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Championship · Matchweek 25

Momentum

BBRWrexham
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Ewood Park, Blackburn
Capacity
31,367
Surface
grass
Attendance
16,494

Teams

Coaches
Valérien Ismaël · Phil Parkinson
Position
19 · 11
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Thomas Kirk

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
5.7° (feels 0.7°)
Wind
9.1
Humidity
74%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Blackburn Rovers

DLWDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 7.38–4.45 · xPts 8.92

  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 xG 0.81–0.38 UK CHAMP
  • D A Middlesbrough 0–0 xG 1.35–0.93 UK CHAMP
  • W H Millwall 2–0 xG 1.86–0.66 UK CHAMP
  • L A Portsmouth 1–2 xG 1.09–2.15 UK CHAMP
  • D H Oxford United 1–1 xG 2.28–0.32 UK CHAMP

Wrexham

LDLWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 10 · xG 8.1–9.91 · xPts 6.21

  • W H Preston North End 2–1 xG 2.69–1.24 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 5–3 xG 2.4–2.17 UK CHAMP
  • L A Swansea City 1–2 xG 0.38–2.44 UK CHAMP
  • D H Watford 2–2 xG 1.42–0.9 UK CHAMP
  • L A Hull City 0–2 xG 1.22–3.16 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 3 matches since 2024

Blackburn Rovers 11 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 5–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Blackburn Rovers 11 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 5–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Blackburn Rovers 11 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 5–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • L Blackburn Rovers 0–2 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Wrexham 1–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 4–1 Wrexham UK FA Cup · 4th Round
MetricBlackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers at home · 23Wrexham all · 46Wrexham away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.130.911.541.48
W / D / L13 / 13 / 204 / 9 / 1019 / 14 / 139 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match0.910.831.501.22
Goals against / match1.221.171.411.22
Clean sheets26%22%26%30%
Failed to score35%30%13%22%
Both teams scored48%56%65%56%
Over 2.539%30%50%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.201.261.220.91
xG against / match1.301.151.481.68
xG difference-0.100.11-0.26-0.77
Finishing vs xG-0.28-0.430.280.31
xPts / match1.321.461.220.91
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.540.320.57
Game state
Scored first46%39%52%48%
PPG when scoring first1.761.222.081.91
PPG when conceding first0.520.670.951.10
Came back from behind26%38%46%42%
Leads held56%40%63%64%
Minutes leading21%14%31%32%
Minutes level55%61%46%49%
Minutes trailing24%24%23%20%
First goal (min)44513736
First goal conceded (min)49534043
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%58%54%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%52%55%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.350.370.26
Late goals against0.390.430.410.48
Style
Possession48%48%48%45%
Shots11.511.611.38.5
On target3.23.23.82.7
Shot conversion8%7%13%14%
Shots inside box67%69%66%64%
Big chances created2.01.72.31.7
Corners5.35.84.53.7
xG from set plays27%30%32%25%
Goals from headers27%26%29%15%
Pressure index10.110.710.17.1
Dominant minutes44.645.841.932.4
Pass accuracy74%73%78%76%
Fouls10.59.89.710.5
Cards2.172.001.591.91

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
5-3-21 2%3.01.00.01.330.18

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.0Home 47% P 48%3.4Draw 28% P 29%3.8Away 25% P 24%

Double Chance

1.33Blackburn or Draw 35% P 38%1.3Blackburn or Wrexham 36% P 36%1.66Draw or Wrexham 28% P 26%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 47%1.8No 51% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 41%1.66Under 57% P 59%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home48%49%47%-1.9
Draw29%28%29%+1.7
Away24%24%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.541%41%41%-0.4

Thomas Kirk

Career
51 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.55 (4.39 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.05+0.7074
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.12
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.98 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.3974
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-26 60 200 16'11
2025-12-13 30 180 31'10
2025-12-10 50 220 3'6
2025-12-03 17 8
2025-11-26 30 190 28'8
2025-11-08 · Blackburn Rovers 40 171 14'7
2025-10-25 50 230 35'9
2025-10-22 40 120 72'9
2025-10-05 40 240 38'7
2025-10-04 30 211 71'8