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Championship · Matchweek 24
MiddlesbroughMID
0–1
FT
Hull CityHull City

Momentum

– MIDHull City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
24

Venue

Stadium
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Capacity
34,988
Surface
grass
Attendance
31,421

Teams

Coaches
Kim Hellberg · Sergej Jakirović
Position
2 · 4
Formation
4-2-2-2 · 3-5-2

Referee

Leigh Doughty

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
6.0° (feels 3.4°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Middlesbrough

WWWLD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 8.12–5.03 · xPts 8.7

  • D H Blackburn Rovers 0–0 xG 0.93–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • L A Bristol City 0–2 xG 2.9–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • W H Queens Park Rangers 3–1 xG 2.24–1.33 UK CHAMP
  • W A Charlton Athletic 2–1 xG 0.83–0.31 UK CHAMP
  • W A Hull City 4–1 xG 1.21–1.08 UK CHAMP

Hull City

LWWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 9.05–5.1 · xPts 9.25

  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 2–2 xG 1.42–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 1–0 xG 1.47–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • W A Millwall 3–1 xG 1.92–0.58 UK CHAMP
  • W H Wrexham 2–0 xG 3.16–1.22 UK CHAMP
  • L H Middlesbrough 1–4 xG 1.08–1.21 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 32 matches since 2007

Middlesbrough 155 draws12 Hull City

Goals 51–43 · 2.94 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Middlesbrough 51 draws4 Hull City

Goals 17–11 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Middlesbrough 30 draws2 Hull City

Goals 8–4 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Hull City 1–0 Middlesbrough neutral UK CHAMP · Promotion Play-offs - Final
  • L Middlesbrough 0–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 1–4 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 0–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 3–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 2–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 1–2 Hull City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 3–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 1–3 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 0–1 Hull City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMiddlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough at home · 24Hull City all · 49Hull City away · 24
Results
Matches49244924
Points per game1.651.791.631.58
W / D / L22 / 15 / 1212 / 7 / 523 / 11 / 1511 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.491.421.491.54
Goals against / match1.020.751.351.33
Clean sheets29%42%29%29%
Failed to score26%29%18%12%
Both teams scored55%46%61%62%
Over 2.553%42%61%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.591.621.371.27
xG against / match1.050.951.661.91
xG difference0.530.67-0.29-0.63
Finishing vs xG-0.10-0.210.120.27
xPts / match1.701.801.251.09
Points vs xPts-0.04-0.010.380.49
Game state
Scored first53%54%57%67%
PPG when scoring first2.462.622.182.00
PPG when conceding first0.670.710.880.71
Came back from behind46%38%35%33%
Leads held79%86%72%65%
Minutes leading32%33%30%32%
Minutes level49%52%53%52%
Minutes trailing19%15%17%16%
First goal (min)37383233
First goal conceded (min)46474044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%53%45%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%61%52%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.170.270.33
Late goals against0.290.290.310.38
Style
Possession59%60%45%43%
Shots16.217.311.111.0
On target4.85.24.14.3
Shot conversion9%8%13%14%
Shots inside box64%63%68%68%
Big chances created2.42.32.22.3
Corners6.87.84.44.6
xG from set plays24%30%21%13%
Goals from headers12%15%14%19%
Pressure index19.721.09.37.6
Dominant minutes63.163.139.832.6
Pass accuracy84%84%72%71%
Fouls9.39.211.211.5
Cards1.611.082.553.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.62 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.583
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
4-1-4-13 6%1.672.00.672.480.61

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-3-31 2%1.00.00.00.561.69

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.6Home 56% P 57%3.8Draw 24% P 24%4.33Away 21% P 19%

Double Chance

1.18Middlesbrough or Draw 40% P 40%1.22Middlesbrough or Hull 39% P 38%2.25Draw or Hull 21% P 21%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 55%2.0No 46% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 54%2.2Under 43% P 46%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home57%56%53%-2.8
Draw24%25%26%+1.0
Away19%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Leigh Doughty

Career
119 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.44 (4.29 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 94 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.514.05+0.8378
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.18
Fouls per card5.05.4-0.89 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.17+0.6280
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-26 30 230 8'5
2025-12-09 30 231 40'6
2025-11-26 11 171 39'6
2025-11-08 50 191 8'10
2025-11-04 40 190 40'7
2025-10-22 20 200 42'8
2025-09-30 50 280 36'7
2025-08-30 90 282 35'16
2025-08-23 · Middlesbrough 31 250 48'11
2025-04-26 30 210 37'9