KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Championship · Matchweek 24
Oxford UnitedOXF
0–1
FT
Swansea CitySwansea City

Momentum

– OXFSwansea City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
24

Venue

Stadium
The Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Capacity
12,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,413

Teams

Coaches
Gary Rowett · Vítor Matos
Position
21 · 20
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Adam Herczeg

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
5.4° (feels 2.2°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Oxford United

LDLLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 5.54–7.08 · xPts 6.0

  • W H Southampton 2–1 xG 1.43–1.72 UK CHAMP
  • L A Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 0.79–1.16 UK CHAMP
  • L H Preston North End 1–2 xG 1.37–0.85 UK CHAMP
  • D A Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 0.32–2.28 UK CHAMP
  • L A Swansea City 0–2 xG 1.63–1.08 UK CHAMP

Swansea City

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 7.0–4.52 · xPts 8.45

  • L A Coventry City 0–1 xG 1.43–1.26 UK CHAMP
  • W H Wrexham 2–1 xG 2.44–0.38 UK CHAMP
  • L A Stoke City 1–2 xG 1.1–0.63 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 1–0 xG 0.95–0.61 UK CHAMP
  • W H Oxford United 2–0 xG 1.08–1.63 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 5 matches since 2016

Oxford United 11 draws3 Swansea City

Goals 7–10 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 5 matches

Oxford United 11 draws3 Swansea City

Goals 7–10 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Oxford United 11 draws3 Swansea City

Goals 7–10 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Oxford United 0–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 2–0 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 3–3 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Oxford United 1–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Oxford United 3–2 Swansea City neutral UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
MetricOxford United all · 46Oxford United at home · 23Swansea City all · 46Swansea City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.021.261.391.09
W / D / L11 / 14 / 217 / 8 / 818 / 10 / 187 / 4 / 12
Goals for / match0.981.041.241.00
Goals against / match1.281.171.281.39
Clean sheets17%22%26%22%
Failed to score41%39%22%35%
Both teams scored52%48%54%48%
Over 2.546%44%50%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.171.361.221.10
xG against / match1.431.171.371.37
xG difference-0.250.19-0.15-0.27
Finishing vs xG-0.20-0.320.02-0.10
xPts / match1.211.481.281.19
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.220.12-0.11
Game state
Scored first39%44%48%35%
PPG when scoring first2.062.402.362.38
PPG when conceding first0.220.270.480.36
Came back from behind19%27%28%20%
Leads held58%70%72%78%
Minutes leading21%23%25%22%
Minutes level47%47%48%47%
Minutes trailing32%30%27%31%
First goal (min)28264643
First goal conceded (min)35334042
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half38%38%65%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half41%41%52%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.170.350.26
Late goals against0.150.040.300.30
Style
Possession40%42%55%54%
Shots11.914.112.311.0
On target3.44.23.94.0
Shot conversion8%7%10%9%
Shots inside box54%55%58%56%
Big chances created1.61.71.71.8
Corners4.04.64.54.0
xG from set plays40%46%36%36%
Goals from headers16%12%13%9%
Pressure index6.49.112.810.5
Dominant minutes33.744.251.945.9
Pass accuracy69%69%79%79%
Fouls10.810.59.810.6
Cards1.671.302.002.09

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
5-4-11 2%1.01.01.00.811.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.62Home 36% P 36%3.2Draw 29% P 29%2.7Away 35% P 35%

Double Chance

1.44Oxford Utd or Draw 33% P 33%1.36Oxford Utd or Swansea 35% P 35%1.44Draw or Swansea 33% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 53%1.83No 50% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 45%1.66Under 57% P 55%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 32.5–35% · 702 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%36%35%-1.6
Draw29%30%32%+2.1
Away35%34%33%-0.6

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%44%43%-1.2

Adam Herczeg

Career
41 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
3.66 (3.54 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.914.05-0.2643
Fouls / match22.321.8+0.38
Fouls per card5.75.4+0.22 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4222
Time added7.97.2+0.7874
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-20 21 210 26'11
2025-12-10 20 220 79'5
2025-12-01 50 210 20'6
2025-11-26 30 200 22'10
2025-11-04 71 291 49'9
2025-10-25 · Swansea City 40 250 45'8
2025-10-18 60 190 33'12
2025-10-04 20 120 45'11
2025-09-30 70 331 36'8
2025-08-23 30 230 28'7