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Championship · Matchweek 23
MillwallMillwall
0–0
FT
Ipswich TownIpswich Town

Momentum

– MillwallIpswich Town –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
23

Venue

Stadium
The Den, London
Capacity
20,146
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,843

Teams

Coaches
Alex Neil · Kieran McKenna
Position
6 · 3
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Tim Robinson

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
6.3° (feels 2.9°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
76%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Millwall

WWDLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 5.8–8.41 · xPts 5.11

  • L A Blackburn Rovers 0–2 xG 0.66–1.86 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 1–3 xG 0.58–1.92 UK CHAMP
  • D A Derby County 1–1 xG 1.1–1.34 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 1–0 xG 1.1–1.71 UK CHAMP
  • W H Southampton 3–2 xG 2.35–1.58 UK CHAMP

Ipswich Town

DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 7.51–4.2 · xPts 8.66

  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 3–1 xG 3.32–0.8 UK CHAMP
  • L A Leicester City 1–3 xG 1.35–1.32 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 1–0 xG 1.07–0.54 UK CHAMP
  • W H Coventry City 3–0 xG 1.0–0.63 UK CHAMP
  • D A Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 0.76–0.91 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 20 matches since 2005

Millwall 65 draws9 Ipswich Town

Goals 26–34 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 65%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Millwall 23 draws5 Ipswich Town

Goals 14–21 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Millwall 12 draws2 Ipswich Town

Goals 5–10 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Millwall 0–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 0–4 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 3–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 2–3 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 3–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 2–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 3–4 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 1–3 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 2–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMillwall all · 48Millwall at home · 24Ipswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town away · 23
Results
Matches48244623
Points per game1.751.751.831.48
W / D / L24 / 12 / 1213 / 3 / 823 / 15 / 89 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.331.381.741.61
Goals against / match1.061.131.021.30
Clean sheets40%46%37%30%
Failed to score21%21%13%17%
Both teams scored48%38%56%61%
Over 2.546%50%52%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.501.631.831.59
xG against / match1.331.151.031.22
xG difference0.180.490.800.36
Finishing vs xG-0.17-0.26-0.090.02
xPts / match1.471.631.881.61
Points vs xPts0.280.12-0.06-0.13
Game state
Scored first52%58%54%39%
PPG when scoring first2.602.572.682.78
PPG when conceding first0.790.560.780.58
Came back from behind43%27%60%46%
Leads held86%87%79%75%
Minutes leading27%34%33%21%
Minutes level56%50%50%53%
Minutes trailing17%16%17%26%
First goal (min)44374050
First goal conceded (min)43444035
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%52%59%76%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%82%51%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.330.500.52
Late goals against0.350.460.130.22
Style
Possession48%50%56%56%
Shots12.913.515.113.7
On target4.24.65.14.5
Shot conversion10%10%12%12%
Shots inside box68%71%67%66%
Big chances created2.32.42.82.2
Corners5.76.25.75.2
xG from set plays33%36%32%36%
Goals from headers16%19%12%19%
Pressure index11.914.818.816.9
Dominant minutes44.449.762.357.8
Pass accuracy70%72%81%80%
Fouls12.610.911.212.0
Cards1.901.381.932.48

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.5Home 25% P 24%3.2Draw 28% P 28%1.9Away 47% P 48%

Double Chance

1.8Millwall or Draw 26% P 26%1.33Millwall or Ipswich 36% P 36%1.25Draw or Ipswich 38% P 38%

Draw No Bet

2.751 34%1.42 66%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 49%1.8No 51% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.72Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 24%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 47.5–50% · 385 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home24%24%22%-2.1
Draw28%27%28%+1.0
Away48%49%50%+1.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 50%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Tim Robinson

Career
329 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
3.97 (3.82 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
23.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 80 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.654.05+1.0892
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.71
Fouls per card4.95.4-1.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.190.17+0.1363
Time added6.77.2-0.6024
First card
36' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-13 50 230 28'9
2025-12-03 40 300 19'10
2025-11-29 101 271 21'15
2025-11-09 50 220 12'9
2025-10-18 30 170 52'8
2025-10-04 · Millwall 30 250 12'4
2025-09-20 80 210 39'8
2025-05-25 · Ipswich Town 20 190 35'9
2025-05-10 20 170 43'9
2025-04-26 40 250 14'7