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Championship · Matchweek 23
Oxford UnitedOXF
2–1
FT
SouthamptonSouthampton

Momentum

– OXFSouthampton –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
23

Venue

Stadium
The Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Capacity
12,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,500

Teams

Coaches
C. Short · Tonda Eckert
Position
22 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Leigh Doughty

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
3.6° (feels 0.5°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Oxford United

WLDLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 5.24–7.12 · xPts 5.78

  • L A Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 0.79–1.16 UK CHAMP
  • L H Preston North End 1–2 xG 1.37–0.85 UK CHAMP
  • D A Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 0.32–2.28 UK CHAMP
  • L A Swansea City 0–2 xG 1.63–1.08 UK CHAMP
  • W H Ipswich Town 2–1 xG 1.13–1.76 UK CHAMP

Southampton

LWWLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 9 · xG 7.49–8.86 · xPts 6.21

  • D H Coventry City 1–1 xG 1.66–0.73 UK CHAMP
  • L A Norwich City 1–2 xG 1.76–1.97 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 3–2 xG 0.79–1.97 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 3–1 xG 1.7–1.83 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 2–3 xG 1.58–2.35 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Oxford United 10 draws1 Southampton

Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Oxford United 10 draws1 Southampton

Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Oxford United 10 draws1 Southampton

Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Southampton 2–0 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Oxford United 2–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricOxford United all · 46Oxford United at home · 23Southampton all · 48Southampton away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.021.261.751.54
W / D / L11 / 14 / 217 / 8 / 823 / 15 / 1010 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match0.981.041.751.83
Goals against / match1.281.171.191.54
Clean sheets17%22%25%8%
Failed to score41%39%12%8%
Both teams scored52%48%71%88%
Over 2.546%44%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.171.361.711.64
xG against / match1.431.171.331.57
xG difference-0.250.190.380.06
Finishing vs xG-0.20-0.320.040.20
xPts / match1.211.481.591.41
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.220.160.13
Game state
Scored first39%44%52%54%
PPG when scoring first2.062.402.241.85
PPG when conceding first0.220.271.261.20
Came back from behind19%27%54%46%
Leads held58%70%72%62%
Minutes leading21%23%34%31%
Minutes level47%47%49%49%
Minutes trailing32%30%18%20%
First goal (min)28264040
First goal conceded (min)35334446
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half38%38%55%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half41%41%61%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.170.380.50
Late goals against0.150.040.270.38
Style
Possession40%42%56%54%
Shots11.914.114.413.1
On target3.44.25.35.1
Shot conversion8%7%12%14%
Shots inside box54%55%68%71%
Big chances created1.61.72.92.8
Corners4.04.65.85.0
xG from set plays40%46%28%32%
Goals from headers16%12%22%19%
Pressure index6.49.117.914.7
Dominant minutes33.744.259.054.2
Pass accuracy69%69%83%82%
Fouls10.810.510.711.5
Cards1.671.301.882.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.60

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86
4-1-4-12 4%3.01.50.51.392.18

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.8Home 25% P 25%3.75Draw 25% P 24%1.85Away 51% P 51%

Double Chance

1.9Oxford Utd or Draw 25% P 24%1.28Oxford Utd or Southampton 37% P 38%1.25Draw or Southampton 38% P 38%

Draw No Bet

2.751 34%1.42 66%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 56%2.1No 44% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 33%3.512 - 14 25%6.0Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 50–52.5% · 348 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home25%24%27%+3.4
Draw24%25%29%+3.7
Away51%51%44%-7.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%54%55%+0.8

Leigh Doughty

Career
119 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.44 (4.29 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 93 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.514.05+0.8378
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.20
Fouls per card5.05.4-0.89 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.17+0.6784
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-09 · Oxford United 30 231 40'6
2025-11-26 11 171 39'6
2025-11-08 50 191 8'10
2025-11-04 · Oxford United 40 190 40'7
2025-10-22 20 200 42'8
2025-09-30 50 280 36'7
2025-08-30 90 282 35'16
2025-08-23 31 250 48'11
2025-04-26 30 210 37'9
2025-04-12 30 220 7'2