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Championship · Matchweek 25
Bristol CityBristol City
5–0
FT
PortsmouthPortsmouth

Momentum

– Bristol CityPortsmouth –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Capacity
27,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,649

Teams

Coaches
Gerhard Struber · John Mousinho
Position
8 · 21
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

James Bell

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
6.5° (feels 2.7°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
78%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Bristol City

DLWWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 6.28–9.63 · xPts 5.11

  • L A Millwall 1–2 xG 1.14–1.07 UK CHAMP
  • W A West Bromwich Albion 2–1 xG 0.97–1.46 UK CHAMP
  • W H Middlesbrough 2–0 xG 0.96–2.9 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 0–1 xG 1.65–2.7 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 2–2 xG 1.55–1.5 UK CHAMP

Portsmouth

LWDDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 4.54–5.16 · xPts 5.94

  • W H Charlton Athletic 2–1 xG 0.89–1.32 UK CHAMP
  • D H Queens Park Rangers 1–1 xG 0.54–0.7 UK CHAMP
  • D A Derby County 1–1 xG 0.34–1.09 UK CHAMP
  • W H Blackburn Rovers 2–1 xG 2.15–1.09 UK CHAMP
  • L A Swansea City 0–1 xG 0.61–0.95 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 12 matches since 2009

Bristol City 63 draws3 Portsmouth

Goals 16–11 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bristol City 62 draws2 Portsmouth

Goals 16–9 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bristol City 40 draws1 Portsmouth

Goals 11–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Bristol City 2–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 5–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 0–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 3–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 3–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 2–1 Portsmouth UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • D Portsmouth 0–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 0–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 2–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 3–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBristol City all · 46Bristol City at home · 23Portsmouth all · 46Portsmouth away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.351.351.201.09
W / D / L17 / 11 / 189 / 4 / 1014 / 13 / 196 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.281.431.071.04
Goals against / match1.281.351.391.78
Clean sheets30%35%22%17%
Failed to score33%30%28%26%
Both teams scored46%39%54%61%
Over 2.546%48%44%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.211.180.89
xG against / match1.481.491.241.37
xG difference-0.29-0.28-0.06-0.47
Finishing vs xG0.100.22-0.110.15
xPts / match1.201.211.361.11
Points vs xPts0.150.13-0.16-0.02
Game state
Scored first39%44%46%44%
PPG when scoring first2.332.202.192.10
PPG when conceding first0.670.670.300.25
Came back from behind31%29%27%23%
Leads held77%75%64%60%
Minutes leading30%33%18%14%
Minutes level41%38%51%51%
Minutes trailing29%29%31%34%
First goal (min)32285054
First goal conceded (min)30314138
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half46%52%61%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%48%55%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.350.280.22
Late goals against0.240.300.280.43
Style
Possession49%52%50%47%
Shots12.212.712.29.0
On target4.14.03.73.0
Shot conversion10%11%9%12%
Shots inside box60%59%65%63%
Big chances created1.92.01.61.3
Corners4.84.75.65.0
xG from set plays24%20%40%40%
Goals from headers21%21%16%12%
Pressure index11.914.511.78.5
Dominant minutes43.948.949.742.4
Pass accuracy78%80%74%74%
Fouls9.58.810.210.5
Cards1.831.651.932.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.403

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.024

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.20

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-3-2-11 2%3.02.01.02.461.9

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.65Home 57% P 58%3.7Draw 26% P 25%5.5Away 17% P 17%

Double Chance

1.16Bristol City or Draw 41% P 41%1.28Bristol City or Portsmouth 37% P 38%2.15Draw or Portsmouth 22% P 21%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 47%1.83No 50% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 46%1.9Under 50% P 54%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 15–17.5% · 555 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home58%59%57%-1.5
Draw25%25%28%+3.8
Away17%16%14%-2.2

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 49%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

James Bell

Career
75 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.95 (3.81 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.6 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.964.05-0.1747
Fouls / match20.421.8-1.36
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.48 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2049
Time added7.77.2+0.5667
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-26 40 200 31'9
2025-12-13 40 251 25'9
2025-12-09 30 190 80'7
2025-11-25 60 210 37'7
2025-11-05 40 260 38'9
2025-11-01 · Bristol City 30 230 7'6
2025-10-25 30 201 28'10
2025-10-18 50 210 43'7
2025-08-09 40 251 25'10
2025-05-03 20 180 48'7