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Championship · Matchweek 25
Preston North EndPNE
3–0
FT
Sheffield WednesdaySHF

Momentum

– PNESHF –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Deepdale, Preston
Capacity
23,408
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,069

Teams

Coaches
Paul Heckingbottom · Henrik Pedersen
Position
7 · 24
Formation
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Gavin Ward

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
5.8° (feels 1.1°)
Wind
8.5
Humidity
73%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Preston North End

DWDDL 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 4.65–7.51 · xPts 5.11

  • L A Wrexham 1–2 xG 1.24–2.69 UK CHAMP
  • D A Stoke City 0–0 xG 0.61–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • D H Norwich City 1–1 xG 1.47–0.56 UK CHAMP
  • W A Oxford United 2–1 xG 0.85–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • D H Coventry City 1–1 xG 0.48–1.87 UK CHAMP

Sheffield Wednesday

DLLDD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 2.9–9.75 · xPts 2.83

  • D H Blackburn Rovers 0–0 xG 0.38–0.81 UK CHAMP
  • D H Hull City 2–2 xG 0.96–1.42 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 1–3 xG 0.8–3.32 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 0–3 xG 0.12–1.47 UK CHAMP
  • D A Watford 1–1 xG 0.63–2.73 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 28 matches since 2005

Preston North End 128 draws8 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 37–32 · 2.46 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Preston North End 71 draws2 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 17–8 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Preston North End 31 draws1 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 10–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Preston North End 3–0 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 2–3 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 3–1 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 0–1 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 0–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 1–3 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPreston North End all · 46Preston North End at home · 23Sheffield Wednesday all · 46Sheffield Wednesday away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.301.350.390.35
W / D / L15 / 15 / 168 / 7 / 82 / 12 / 321 / 5 / 17
Goals for / match1.201.220.630.65
Goals against / match1.351.301.931.96
Clean sheets20%22%9%13%
Failed to score26%26%50%48%
Both teams scored59%56%48%48%
Over 2.548%48%52%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.220.880.80
xG against / match1.631.422.012.07
xG difference-0.45-0.20-1.13-1.27
Finishing vs xG0.020.00-0.25-0.15
xPts / match1.131.250.730.62
Points vs xPts0.170.10-0.34-0.28
Game state
Scored first41%39%26%17%
PPG when scoring first2.162.331.001.00
PPG when conceding first0.680.690.100.12
Came back from behind38%43%9%10%
Leads held62%73%15%20%
Minutes leading28%27%13%9%
Minutes level45%46%41%37%
Minutes trailing27%27%46%53%
First goal (min)36403840
First goal conceded (min)42433628
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%61%48%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%55%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.070.09
Late goals against0.300.350.430.43
Style
Possession46%48%45%43%
Shots10.911.38.78.0
On target3.63.42.52.5
Shot conversion11%11%7%8%
Shots inside box68%69%68%65%
Big chances created1.61.71.20.9
Corners4.55.34.33.9
xG from set plays34%35%33%29%
Goals from headers22%21%17%7%
Pressure index8.89.56.96.1
Dominant minutes40.542.332.829.2
Pass accuracy72%73%73%72%
Fouls10.410.111.811.9
Cards2.092.131.701.87

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Sheffield Wednesday

0–15'516
16–30'79
31–45'315
46–60'713
61–75'416
76–90'320

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Sheffield Wednesday

No pressure profile yet.

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86

Sheffield Wednesday

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 28%0.540.381.540.851.98
3-5-212 26%0.670.751.750.831.9
4-2-3-16 13%0.00.332.330.472.39
3-4-34 9%0.250.752.01.051.86
5-3-24 9%0.250.52.01.052.15

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.53Home 62% P 63%4.1Draw 23% P 23%6.5Away 15% P 14%

Double Chance

1.08Preston or Draw 44% P 43%1.22Preston or Sheff Wed 39% P 39%2.62Draw or Sheff Wed 18% P 19%

Draw No Bet

1.141 83%5.52 17%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 45%1.66No 56% P 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.52.2Over 42% P 45%1.61Under 58% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 12.5–15% · 544 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home63%64%63%-0.9
Draw23%22%24%+2.1
Away14%14%13%-1.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes45%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Gavin Ward

Career
292 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.58 (3.43 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 124 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.834.05-0.4029
Fouls / match20.821.8-1.02
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2445
Time added7.27.2-0.0247
First card
39' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-29 30 220 83'11
2025-12-13 31 190 57'9
2025-12-06 20 160 39'13
2025-11-25 31 210 5'5
2025-11-22 40 231 39'13
2025-11-04 –– 15– –6
2025-10-21 20 170 50'8
2025-10-04 40 261 46'7
2025-09-30 20 210 65'8
2025-09-13 80 190 34'12