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Championship · Matchweek 26
Derby CountyDerby County
1–2
FT
WrexhamWrexham

Momentum

– Derby CountyWrexham –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
26

Venue

Stadium
Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Capacity
33,597
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,939

Teams

Coaches
John Eustace · Phil Parkinson
Position
12 · 11
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-2-4-1

Referee

Matthew Corlett

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
1.4° (feels -3.5°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Derby County

WDDLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 4.55–6.22 · xPts 6.48

  • W H Middlesbrough 1–0 xG 0.55–1.22 UK CHAMP
  • L A Leicester City 1–2 xG 0.69–1.04 UK CHAMP
  • D A Birmingham City 1–1 xG 0.74–3.49 UK CHAMP
  • D H Portsmouth 1–1 xG 1.09–0.34 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 xG 1.47–0.12 UK CHAMP

Wrexham

DLWWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 8 · xG 7.68–7.67 · xPts 6.96

  • W A Blackburn Rovers 2–0 xG 0.79–0.92 UK CHAMP
  • W H Preston North End 2–1 xG 2.69–1.24 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 5–3 xG 2.4–2.17 UK CHAMP
  • L A Swansea City 1–2 xG 0.38–2.44 UK CHAMP
  • D H Watford 2–2 xG 1.42–0.9 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 3 matches since 2007

Derby County 11 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 5–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Derby County 11 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 5–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Derby County 11 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 5–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%

Recent meetings

  • L Derby County 1–2 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Wrexham 1–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Derby County 3–1 Wrexham UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
MetricDerby County all · 46Derby County at home · 23Wrexham all · 46Wrexham away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.501.571.541.48
W / D / L20 / 9 / 1710 / 6 / 719 / 14 / 139 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.461.351.501.22
Goals against / match1.281.171.411.22
Clean sheets26%30%26%30%
Failed to score9%4%13%22%
Both teams scored65%65%65%56%
Over 2.552%39%50%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.231.271.220.91
xG against / match1.321.111.481.68
xG difference-0.090.16-0.26-0.77
Finishing vs xG0.230.070.280.31
xPts / match1.331.471.220.91
Points vs xPts0.170.090.320.57
Game state
Scored first54%52%52%48%
PPG when scoring first2.242.332.081.91
PPG when conceding first0.620.730.951.10
Came back from behind35%46%46%42%
Leads held69%71%63%64%
Minutes leading30%29%31%32%
Minutes level46%46%46%49%
Minutes trailing24%25%23%20%
First goal (min)40453736
First goal conceded (min)40364043
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%55%54%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%48%55%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.260.370.26
Late goals against0.300.260.410.48
Style
Possession44%48%48%45%
Shots11.011.911.38.5
On target3.63.73.82.7
Shot conversion13%11%13%14%
Shots inside box70%65%66%64%
Big chances created2.22.32.31.7
Corners4.55.54.53.7
xG from set plays39%44%32%25%
Goals from headers28%32%29%15%
Pressure index10.111.610.17.1
Dominant minutes39.945.741.932.4
Pass accuracy73%77%78%76%
Fouls12.311.99.710.5
Cards2.632.301.591.91

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Derby County

0–15'811
16–30'95
31–45'159
46–60'135
61–75'1015
76–90'1214

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Derby County · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.297
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315

Game state

When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254

Situations

At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207

Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Derby County

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.621.461.131.481.25
3-4-2-111 24%1.821.551.180.921.35
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.41.61.031.95
4-4-24 9%0.251.02.250.831.09
3-5-21 2%0.01.02.00.841.63

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 43%3.2Draw 29% P 30%3.4Away 28% P 27%

Double Chance

1.3Derby or Draw 37% P 37%1.36Derby or Wrexham 35% P 35%1.66Draw or Wrexham 29% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46% P 47%1.72No 54% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.37Over 40% P 39%1.57Under 60% P 61%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%44%-0.2
Draw30%30%28%-1.4
Away27%26%28%+1.6

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.539%39%39%+0.7

Matthew Corlett

Career
11 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.0 (2.82 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.18
Cards to home side
39%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 4 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 2.5 cards, 19.5 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-29 10 140 66'9
2025-11-03 20 220 56'10