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Championship · Matchweek 23

Momentum

MIDBBR
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
23

Venue

Stadium
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Capacity
34,988
Surface
grass
Attendance
31,475

Teams

Coaches
Kim Hellberg · Valérien Ismaël
Position
2 · 20
Formation
4-2-2-2 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

James Bell

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
6.2° (feels 3.3°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
82%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Middlesbrough

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 6 · xG 8.82–4.52 · xPts 9.58

  • L A Bristol City 0–2 xG 2.9–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • W H Queens Park Rangers 3–1 xG 2.24–1.33 UK CHAMP
  • W A Charlton Athletic 2–1 xG 0.83–0.31 UK CHAMP
  • W A Hull City 4–1 xG 1.21–1.08 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 2–1 xG 1.63–0.84 UK CHAMP

Blackburn Rovers

DDDLW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 7.61–6.02 · xPts 8.02

  • W H Millwall 2–0 xG 1.86–0.66 UK CHAMP
  • L A Portsmouth 1–2 xG 1.09–2.15 UK CHAMP
  • D H Oxford United 1–1 xG 2.28–0.32 UK CHAMP
  • D H Ipswich Town 1–1 xG 0.91–0.76 UK CHAMP
  • D A Wrexham 1–1 xG 1.48–2.13 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 42 matches since 2001

Middlesbrough 915 draws18 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 33–40 · 1.74 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 29%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Middlesbrough 23 draws5 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 7–9 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Middlesbrough 12 draws2 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 3–3 · 1.2 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Blackburn Rovers 0–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 0–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 0–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 0–1 Blackburn Rovers UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • L Middlesbrough 0–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 0–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 1–2 Blackburn Rovers neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMiddlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough at home · 24Blackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers away · 23
Results
Matches49244623
Points per game1.651.791.131.35
W / D / L22 / 15 / 1212 / 7 / 513 / 13 / 209 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.491.420.911.00
Goals against / match1.020.751.221.26
Clean sheets29%42%26%30%
Failed to score26%29%35%39%
Both teams scored55%46%48%39%
Over 2.553%42%39%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.591.621.201.13
xG against / match1.050.951.301.45
xG difference0.530.67-0.10-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.10-0.21-0.28-0.13
xPts / match1.701.801.321.19
Points vs xPts-0.04-0.01-0.190.16
Game state
Scored first53%54%46%52%
PPG when scoring first2.462.621.762.17
PPG when conceding first0.670.710.520.33
Came back from behind46%38%26%9%
Leads held79%86%56%69%
Minutes leading32%33%21%28%
Minutes level49%52%55%48%
Minutes trailing19%15%24%24%
First goal (min)37384436
First goal conceded (min)46474944
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%53%48%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%61%59%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.170.220.09
Late goals against0.290.290.390.35
Style
Possession59%60%48%47%
Shots16.217.311.511.4
On target4.85.23.23.1
Shot conversion9%8%8%9%
Shots inside box64%63%67%66%
Big chances created2.42.32.02.2
Corners6.87.85.34.9
xG from set plays24%30%27%24%
Goals from headers12%15%27%27%
Pressure index19.721.010.19.4
Dominant minutes63.163.144.643.4
Pass accuracy84%84%74%75%
Fouls9.39.210.511.3
Cards1.611.082.172.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.62 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
3-4-1-23 6%1.01.672.670.881.17

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
5-3-21 2%3.01.00.01.330.18

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.7Home 55% P 56%3.75Draw 25% P 24%4.5Away 21% P 20%

Double Chance

1.18Middlesbrough or Draw 40% P 40%1.25Middlesbrough or Blackburn 38% P 38%2.1Draw or Blackburn 22% P 22%

Draw No Bet

1.281 73%3.52 27%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 55%2.0No 46% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 54%2.0Under 47% P 46%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 24%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%53%-2.8
Draw24%25%26%+1.0
Away20%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

James Bell

Career
75 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.95 (3.81 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.6 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.964.05-0.1747
Fouls / match20.421.8-1.36
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.48 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2049
Time added7.77.2+0.5667
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-13 40 251 25'9
2025-12-09 30 190 80'7
2025-11-25 60 210 37'7
2025-11-05 40 260 38'9
2025-11-01 30 230 7'6
2025-10-25 30 201 28'10
2025-10-18 50 210 43'7
2025-08-09 40 251 25'10
2025-05-03 20 180 48'7
2025-04-28 10 100 49'6