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Championship · Matchweek 23
Stoke CityStoke City
0–0
FT
Preston North EndPNE

Momentum

– Stoke CityPNE –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
23

Venue

Stadium
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Capacity
30,089
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,314

Teams

Coaches
Mark Robins · Paul Heckingbottom
Position
8 · 5
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Thomas Kirk

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
4.5° (feels 0.1°)
Wind
6.3
Humidity
62%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Stoke City

LLLWL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 9 · xG 3.41–6.66 · xPts 4.77

  • L A Watford 0–1 xG 0.83–1.1 UK CHAMP
  • W H Swansea City 2–1 xG 0.63–1.1 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 0–1 xG 0.54–1.07 UK CHAMP
  • L A Sheffield United 0–4 xG 0.37–2.67 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 1–2 xG 1.03–0.72 UK CHAMP

Preston North End

WDDWD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 6.04–7.13 · xPts 6.17

  • D H Norwich City 1–1 xG 1.47–0.56 UK CHAMP
  • W A Oxford United 2–1 xG 0.85–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • D H Coventry City 1–1 xG 0.48–1.87 UK CHAMP
  • D H Wrexham 1–1 xG 2.33–1.36 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 3–2 xG 0.91–1.96 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2005

Stoke City 58 draws9 Preston North End

Goals 19–27 · 2.09 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 32%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Stoke City 24 draws4 Preston North End

Goals 8–11 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Stoke City 13 draws1 Preston North End

Goals 4–5 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Preston North End 3–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 0–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 0–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 1–2 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 0–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 0–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 0–2 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 1–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricStoke City all · 46Stoke City at home · 23Preston North End all · 46Preston North End away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.431.301.26
W / D / L15 / 10 / 219 / 6 / 815 / 15 / 167 / 8 / 8
Goals for / match1.111.481.201.17
Goals against / match1.221.221.351.39
Clean sheets28%26%20%17%
Failed to score37%22%26%26%
Both teams scored44%61%59%61%
Over 2.544%56%48%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.441.181.14
xG against / match1.431.191.631.83
xG difference-0.190.26-0.45-0.70
Finishing vs xG-0.130.030.020.04
xPts / match1.281.551.131.01
Points vs xPts-0.08-0.120.170.25
Game state
Scored first44%52%41%44%
PPG when scoring first2.252.172.162.00
PPG when conceding first0.270.560.680.67
Came back from behind22%38%38%33%
Leads held71%69%62%54%
Minutes leading24%31%28%30%
Minutes level50%48%45%43%
Minutes trailing27%21%27%27%
First goal (min)37343632
First goal conceded (min)44474240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%50%51%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%75%50%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.260.260.22
Late goals against0.350.350.300.26
Style
Possession52%53%46%44%
Shots11.212.710.910.6
On target3.84.73.63.8
Shot conversion10%12%11%11%
Shots inside box65%67%68%66%
Big chances created1.82.11.61.6
Corners6.06.44.53.7
xG from set plays28%34%34%33%
Goals from headers16%15%22%22%
Pressure index13.316.38.88.1
Dominant minutes52.757.340.538.6
Pass accuracy78%79%72%72%
Fouls10.410.610.410.7
Cards2.302.262.092.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.0Home 47% P 47%3.25Draw 29% P 28%3.75Away 25% P 24%

Double Chance

1.25Stoke or Draw 38% P 38%1.33Stoke or Preston 36% P 36%1.8Draw or Preston 26% P 26%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 49%1.8No 51% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.66Under 57% P 57%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 22.5–25% · 565 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home47%46%48%+1.4
Draw28%30%28%-1.5
Away24%24%24%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 41%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Thomas Kirk

Career
51 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.55 (4.39 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.05+0.7074
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.12
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.98 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.3974
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-13 30 180 31'10
2025-12-10 50 220 3'6
2025-12-03 –– 17– –8
2025-11-26 30 190 28'8
2025-11-08 40 171 14'7
2025-10-25 · Stoke City 50 230 35'9
2025-10-22 40 120 72'9
2025-10-05 40 240 38'7
2025-10-04 30 211 71'8
2025-09-27 51 230 34'12