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Championship · Matchweek 23
West Bromwich AlbionWBA
1–2
FT
Bristol CityBristol City

Momentum

– WBABristol City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
23

Venue

Stadium
The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Capacity
26,445
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,050

Teams

Coaches
Ryan Mason · Gerhard Struber
Position
16 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Will Finnie

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
3.9° (feels 0.4°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
85%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

West Bromwich Albion

WLLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 9.04–4.85 · xPts 9.54

  • L A Hull City 0–1 xG 1.13–1.47 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 2–0 xG 2.68–1.24 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 2–3 xG 1.97–0.79 UK CHAMP
  • L A Queens Park Rangers 1–3 xG 1.31–1.19 UK CHAMP
  • W H Swansea City 3–2 xG 1.95–0.16 UK CHAMP

Bristol City

WLDLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 7.62–9.93 · xPts 5.87

  • W H Middlesbrough 2–0 xG 0.96–2.9 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 0–1 xG 1.65–2.7 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 2–2 xG 1.55–1.5 UK CHAMP
  • L H Millwall 0–1 xG 1.71–1.1 UK CHAMP
  • W A Portsmouth 1–0 xG 1.74–1.72 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 21 matches since 2007

West Bromwich Albion 114 draws6 Bristol City

Goals 40–24 · 3.05 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 10 matches

West Bromwich Albion 42 draws4 Bristol City

Goals 11–11 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

West Bromwich Albion 30 draws2 Bristol City

Goals 7–4 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Bristol City 0–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 1–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 2–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 2–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 2–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 0–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 3–0 West Bromwich Albion UK FA Cup · 4th Round
  • W Bristol City 0–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 0–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 2–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWest Bromwich Albion all · 46West Bromwich Albion at home · 23Bristol City all · 46Bristol City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.151.481.351.35
W / D / L13 / 14 / 198 / 10 / 517 / 11 / 188 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.041.221.281.13
Goals against / match1.261.091.281.22
Clean sheets30%35%30%26%
Failed to score33%30%33%35%
Both teams scored50%52%46%52%
Over 2.546%44%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.441.671.181.16
xG against / match1.050.781.481.46
xG difference0.390.89-0.29-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.40-0.450.10-0.03
xPts / match1.621.951.201.19
Points vs xPts-0.47-0.480.150.16
Game state
Scored first41%52%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.052.002.332.50
PPG when conceding first0.380.860.670.67
Came back from behind17%29%31%33%
Leads held62%57%77%80%
Minutes leading25%32%30%28%
Minutes level50%52%41%43%
Minutes trailing25%16%29%29%
First goal (min)42383236
First goal conceded (min)45503029
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%54%46%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%64%44%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.170.240.13
Late goals against0.260.300.240.17
Style
Possession52%54%49%46%
Shots13.415.212.211.7
On target4.14.74.14.2
Shot conversion8%8%10%10%
Shots inside box65%63%60%62%
Big chances created2.12.41.91.9
Corners5.26.14.85.0
xG from set plays36%41%24%29%
Goals from headers26%22%21%20%
Pressure index13.416.311.99.3
Dominant minutes52.957.343.939.0
Pass accuracy80%81%78%76%
Fouls10.210.19.510.3
Cards1.831.611.832.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'66
16–30'89
31–45'912
46–60'511
61–75'88
76–90'1212

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level -0.22

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.251.171.291.480.98
4-4-217 37%1.291.00.821.521.08
3-4-2-13 6%0.00.03.00.861.62
5-4-12 4%0.51.52.01.180.75

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-3-2-11 2%3.02.01.02.461.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 45% P 45%3.3Draw 28% P 28%3.5Away 27% P 27%

Double Chance

1.28West Brom or Draw 37% P 37%1.33West Brom or Bristol City 36% P 36%1.8Draw or Bristol City 27% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 53%2.0No 46% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%46%44%-1.8
Draw28%28%30%+1.8
Away27%26%26%+0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Will Finnie

Career
41 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.68 (3.56 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
21.1 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.05-0.1049
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.99
Fouls per card5.45.4-0.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3435
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
36' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-05-03 51 221 10'5
2025-04-08 70 210 23'2
2025-02-28 20 230 52'13
2025-02-15 20 200 45'17
2025-02-11 50 180 11'6
2025-02-08 30 320 51'5
2025-02-01 20 210 60'8
2025-01-18 40 220 21'8
2025-01-12 –– 13– –6
2025-01-04 · Bristol City 40 190 28'6