86 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 62 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.114.05+0.1057
Fouls / match23.321.8+1.27
Fouls per card5.85.4+0.29 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.140.17-0.4720
Time added7.67.2+0.4463
First card
37' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-06 30 170 8'10
2025-11-29 30 240 32'6
2025-11-25 20 260 31'10
2025-11-08 40 200 62'11
2025-11-01 · Leicester City 10 210 23'7
2025-10-18 50 250 18'4
2025-09-27 60 250 8'8
2025-09-13 20 280 7'7
2025-08-23 60 370 12'6
2025-08-16 90 270 27'10