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Championship · Matchweek 24
Norwich CityNorwich City
0–1
FT
WatfordWatford

Momentum

– Norwich CityWatford –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
24

Venue

Stadium
Carrow Road, Norwich
Capacity
27,244
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,553

Teams

Coaches
Philippe Clement · Javier Gracia Carlos
Position
23 · 8
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Matthew Corlett

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
5.1° (feels 3.0°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Norwich City

LDWDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 7.45–8.0 · xPts 6.82

  • W H Charlton Athletic 1–0 xG 1.81–0.36 UK CHAMP
  • D A Preston North End 1–1 xG 0.56–1.47 UK CHAMP
  • W H Southampton 2–1 xG 1.97–1.76 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield United 1–1 xG 1.35–3.07 UK CHAMP
  • L A Watford 2–3 xG 1.76–1.33 UK CHAMP

Watford

WDDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 7.25–5.18 · xPts 8.09

  • W A Leicester City 2–1 xG 1.19–0.53 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 1–0 xG 1.1–0.83 UK CHAMP
  • D A Wrexham 2–2 xG 0.9–1.42 UK CHAMP
  • D H Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 xG 2.73–0.63 UK CHAMP
  • W H Norwich City 3–2 xG 1.33–1.76 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 26 matches since 2005

Norwich City 82 draws16 Watford

Goals 41–42 · 3.19 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 65%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Norwich City 40 draws6 Watford

Goals 18–16 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Norwich City 30 draws2 Watford

Goals 11–7 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Norwich City 0–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 3–2 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 0–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 4–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 4–2 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 3–2 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 0–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 2–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 0–3 Norwich City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 1–3 Watford UK PL · Regular Season
MetricNorwich City all · 46Norwich City at home · 23Watford all · 46Watford away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.411.301.240.87
W / D / L19 / 8 / 199 / 3 / 1114 / 15 / 174 / 8 / 11
Goals for / match1.371.171.151.00
Goals against / match1.221.221.411.65
Clean sheets20%17%15%9%
Failed to score20%26%30%30%
Both teams scored61%56%59%65%
Over 2.548%44%48%52%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.411.341.19
xG against / match1.461.271.251.34
xG difference-0.100.140.10-0.15
Finishing vs xG0.02-0.24-0.19-0.19
xPts / match1.351.461.431.30
Points vs xPts0.06-0.16-0.20-0.43
Game state
Scored first52%48%26%22%
PPG when scoring first2.082.092.331.80
PPG when conceding first0.680.580.840.59
Came back from behind27%21%47%35%
Leads held68%69%67%40%
Minutes leading28%24%18%10%
Minutes level48%53%49%50%
Minutes trailing24%24%34%40%
First goal (min)42494853
First goal conceded (min)46503432
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%59%58%70%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%64%48%45%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.220.300.30
Late goals against0.300.300.280.35
Style
Possession54%56%51%51%
Shots12.613.713.812.0
On target4.54.54.43.5
Shot conversion11%9%8%8%
Shots inside box64%62%58%58%
Big chances created2.32.52.12.0
Corners5.35.74.94.4
xG from set plays25%27%27%31%
Goals from headers10%8%14%9%
Pressure index12.514.110.99.5
Dominant minutes53.258.847.041.8
Pass accuracy79%80%80%79%
Fouls10.210.011.010.8
Cards1.931.572.152.43

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Watford

0–15'59
16–30'613
31–45'1112
46–60'910
61–75'88
76–90'1413

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.072
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Watford · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.117
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.193

Game state

When ahead-0.144
When level-0.157
When behind+0.004
10 min after conceding-0.177
10 min after scoring-0.015

Situations

At home-0.234
Away+0.093
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As underdog-0.085

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.277
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)-0.017

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level +0.16

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Watford

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-221 46%1.481.291.291.251.32
4-2-3-110 22%1.31.21.11.250.83
3-5-25 11%0.40.82.00.861.68
3-4-1-23 6%2.332.01.333.01.2
4-3-32 4%0.00.52.01.481.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.55Home 37% P 37%3.2Draw 29% P 28%2.75Away 34% P 35%

Double Chance

1.44Norwich or Draw 33% P 32%1.3Norwich or Watford 36% P 36%1.5Draw or Watford 31% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 57%2.2No 42% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 50%2.1Under 45% P 50%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home37%36%35%-0.6
Draw28%28%28%+0.2
Away35%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%49%50%+1.3

Matthew Corlett

Career
11 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.0 (2.82 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.18
Cards to home side
39%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 4 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 2.5 cards, 19.5 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-03 20 220 56'10