KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Championship · Matchweek 25
Ipswich TownIpswich Town
2–1
FT
Oxford UnitedOXF

Momentum

– Ipswich TownOXF –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich
Capacity
29,673
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,199

Teams

Coaches
Kieran McKenna · C. Short
Position
3 · 22
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Will Finnie

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
4.8° (feels 0.4°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
76%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Ipswich Town

WLWDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 8.41–4.19 · xPts 9.38

  • W A Coventry City 2–0 xG 1.56–0.91 UK CHAMP
  • D A Millwall 0–0 xG 1.1–0.61 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 3–1 xG 3.32–0.8 UK CHAMP
  • L A Leicester City 1–3 xG 1.35–1.32 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 1–0 xG 1.07–0.54 UK CHAMP

Oxford United

DLLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 4.43–6.82 · xPts 5.3

  • L H Swansea City 0–1 xG 0.53–0.81 UK CHAMP
  • W H Southampton 2–1 xG 1.43–1.72 UK CHAMP
  • L A Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 0.79–1.16 UK CHAMP
  • L H Preston North End 1–2 xG 1.37–0.85 UK CHAMP
  • D A Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 0.32–2.28 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Ipswich Town 10 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 3–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Ipswich Town 10 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 3–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Ipswich Town 10 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 3–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Ipswich Town 2–1 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Oxford United 2–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricIpswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town at home · 23Oxford United all · 46Oxford United away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.832.171.020.78
W / D / L23 / 15 / 814 / 8 / 111 / 14 / 214 / 6 / 13
Goals for / match1.741.870.980.91
Goals against / match1.020.741.281.39
Clean sheets37%44%17%13%
Failed to score13%9%41%44%
Both teams scored56%52%52%56%
Over 2.552%56%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.071.170.99
xG against / match1.030.841.431.68
xG difference0.801.23-0.25-0.70
Finishing vs xG-0.09-0.20-0.20-0.07
xPts / match1.882.161.210.95
Points vs xPts-0.060.02-0.19-0.17
Game state
Scored first54%70%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.682.622.061.63
PPG when conceding first0.781.170.220.17
Came back from behind60%86%19%13%
Leads held79%82%58%44%
Minutes leading33%45%21%19%
Minutes level50%48%47%47%
Minutes trailing17%8%32%34%
First goal (min)40322829
First goal conceded (min)40463538
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%44%38%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%59%41%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.480.150.13
Late goals against0.130.040.150.26
Style
Possession56%56%40%38%
Shots15.116.511.99.8
On target5.15.73.42.6
Shot conversion12%11%8%9%
Shots inside box67%68%54%53%
Big chances created2.83.51.61.6
Corners5.76.24.03.4
xG from set plays32%29%40%33%
Goals from headers12%5%16%19%
Pressure index18.820.76.43.8
Dominant minutes62.366.733.723.1
Pass accuracy81%81%69%70%
Fouls11.210.310.811.0
Cards1.931.391.672.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.36Home 68% P 71%4.5Draw 21% P 19%8.5Away 11% P 10%

Double Chance

1.08Ipswich or Draw 44% P 45%1.18Ipswich or Oxford Utd 40% P 41%3.0Draw or Oxford Utd 16% P 14%

Draw No Bet

1.11 86%7.02 14%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 43%1.66No 56% P 57%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 49%1.83Under 50% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 70–72.5% · away 10–12.5% · 534 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home71%71%75%+4.2
Draw19%18%15%-2.5
Away10%11%9%-1.7

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 62%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes43%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Will Finnie

Career
41 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.68 (3.56 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
21.1 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.05-0.1049
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.96
Fouls per card5.45.4-0.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3335
Time added8.07.2+0.9078
First card
36' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-26 40 240 16'9
2025-05-03 51 221 10'5
2025-04-08 70 210 23'2
2025-02-28 20 230 52'13
2025-02-15 · Oxford United 20 200 45'17
2025-02-11 50 180 11'6
2025-02-08 30 320 51'5
2025-02-01 20 210 60'8
2025-01-18 · Oxford United 40 220 21'8
2025-01-12 –– 13– –6