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Championship · Matchweek 23
PortsmouthPortsmouth
1–1
FT
Queens Park RangersQPR

Momentum

– PortsmouthQPR –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
23

Venue

Stadium
Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Capacity
20,688
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,449

Teams

Coaches
John Mousinho · Julien Stéphan
Position
21 · 7
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

James Linington

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
5.4° (feels 3.3°)
Wind
2.7
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Portsmouth

LLLWD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 4.92–7.97 · xPts 5.21

  • D A Derby County 1–1 xG 0.34–1.09 UK CHAMP
  • W H Blackburn Rovers 2–1 xG 2.15–1.09 UK CHAMP
  • L A Swansea City 0–1 xG 0.61–0.95 UK CHAMP
  • L H Bristol City 0–1 xG 1.72–1.74 UK CHAMP
  • L A Sheffield United 0–3 xG 0.09–3.09 UK CHAMP

Queens Park Rangers

LWWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 11 GA 9 · xG 8.49–6.68 · xPts 8.14

  • W H Leicester City 4–1 xG 2.32–1.3 UK CHAMP
  • L A Middlesbrough 1–3 xG 1.33–2.24 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 2–1 xG 1.71–0.45 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 3–1 xG 1.19–1.31 UK CHAMP
  • L A Norwich City 1–3 xG 1.94–1.38 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 9 matches since 2010

Portsmouth 23 draws4 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 9–18 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 78% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 9 matches

Portsmouth 23 draws4 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 9–18 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 78% · over 2.5 44%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Portsmouth 21 draws2 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 7–12 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Portsmouth 1–3 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 6–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 1–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 2–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 2–0 Portsmouth UK FA Cup · 4th Round Replays
  • D Portsmouth 1–1 Queens Park Rangers UK FA Cup · 4th Round
  • L Queens Park Rangers 2–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 1–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPortsmouth all · 46Portsmouth at home · 23Queens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.301.261.09
W / D / L14 / 13 / 198 / 6 / 916 / 10 / 206 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.071.091.330.91
Goals against / match1.391.001.591.57
Clean sheets22%26%22%26%
Failed to score28%30%28%39%
Both teams scored54%48%63%52%
Over 2.544%39%63%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.461.300.98
xG against / match1.241.121.331.45
xG difference-0.060.34-0.03-0.47
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.370.02-0.07
xPts / match1.361.601.371.07
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.30-0.110.02
Game state
Scored first46%48%33%17%
PPG when scoring first2.192.272.473.00
PPG when conceding first0.300.360.600.60
Came back from behind27%31%26%33%
Leads held64%67%84%100%
Minutes leading18%23%20%10%
Minutes level51%51%46%48%
Minutes trailing31%27%34%42%
First goal (min)50454550
First goal conceded (min)41453423
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%57%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%56%48%28%
Late goals for (76'+)0.280.350.390.26
Late goals against0.280.130.260.04
Style
Possession50%54%46%45%
Shots12.215.412.711.1
On target3.74.44.13.2
Shot conversion9%7%10%8%
Shots inside box65%67%63%63%
Big chances created1.61.81.81.2
Corners5.66.34.84.3
xG from set plays40%41%31%34%
Goals from headers16%20%17%20%
Pressure index11.714.811.77.9
Dominant minutes49.757.046.738.9
Pass accuracy74%74%76%76%
Fouls10.29.811.010.8
Cards1.931.741.911.70

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.034

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.19

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.1Home 30% P 30%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.25Away 42% P 42%

Double Chance

1.61Portsmouth or Draw 29% P 29%1.3Portsmouth or QPR 36% P 36%1.36Draw or QPR 35% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 51%1.83No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.512 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 40–42.5% · 560 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home30%31%31%-0.2
Draw28%28%24%-4.2
Away42%41%46%+4.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

James Linington

Career
298 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.82 (3.69 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 103 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.324.05+0.4869
Fouls / match22.021.8+0.11
Fouls per card5.15.4-0.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.17+0.6382
Time added7.27.2-0.0245
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-13 30 190 43'6
2025-12-10 50 251 9'7
2025-11-29 20 220 22'9
2025-11-22 · Queens Park Rangers 10 170 90'5
2025-11-04 50 190 11'6
2025-10-25 30 150 30'7
2025-10-21 30 200 15'8
2025-10-04 20 150 38'6
2025-05-03 60 160 22'7
2025-04-26 · Queens Park Rangers 60 240 8'6