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Championship · Matchweek 25
Swansea CitySwansea City
1–0
FT
West Bromwich AlbionWBA

Momentum

– Swansea CityWBA –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Capacity
20,827
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,416

Teams

Coaches
Vítor Matos · Ryan Mason
Position
18 · 16
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

James Linington

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
6.0° (feels 4.3°)
Wind
2.2
Humidity
78%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Swansea City

WLWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 6.73–3.41 · xPts 9.01

  • W A Oxford United 1–0 xG 0.81–0.53 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 0–1 xG 1.43–1.26 UK CHAMP
  • W H Wrexham 2–1 xG 2.44–0.38 UK CHAMP
  • L A Stoke City 1–2 xG 1.1–0.63 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 1–0 xG 0.95–0.61 UK CHAMP

West Bromwich Albion

LWLLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 9.36–4.65 · xPts 9.86

  • W H Queens Park Rangers 2–1 xG 2.13–0.18 UK CHAMP
  • L H Bristol City 1–2 xG 1.46–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • L A Hull City 0–1 xG 1.13–1.47 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 2–0 xG 2.68–1.24 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 2–3 xG 1.97–0.79 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 31 matches since 2009

Swansea City 155 draws11 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 44–41 · 2.74 per match · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 55%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Swansea City 52 draws3 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 17–14 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Swansea City 12 draws2 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Swansea City 2–2 West Bromwich Albion pens None–None UK FA Cup · Round 3
  • W Swansea City 1–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 3–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 1–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 1–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 1–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 3–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 3–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 2–3 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 0–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSwansea City all · 46Swansea City at home · 23West Bromwich Albion all · 46West Bromwich Albion away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.391.701.150.83
W / D / L18 / 10 / 1811 / 6 / 613 / 14 / 195 / 4 / 14
Goals for / match1.241.481.040.87
Goals against / match1.281.171.261.43
Clean sheets26%30%30%26%
Failed to score22%9%33%35%
Both teams scored54%61%50%48%
Over 2.550%52%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.351.441.21
xG against / match1.371.371.051.32
xG difference-0.15-0.020.39-0.11
Finishing vs xG0.020.13-0.40-0.34
xPts / match1.281.361.621.29
Points vs xPts0.120.34-0.47-0.47
Game state
Scored first48%61%41%30%
PPG when scoring first2.362.362.052.14
PPG when conceding first0.480.670.380.14
Came back from behind28%40%17%12%
Leads held72%69%62%71%
Minutes leading25%28%25%18%
Minutes level48%48%50%49%
Minutes trailing27%23%25%33%
First goal (min)46494246
First goal conceded (min)40374541
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half65%65%52%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%53%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.430.260.35
Late goals against0.300.300.260.22
Style
Possession55%56%52%50%
Shots12.313.613.411.7
On target3.93.84.13.5
Shot conversion10%11%8%7%
Shots inside box58%60%65%67%
Big chances created1.71.72.11.9
Corners4.55.15.24.2
xG from set plays36%36%36%30%
Goals from headers13%16%26%30%
Pressure index12.815.213.410.4
Dominant minutes51.958.052.948.6
Pass accuracy79%80%80%79%
Fouls9.89.110.210.4
Cards2.001.911.832.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'66
16–30'89
31–45'912
46–60'511
61–75'88
76–90'1212

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.22

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
5-4-11 2%1.01.01.00.811.43

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.251.171.291.480.98
4-4-217 37%1.291.00.821.521.08
3-4-2-13 6%0.00.03.00.861.62
5-4-12 4%0.51.52.01.180.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.25Home 29% P 30%3.1Draw 30% P 30%2.3Away 41% P 41%

Double Chance

1.44Swansea or Draw 32% P 30%1.36Swansea or West Brom 34% P 35%1.4Draw or West Brom 33% P 35%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 48%1.8No 51% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 40%1.61Under 59% P 60%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 40–42.5% · 469 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home30%29%31%+2.1
Draw30%30%25%-4.9
Away41%41%44%+2.7

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.540%39%39%+0.7

James Linington

Career
298 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.82 (3.69 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 103 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.324.05+0.4869
Fouls / match22.021.8+0.11
Fouls per card5.15.4-0.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.17+0.6382
Time added7.27.2-0.0245
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-26 30 230 62'7
2025-12-13 30 190 43'6
2025-12-10 50 251 9'7
2025-11-29 20 220 22'9
2025-11-22 10 170 90'5
2025-11-04 50 190 11'6
2025-10-25 30 150 30'7
2025-10-21 30 200 15'8
2025-10-04 20 150 38'6
2025-05-03 60 160 22'7