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Championship · Matchweek 24
Leicester CityLEI
2–1
FT
Derby CountyDerby County

Momentum

– LEIDerby County –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
24

Venue

Stadium
King Power Stadium, Leicester
Capacity
32,312
Surface
grass
Attendance
31,354

Teams

Coaches
Martí Cifuentes Corvillo · John Eustace
Position
14 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Gavin Ward

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
5.0° (feels 1.9°)
Wind
4.0
Humidity
92%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Leicester City

WDWLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 10 · xG 5.87–7.73 · xPts 5.61

  • L H Watford 1–2 xG 0.53–1.19 UK CHAMP
  • L A Queens Park Rangers 1–4 xG 1.3–2.32 UK CHAMP
  • W H Ipswich Town 3–1 xG 1.32–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • D A Bristol City 2–2 xG 1.5–1.55 UK CHAMP
  • W A Derby County 3–1 xG 1.22–1.31 UK CHAMP

Derby County

LDWDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 5.96–6.27 · xPts 7.6

  • D A Birmingham City 1–1 xG 0.74–3.49 UK CHAMP
  • D H Portsmouth 1–1 xG 1.09–0.34 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 xG 1.47–0.12 UK CHAMP
  • D H Millwall 1–1 xG 1.34–1.1 UK CHAMP
  • L H Leicester City 1–3 xG 1.31–1.22 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2000

Leicester City 125 draws5 Derby County

Goals 38–23 · 2.77 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Leicester City 81 draws1 Derby County

Goals 25–9 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Leicester City 41 draws0 Derby County

Goals 14–6 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Leicester City 2–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Derby County 1–3 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 3–1 Derby County aet UK FA Cup · 4th Round Replays
  • D Derby County 2–2 Leicester City neutral UK FA Cup · 4th Round
  • W Leicester City 4–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Derby County 0–1 Leicester City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Derby County 2–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 4–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Derby County 0–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 4–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricLeicester City all · 46Leicester City at home · 23Derby County all · 46Derby County away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.131.221.501.43
W / D / L12 / 16 / 187 / 7 / 920 / 9 / 1710 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match1.261.351.461.57
Goals against / match1.481.481.281.39
Clean sheets13%13%26%22%
Failed to score20%22%9%13%
Both teams scored72%70%65%65%
Over 2.554%52%52%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.281.341.231.18
xG against / match1.471.271.321.54
xG difference-0.190.07-0.09-0.35
Finishing vs xG-0.020.010.230.38
xPts / match1.261.391.331.18
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.170.170.25
Game state
Scored first48%61%54%56%
PPG when scoring first1.731.642.242.15
PPG when conceding first0.550.500.620.50
Came back from behind33%25%35%23%
Leads held46%44%69%67%
Minutes leading26%34%30%32%
Minutes level43%41%46%46%
Minutes trailing31%25%24%22%
First goal (min)40304035
First goal conceded (min)39444045
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%39%52%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%56%58%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.300.260.26
Late goals against0.280.300.300.35
Style
Possession52%54%44%40%
Shots12.913.811.010.0
On target4.24.03.63.4
Shot conversion10%10%13%16%
Shots inside box59%54%70%77%
Big chances created1.72.02.22.2
Corners5.36.14.53.6
xG from set plays34%30%39%33%
Goals from headers12%13%28%25%
Pressure index12.615.310.18.6
Dominant minutes47.152.439.934.2
Pass accuracy80%82%73%70%
Fouls10.810.712.312.8
Cards1.961.742.632.96

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Derby County

0–15'811
16–30'95
31–45'159
46–60'135
61–75'1015
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Derby County · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.287
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315

Game state

When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254

Situations

At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.183
As underdog-0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207

Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Derby County

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.621.461.131.481.25
3-4-2-111 24%1.821.551.180.921.35
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.41.61.031.95
4-4-24 9%0.251.02.250.831.09
3-4-31 2%3.03.00.01.470.12

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 45% P 45%3.3Draw 28% P 28%3.5Away 27% P 27%

Double Chance

1.28Leicester or Draw 37% P 37%1.33Leicester or Derby 35% P 36%1.7Draw or Derby 28% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 50%1.8No 51% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.66Under 57% P 57%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 854 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%46%44%-1.8
Draw28%28%30%+1.8
Away27%26%26%-0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Gavin Ward

Career
292 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.58 (3.43 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 124 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.834.05-0.4031
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.99
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2345
Time added7.27.2-0.0245
First card
39' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-13 31 190 57'9
2025-12-06 20 160 39'13
2025-11-25 · Leicester City 31 210 5'5
2025-11-22 · Derby County 40 231 39'13
2025-11-04 –– 15– –6
2025-10-21 20 170 50'8
2025-10-04 40 261 46'7
2025-09-30 · Derby County 20 210 65'8
2025-09-13 80 190 34'12
2025-08-30 20 150 52'5