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Championship · Matchweek 24
Stoke CityStoke City
1–2
FT
Sheffield UnitedSHU

Momentum

– Stoke CitySHU –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
24

Venue

Stadium
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Capacity
30,089
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,206

Teams

Coaches
Mark Robins · Chris Wilder
Position
10 · 19
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-4-2

Referee

John Busby

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
4.4° (feels 1.3°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
52%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Stoke City

LLWLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 2 GA 7 · xG 3.39–6.56 · xPts 4.84

  • D H Preston North End 0–0 xG 1.02–0.61 UK CHAMP
  • L A Watford 0–1 xG 0.83–1.1 UK CHAMP
  • W H Swansea City 2–1 xG 0.63–1.1 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 0–1 xG 0.54–1.07 UK CHAMP
  • L A Sheffield United 0–4 xG 0.37–2.67 UK CHAMP

Sheffield United

WDLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 8 · xG 11.56–7.53 · xPts 9.28

  • L A Wrexham 3–5 xG 2.17–2.4 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 3–0 xG 2.41–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • L A West Bromwich Albion 0–2 xG 1.24–2.68 UK CHAMP
  • D H Norwich City 1–1 xG 3.07–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 4–0 xG 2.67–0.37 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 15 matches since 2005

Stoke City 43 draws8 Sheffield United

Goals 17–24 · 2.73 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Stoke City 31 draws6 Sheffield United

Goals 11–19 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Stoke City 10 draws4 Sheffield United

Goals 3–11 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Stoke City 2–1 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 1–2 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield United 4–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 0–2 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield United 2–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield United 3–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 3–1 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 1–0 Sheffield United neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield United 2–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 2–2 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricStoke City all · 46Stoke City at home · 23Sheffield United all · 46Sheffield United away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.431.301.26
W / D / L15 / 10 / 219 / 6 / 818 / 6 / 229 / 2 / 12
Goals for / match1.111.481.431.22
Goals against / match1.221.221.431.43
Clean sheets28%26%22%22%
Failed to score37%22%24%35%
Both teams scored44%61%56%44%
Over 2.544%56%59%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.441.641.42
xG against / match1.431.191.311.47
xG difference-0.190.260.32-0.06
Finishing vs xG-0.130.03-0.20-0.20
xPts / match1.281.551.571.34
Points vs xPts-0.08-0.12-0.26-0.08
Game state
Scored first44%52%54%52%
PPG when scoring first2.252.171.841.83
PPG when conceding first0.270.560.650.64
Came back from behind22%38%18%20%
Leads held71%69%62%64%
Minutes leading24%31%27%26%
Minutes level50%48%44%46%
Minutes trailing27%21%29%28%
First goal (min)37343935
First goal conceded (min)44474038
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%50%54%46%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%75%62%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.260.200.13
Late goals against0.350.350.260.26
Style
Possession52%53%52%47%
Shots11.212.713.411.3
On target3.84.74.33.7
Shot conversion10%12%11%11%
Shots inside box65%67%68%68%
Big chances created1.82.12.52.3
Corners6.06.46.65.7
xG from set plays28%34%35%30%
Goals from headers16%15%8%4%
Pressure index13.316.315.19.6
Dominant minutes52.757.350.541.5
Pass accuracy78%79%76%73%
Fouls10.410.610.310.8
Cards2.302.261.962.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Sheffield United

0–15'118
16–30'911
31–45'106
46–60'1619
61–75'1110
76–90'912

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Sheffield United · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)-0.365
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.392

Game state

When ahead-0.373
When level-0.127
When behind-0.355
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring-0.114

Situations

At home-0.154
Away-0.223
3 days rest or fewer-0.202
4+ days rest-0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.094
v bottom-tier opponents-0.303
As favourite-0.202
Evenly matched-0.204

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.347
Conceded when ahead+0.303
Conceded late (76+)+0.197

Congested vs rested -0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.23

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Sheffield United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 41%1.261.631.791.471.44
4-4-211 24%2.01.640.911.641.36
3-4-2-16 13%1.01.331.671.891.36
4-2-2-24 9%2.01.750.252.50.62
4-3-33 6%0.00.01.01.01.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 35%3.3Draw 28% P 28%2.55Away 37% P 37%

Double Chance

1.5Stoke or Draw 31% P 31%1.33Stoke or Sheff Utd 35% P 36%1.4Draw or Sheff Utd 33% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.91 49%1.82 51%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 55%2.0No 46% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 48%1.9Under 50% P 52%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 692 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%34%34%+0.6
Draw28%30%27%-2.5
Away37%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

John Busby

Career
130 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.82 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 113 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.874.05-0.3337
Fouls / match20.921.8-0.87
Fouls per card5.55.4-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3829
Time added7.87.2+0.6769
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-08 · Stoke City 70 180 30'14
2025-11-01 30 260 34'8
2025-10-22 51 170 29'7
2025-09-30 60 251 45'11
2025-09-20 90 240 12'14
2025-08-23 · Sheffield United 70 270 41'6
2025-08-16 20 120 27'7
2025-05-09 40 220 21'7
2025-05-03 20 250 13'12
2025-04-21 30 230 22'6