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Championship · Matchweek 22
SouthamptonSouthampton
1–1
FT
Coventry CityCVC

Momentum

– SouthamptonCVC –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Capacity
32,384
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,584

Teams

Coaches
Tonda Eckert · Frank Lampard
Position
10 · 1
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Adam Herczeg

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
9.6° (feels 7.3°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 313

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Southampton

WLWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 12 GA 8 · xG 8.31–8.59 · xPts 6.76

  • L A Norwich City 1–2 xG 1.76–1.97 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 3–2 xG 0.79–1.97 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 3–1 xG 1.7–1.83 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 2–3 xG 1.58–2.35 UK CHAMP
  • W H Leicester City 3–0 xG 2.48–0.47 UK CHAMP

Coventry City

WWLDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 10.0–4.83 · xPts 9.91

  • W H Bristol City 1–0 xG 2.7–1.65 UK CHAMP
  • D A Preston North End 1–1 xG 1.87–0.48 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 0–3 xG 0.63–1.0 UK CHAMP
  • W H Charlton Athletic 3–1 xG 2.79–0.75 UK CHAMP
  • W A Middlesbrough 4–2 xG 2.01–0.95 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 17 matches since 2000

Southampton 68 draws3 Coventry City

Goals 26–20 · 2.71 per match · BTTS 82% · over 2.5 47%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Southampton 54 draws1 Coventry City

Goals 18–12 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Southampton 32 draws0 Coventry City

Goals 8–5 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Coventry City 1–2 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 1–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 2–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Coventry City 1–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 2–1 Coventry City aet neutral UK FA Cup · 4th Round
  • W Southampton 4–0 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 2–4 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 1–1 Coventry City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Coventry City 4–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 0–0 Coventry City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSouthampton all · 48Southampton at home · 24Coventry City all · 46Coventry City away · 23
Results
Matches48244623
Points per game1.751.962.071.74
W / D / L23 / 15 / 1013 / 8 / 328 / 11 / 711 / 7 / 5
Goals for / match1.751.672.112.00
Goals against / match1.190.830.981.13
Clean sheets25%42%37%39%
Failed to score12%17%15%13%
Both teams scored71%54%59%56%
Over 2.562%54%63%61%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.782.041.73
xG against / match1.331.091.141.19
xG difference0.380.690.900.54
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.110.070.27
xPts / match1.591.781.831.64
Points vs xPts0.160.180.230.10
Game state
Scored first52%50%65%74%
PPG when scoring first2.242.672.432.00
PPG when conceding first1.261.331.551.00
Came back from behind54%67%53%38%
Leads held72%81%80%61%
Minutes leading34%36%38%38%
Minutes level49%48%50%51%
Minutes trailing18%16%12%11%
First goal (min)40393332
First goal conceded (min)44404548
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%49%53%46%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%55%62%73%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.250.480.39
Late goals against0.270.170.170.17
Style
Possession56%58%55%52%
Shots14.415.816.314.7
On target5.35.55.65.3
Shot conversion12%11%13%14%
Shots inside box68%66%72%71%
Big chances created2.92.92.82.4
Corners5.86.55.34.7
xG from set plays28%26%36%38%
Goals from headers22%25%20%26%
Pressure index17.921.117.012.7
Dominant minutes59.063.858.852.4
Pass accuracy83%84%80%79%
Fouls10.79.89.69.8
Cards1.881.631.611.87

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Coventry City

0–15'155
16–30'106
31–45'216
46–60'189
61–75'1111
76–90'228

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59

Coventry City · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.104
Early press (0-15, level)-0.284
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.242

Game state

When level+0.024
When behind-0.224
10 min after conceding-0.264

Situations

At home+0.102
Away-0.342
4+ days rest-0.104

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.163
As underdog-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.462

Behind vs level -0.24

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
4-1-4-12 4%3.01.50.51.392.18
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86

Coventry City

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 78%2.142.170.862.091.12
4-4-24 9%2.252.251.51.831.58
4-3-31 2%3.03.01.02.011.29
5-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.870.48
3-4-1-21 2%1.01.01.02.311.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 42%3.75Draw 25% P 25%2.87Away 33% P 34%

Double Chance

1.4Southampton or Draw 33% P 33%1.25Southampton or Coventry 37% P 38%1.57Draw or Coventry 30% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62% P 63%2.5No 38% P 37%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.37Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 33%3.412 - 14 25%6.0Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 32.5–35% · 189 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%41%40%-0.7
Draw25%26%22%-4.0
Away34%33%38%+4.7

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes63%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

Adam Herczeg

Career
41 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
3.66 (3.54 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.914.05-0.2645
Fouls / match22.321.8+0.38
Fouls per card5.75.4+0.22 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4422
Time added7.97.2+0.7974
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-10 20 220 79'5
2025-12-01 50 210 20'6
2025-11-26 30 200 22'10
2025-11-04 71 291 49'9
2025-10-25 40 250 45'8
2025-10-18 60 190 33'12
2025-10-04 · Coventry City 20 120 45'11
2025-09-30 · Southampton 70 331 36'8
2025-08-23 · Coventry City 30 230 28'7
2025-08-09 50 200 35'7