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Championship · Matchweek 22
Swansea CitySwansea City
2–1
FT
WrexhamWrexham

Momentum

– Swansea CityWrexham –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Capacity
20,827
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,368

Teams

Coaches
Vítor Matos · Phil Parkinson
Position
19 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Oliver Langford

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
8.5° (feels 8.5°)
Wind
0.9
Humidity
92%

Where to watch · 312

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Swansea City

LLWWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 4.21–5.93 · xPts 5.78

  • L A Stoke City 1–2 xG 1.1–0.63 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 1–0 xG 0.95–0.61 UK CHAMP
  • W H Oxford United 2–0 xG 1.08–1.63 UK CHAMP
  • L A West Bromwich Albion 2–3 xG 0.16–1.95 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 1–2 xG 0.91–1.11 UK CHAMP

Wrexham

WDDLD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 7.01–9.01 · xPts 5.98

  • D H Watford 2–2 xG 1.42–0.9 UK CHAMP
  • L A Hull City 0–2 xG 1.22–3.16 UK CHAMP
  • D A Preston North End 1–1 xG 1.36–2.33 UK CHAMP
  • D H Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 2.13–1.48 UK CHAMP
  • W H Bristol City 2–0 xG 0.87–1.14 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Swansea City 11 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 2–3 · 1.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Swansea City 11 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 2–3 · 1.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Swansea City 11 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 2–3 · 1.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • D Swansea City 0–0 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Wrexham 2–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 2–1 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSwansea City all · 46Swansea City at home · 23Wrexham all · 46Wrexham away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.391.701.541.48
W / D / L18 / 10 / 1811 / 6 / 619 / 14 / 139 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.241.481.501.22
Goals against / match1.281.171.411.22
Clean sheets26%30%26%30%
Failed to score22%9%13%22%
Both teams scored54%61%65%56%
Over 2.550%52%50%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.351.220.91
xG against / match1.371.371.481.68
xG difference-0.15-0.02-0.26-0.77
Finishing vs xG0.020.130.280.31
xPts / match1.281.361.220.91
Points vs xPts0.120.340.320.57
Game state
Scored first48%61%52%48%
PPG when scoring first2.362.362.081.91
PPG when conceding first0.480.670.951.10
Came back from behind28%40%46%42%
Leads held72%69%63%64%
Minutes leading25%28%31%32%
Minutes level48%48%46%49%
Minutes trailing27%23%23%20%
First goal (min)46493736
First goal conceded (min)40374043
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half65%65%54%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%55%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.430.370.26
Late goals against0.300.300.410.48
Style
Possession55%56%48%45%
Shots12.313.611.38.5
On target3.93.83.82.7
Shot conversion10%11%13%14%
Shots inside box58%60%66%64%
Big chances created1.71.72.31.7
Corners4.55.14.53.7
xG from set plays36%36%32%25%
Goals from headers13%16%29%15%
Pressure index12.815.210.17.1
Dominant minutes51.958.041.932.4
Pass accuracy79%80%78%76%
Fouls9.89.19.710.5
Cards2.001.911.591.91

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-4-21 2%0.01.03.01.932.01

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 44% P 43%3.4Draw 28% P 29%3.3Away 29% P 28%

Double Chance

1.33Swansea or Draw 35% P 36%1.3Swansea or Wrexham 36% P 36%1.66Draw or Wrexham 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 53%1.83No 50% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%43%-0.3
Draw29%28%30%+2.4
Away28%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Oliver Langford

Career
352 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.36 (3.22 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 118 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.84.05-0.4626
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.97
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3533
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-09 50 230 31'7
2025-12-02 40 230 10'6
2025-11-29 20 221 34'9
2025-10-04 60 200 15'7
2025-09-27 60 230 12'8
2025-09-20 30 190 55'5
2025-08-16 30 271 30'14
2025-08-09 30 160 71'8
2025-05-08 11 181 45'9
2025-05-03 30 190 29'4