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Championship · Matchweek 24

Momentum

BRCSouthampton
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
24

Venue

Stadium
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Capacity
29,409
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,895

Teams

Coaches
Chris Davies · Tonda Eckert
Position
15 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Matt Donohue

Weather

Conditions
drizzle
Temperature
4.5° (feels 2.2°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
93%

Where to watch · 230

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Birmingham City

LLDLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 7.88–7.61 · xPts 6.7

  • D H Derby County 1–1 xG 3.49–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • L A Sheffield United 0–3 xG 0.74–2.41 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.37–1.07 UK CHAMP
  • L A Queens Park Rangers 1–2 xG 0.45–1.71 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 1–3 xG 1.83–1.7 UK CHAMP

Southampton

WWLDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 7.63–7.93 · xPts 6.82

  • L A Oxford United 1–2 xG 1.72–1.43 UK CHAMP
  • D H Coventry City 1–1 xG 1.66–0.73 UK CHAMP
  • L A Norwich City 1–2 xG 1.76–1.97 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 3–2 xG 0.79–1.97 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 3–1 xG 1.7–1.83 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 17 matches since 2002

Birmingham City 65 draws6 Southampton

Goals 23–28 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 59%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Birmingham City 33 draws4 Southampton

Goals 13–18 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Birmingham City 02 draws3 Southampton

Goals 7–12 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Birmingham City 1–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 1–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 3–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 3–4 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 3–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 0–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 4–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 1–0 Southampton neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 1–2 Birmingham City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 2–1 Southampton neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBirmingham City all · 46Birmingham City at home · 23Southampton all · 48Southampton away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.391.911.751.54
W / D / L17 / 13 / 1612 / 8 / 323 / 15 / 1010 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.241.701.751.83
Goals against / match1.220.961.191.54
Clean sheets22%30%25%8%
Failed to score24%9%12%8%
Both teams scored56%65%71%88%
Over 2.546%48%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.491.911.711.64
xG against / match1.141.001.331.57
xG difference0.350.910.380.06
Finishing vs xG-0.25-0.210.040.20
xPts / match1.571.921.591.41
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.010.160.13
Game state
Scored first50%78%52%54%
PPG when scoring first2.352.332.241.85
PPG when conceding first0.410.251.261.20
Came back from behind33%40%54%46%
Leads held71%67%72%62%
Minutes leading28%44%34%31%
Minutes level42%46%49%49%
Minutes trailing31%10%18%20%
First goal (min)39304040
First goal conceded (min)35464446
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%44%55%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half39%50%61%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.170.380.50
Late goals against0.150.170.270.38
Style
Possession54%55%56%54%
Shots13.617.314.413.1
On target4.15.75.35.1
Shot conversion9%10%12%14%
Shots inside box64%63%68%71%
Big chances created2.43.02.92.8
Corners5.86.65.85.0
xG from set plays30%29%28%32%
Goals from headers21%24%22%19%
Pressure index14.418.317.914.7
Dominant minutes54.364.059.054.2
Pass accuracy77%77%83%82%
Fouls11.711.010.711.5
Cards2.112.001.882.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Birmingham City

0–15'1010
16–30'1112
31–45'812
46–60'98
61–75'87
76–90'117

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 87%1.381.331.281.541.16
4-4-22 4%1.50.50.51.160.61
4-4-1-12 4%1.51.01.51.730.5
3-4-31 2%0.00.01.00.251.91
4-1-4-11 2%3.01.00.00.831.5

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86
5-4-12 4%2.01.50.02.420.33

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.35Home 40% P 40%3.5Draw 27% P 26%2.87Away 33% P 34%

Double Chance

1.4Birmingham or Draw 33% P 33%1.28Birmingham or Southampton 37% P 37%1.57Draw or Southampton 30% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 60%2.25No 41% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 572 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%39%39%+0.4
Draw26%28%28%+0.1
Away34%34%33%-0.5

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Matt Donohue

Career
202 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.26 (4.07 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
23.4 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 134 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.634.05+1.0490
Fouls / match23.021.8+0.97
Fouls per card5.05.4-0.77 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4026
Time added7.27.2-0.0245
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-26 50 260 46'4
2025-12-20 60 271 19'7
2025-12-12 10 180 65'6
2025-11-28 18 7
2025-11-22 80 270 20'6
2025-11-01 · Southampton 40 290 41'9
2025-10-21 30 200 52'11
2025-10-17 40 261 20'6
2025-09-30 · Birmingham City 50 260 20'10
2025-09-14 · Southampton 60 300 45'13