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Championship · Matchweek 24

Momentum

WrexhamPNE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
24

Venue

Stadium
Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground
Capacity
10,771
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,616

Teams

Coaches
Phil Parkinson · Paul Heckingbottom
Position
13 · 5
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Ruebyn Ricardo

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
4.3° (feels 2.0°)
Wind
2.5
Humidity
87%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Wrexham

DLDLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 10 · xG 6.78–11.0 · xPts 4.84

  • W H Sheffield United 5–3 xG 2.4–2.17 UK CHAMP
  • L A Swansea City 1–2 xG 0.38–2.44 UK CHAMP
  • D H Watford 2–2 xG 1.42–0.9 UK CHAMP
  • L A Hull City 0–2 xG 1.22–3.16 UK CHAMP
  • D A Preston North End 1–1 xG 1.36–2.33 UK CHAMP

Preston North End

DDWDD 1W 4D 0L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 5.74–6.19 · xPts 6.44

  • D A Stoke City 0–0 xG 0.61–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • D H Norwich City 1–1 xG 1.47–0.56 UK CHAMP
  • W A Oxford United 2–1 xG 0.85–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • D H Coventry City 1–1 xG 0.48–1.87 UK CHAMP
  • D H Wrexham 1–1 xG 2.33–1.36 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Wrexham 11 draws0 Preston North End

Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Wrexham 11 draws0 Preston North End

Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Wrexham 11 draws0 Preston North End

Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Wrexham 2–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWrexham all · 46Wrexham at home · 23Preston North End all · 46Preston North End away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.541.611.301.26
W / D / L19 / 14 / 1310 / 7 / 615 / 15 / 167 / 8 / 8
Goals for / match1.501.781.201.17
Goals against / match1.411.611.351.39
Clean sheets26%22%20%17%
Failed to score13%4%26%26%
Both teams scored65%74%59%61%
Over 2.550%56%48%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.541.181.14
xG against / match1.481.281.631.83
xG difference-0.260.26-0.45-0.70
Finishing vs xG0.280.240.020.04
xPts / match1.221.541.131.01
Points vs xPts0.320.070.170.25
Game state
Scored first52%56%41%44%
PPG when scoring first2.082.232.162.00
PPG when conceding first0.950.800.680.67
Came back from behind46%50%38%33%
Leads held63%62%62%54%
Minutes leading31%30%28%30%
Minutes level46%43%45%43%
Minutes trailing23%26%27%27%
First goal (min)37383632
First goal conceded (min)40374240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%49%51%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%51%50%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.480.260.22
Late goals against0.410.350.300.26
Style
Possession48%51%46%44%
Shots11.314.110.910.6
On target3.84.83.63.8
Shot conversion13%13%11%11%
Shots inside box66%68%68%66%
Big chances created2.32.81.61.6
Corners4.55.24.53.7
xG from set plays32%36%34%33%
Goals from headers29%38%22%22%
Pressure index10.113.18.88.1
Dominant minutes41.951.340.538.6
Pass accuracy78%80%72%72%
Fouls9.78.810.410.7
Cards1.591.262.092.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 45%3.25Draw 29% P 28%3.5Away 27% P 27%

Double Chance

1.33Wrexham or Draw 36% P 37%1.36Wrexham or Preston 35% P 36%1.66Draw or Preston 29% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 53%1.9No 49% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 47%1.72Under 55% P 53%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56% P 55%2.1Under 44% P 45%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%46%44%-1.8
Draw28%28%30%+1.8
Away27%26%26%+0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Ruebyn Ricardo

Career
36 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.47 (4.36 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.384.05+2.4198
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.67
Fouls per card4.55.4-1.52 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3435
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-20 81 311 28'12
2025-12-13 70 300 17'8
2025-11-26 · Wrexham 30 180 41'6
2025-11-08 40 240 34'8
2025-11-01 60 250 50'10
2025-10-18 111 211 16'12
2025-10-04 30 140 36'6
2025-10-01 40 230 74'6
2025-09-20 50 150 17'7
2025-09-13 30 180 59'8