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Championship · Matchweek 26
Bristol CityBristol City
0–2
FT
Preston North EndPNE

Momentum

– Bristol CityPNE –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
26

Venue

Stadium
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Capacity
27,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,409

Teams

Coaches
Gerhard Struber · Paul Heckingbottom
Position
8 · 6
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Paul Tierney

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
3.6° (feels -0.2°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
79%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Bristol City

LWWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 4 · xG 6.4–8.47 · xPts 6.05

  • W H Portsmouth 5–0 xG 1.67–0.34 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 1–2 xG 1.14–1.07 UK CHAMP
  • W A West Bromwich Albion 2–1 xG 0.97–1.46 UK CHAMP
  • W H Middlesbrough 2–0 xG 0.96–2.9 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 0–1 xG 1.65–2.7 UK CHAMP

Preston North End

WDDLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 5.73–5.86 · xPts 7.04

  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 xG 1.56–0.22 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 1–2 xG 1.24–2.69 UK CHAMP
  • D A Stoke City 0–0 xG 0.61–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • D H Norwich City 1–1 xG 1.47–0.56 UK CHAMP
  • W A Oxford United 2–1 xG 0.85–1.37 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 31 matches since 2007

Bristol City 813 draws10 Preston North End

Goals 42–42 · 2.71 per match · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 52%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bristol City 44 draws2 Preston North End

Goals 15–13 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bristol City 22 draws1 Preston North End

Goals 8–6 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Preston North End 1–3 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 0–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 0–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 2–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 1–3 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 2–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 1–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 1–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 2–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 2–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBristol City all · 46Bristol City at home · 23Preston North End all · 46Preston North End away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.351.351.301.26
W / D / L17 / 11 / 189 / 4 / 1015 / 15 / 167 / 8 / 8
Goals for / match1.281.431.201.17
Goals against / match1.281.351.351.39
Clean sheets30%35%20%17%
Failed to score33%30%26%26%
Both teams scored46%39%59%61%
Over 2.546%48%48%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.211.181.14
xG against / match1.481.491.631.83
xG difference-0.29-0.28-0.45-0.70
Finishing vs xG0.100.220.020.04
xPts / match1.201.211.131.01
Points vs xPts0.150.130.170.25
Game state
Scored first39%44%41%44%
PPG when scoring first2.332.202.162.00
PPG when conceding first0.670.670.680.67
Came back from behind31%29%38%33%
Leads held77%75%62%54%
Minutes leading30%33%28%30%
Minutes level41%38%45%43%
Minutes trailing29%29%27%27%
First goal (min)32283632
First goal conceded (min)30314240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half46%52%51%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%48%50%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.350.260.22
Late goals against0.240.300.300.26
Style
Possession49%52%46%44%
Shots12.212.710.910.6
On target4.14.03.63.8
Shot conversion10%11%11%11%
Shots inside box60%59%68%66%
Big chances created1.92.01.61.6
Corners4.84.74.53.7
xG from set plays24%20%34%33%
Goals from headers21%21%22%22%
Pressure index11.914.58.88.1
Dominant minutes43.948.940.538.6
Pass accuracy78%80%72%72%
Fouls9.58.810.410.7
Cards1.831.652.092.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-3-2-11 2%3.02.01.02.461.9

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.8Home 52% P 53%3.6Draw 26% P 26%4.33Away 22% P 22%

Double Chance

1.25Bristol City or Draw 38% P 39%1.28Bristol City or Preston 37% P 37%1.83Draw or Preston 26% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 50%1.83No 50% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%
3.52.0Over 46% P 46%1.72Under 54% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home53%54%56%+2.6
Draw26%25%27%+1.4
Away22%21%17%-4.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Paul Tierney

Career
356 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.43 (3.32 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
19.7 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 8 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.75 cards, 23.3 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-29 50 270 59'6
2025-12-20 20 260 28'7
2025-12-06 70 230 15'6
2025-11-21 · Preston North End 10 140 90'8
2025-11-07 · Bristol City 30 190 28'8
2025-10-25 –– 22– –8