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Championship · Matchweek 25

Momentum

QPRNorwich City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
MATRADE Loftus Road, London
Capacity
18,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,452

Teams

Coaches
Julien Stéphan · Philippe Clement
Position
9 · 23
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Dean Whitestone

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
5.4° (feels 1.4°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
80%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Queens Park Rangers

WLWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 6.25–6.66 · xPts 6.79

  • L A West Bromwich Albion 1–2 xG 0.18–2.13 UK CHAMP
  • D A Portsmouth 1–1 xG 0.7–0.54 UK CHAMP
  • W H Leicester City 4–1 xG 2.32–1.3 UK CHAMP
  • L A Middlesbrough 1–3 xG 1.33–2.24 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 2–1 xG 1.71–0.45 UK CHAMP

Norwich City

DWDWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 6.59–7.17 · xPts 6.83

  • L H Watford 0–1 xG 0.9–0.5 UK CHAMP
  • W H Charlton Athletic 1–0 xG 1.81–0.36 UK CHAMP
  • D A Preston North End 1–1 xG 0.56–1.47 UK CHAMP
  • W H Southampton 2–1 xG 1.97–1.76 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield United 1–1 xG 1.35–3.07 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 30 matches since 2005

Queens Park Rangers 69 draws15 Norwich City

Goals 30–44 · 2.47 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Queens Park Rangers 15 draws4 Norwich City

Goals 11–14 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Queens Park Rangers 12 draws2 Norwich City

Goals 8–8 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 3–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 1–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 3–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 2–2 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 1–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 1–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 0–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 1–3 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 1–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricQueens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers at home · 23Norwich City all · 46Norwich City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.261.431.411.52
W / D / L16 / 10 / 2010 / 3 / 1019 / 8 / 1910 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.331.741.371.57
Goals against / match1.591.611.221.22
Clean sheets22%17%20%22%
Failed to score28%17%20%13%
Both teams scored63%74%61%65%
Over 2.563%78%48%52%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.301.631.351.30
xG against / match1.331.211.461.64
xG difference-0.030.42-0.10-0.35
Finishing vs xG0.020.110.020.27
xPts / match1.371.681.351.23
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.240.060.29
Game state
Scored first33%48%52%56%
PPG when scoring first2.472.272.082.08
PPG when conceding first0.600.600.680.80
Came back from behind26%17%27%33%
Leads held84%77%68%67%
Minutes leading20%30%28%32%
Minutes level46%45%48%42%
Minutes trailing34%26%24%26%
First goal (min)45414236
First goal conceded (min)34434641
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%57%56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%68%59%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.520.260.30
Late goals against0.260.480.300.30
Style
Possession46%47%54%52%
Shots12.714.312.611.5
On target4.15.04.54.4
Shot conversion10%12%11%14%
Shots inside box63%63%64%66%
Big chances created1.82.42.32.1
Corners4.85.45.35.0
xG from set plays31%28%25%23%
Goals from headers17%15%10%11%
Pressure index11.715.412.510.8
Dominant minutes46.754.453.247.7
Pass accuracy76%75%79%78%
Fouls11.011.110.210.4
Cards1.912.131.932.30

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.072
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 48% P 47%3.6Draw 26% P 26%3.6Away 26% P 27%

Double Chance

1.28QPR or Draw 37% P 36%1.28QPR or Norwich 37% P 37%1.8Draw or Norwich 26% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 57%2.1No 44% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 46%1.72Under 54% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home47%46%44%-1.8
Draw26%28%30%+1.8
Away27%26%26%+0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Dean Whitestone

Career
255 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
2.93 (2.83 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
20.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 108 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.334.05-1.318
Fouls / match20.921.8-0.83
Fouls per card6.35.4+1.16 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.4878
Time added7.37.2+0.1053
First card
42' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-09 20 181 11'9
2025-12-05 10 281 58'6
2025-11-22 50 260 37'5
2025-11-08 · Norwich City 20 270 9'12
2025-11-04 30 180 37'17
2025-10-25 51 181 44'9
2025-09-27 30 270 23'8
2025-09-13 30 260 58'9
2025-08-23 30 270 54'11
2025-08-09 30 250 41'15