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Championship · Matchweek 26
MiddlesbroughMID
4–0
FT
SouthamptonSouthampton

Momentum

– MIDSouthampton –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
26

Venue

Stadium
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Capacity
34,988
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,077

Teams

Coaches
Kim Hellberg · Tonda Eckert
Position
3 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Oliver Langford

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
0.1° (feels -4.5°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
75%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Middlesbrough

WLDLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 9.02–4.72 · xPts 9.55

  • L A Derby County 0–1 xG 1.22–0.55 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 0–1 xG 1.73–0.52 UK CHAMP
  • D H Blackburn Rovers 0–0 xG 0.93–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • L A Bristol City 0–2 xG 2.9–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • W H Queens Park Rangers 3–1 xG 2.24–1.33 UK CHAMP

Southampton

LDLDD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 7.73–7.14 · xPts 7.32

  • D H Millwall 0–0 xG 1.06–1.4 UK CHAMP
  • D A Birmingham City 1–1 xG 1.53–1.61 UK CHAMP
  • L A Oxford United 1–2 xG 1.72–1.43 UK CHAMP
  • D H Coventry City 1–1 xG 1.66–0.73 UK CHAMP
  • L A Norwich City 1–2 xG 1.76–1.97 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 20 matches since 2000

Middlesbrough 67 draws7 Southampton

Goals 26–26 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Middlesbrough 33 draws4 Southampton

Goals 12–12 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Middlesbrough 13 draws1 Southampton

Goals 7–4 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Southampton 2–1 Middlesbrough aet UK CHAMP · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals · leg 2/2
  • D Middlesbrough 0–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals · leg 1/2
  • W Middlesbrough 4–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 1–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 1–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 2–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 1–2 Southampton neutral UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 1–0 Middlesbrough UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 2–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 3–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMiddlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough at home · 24Southampton all · 48Southampton away · 24
Results
Matches49244824
Points per game1.651.791.751.54
W / D / L22 / 15 / 1212 / 7 / 523 / 15 / 1010 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.491.421.751.83
Goals against / match1.020.751.191.54
Clean sheets29%42%25%8%
Failed to score26%29%12%8%
Both teams scored55%46%71%88%
Over 2.553%42%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.591.621.711.64
xG against / match1.050.951.331.57
xG difference0.530.670.380.06
Finishing vs xG-0.10-0.210.040.20
xPts / match1.701.801.591.41
Points vs xPts-0.04-0.010.160.13
Game state
Scored first53%54%52%54%
PPG when scoring first2.462.622.241.85
PPG when conceding first0.670.711.261.20
Came back from behind46%38%54%46%
Leads held79%86%72%62%
Minutes leading32%33%34%31%
Minutes level49%52%49%49%
Minutes trailing19%15%18%20%
First goal (min)37384040
First goal conceded (min)46474446
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%53%55%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%61%61%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.170.380.50
Late goals against0.290.290.270.38
Style
Possession59%60%56%54%
Shots16.217.314.413.1
On target4.85.25.35.1
Shot conversion9%8%12%14%
Shots inside box64%63%68%71%
Big chances created2.42.32.92.8
Corners6.87.85.85.0
xG from set plays24%30%28%32%
Goals from headers12%15%22%19%
Pressure index19.721.017.914.7
Dominant minutes63.163.159.054.2
Pass accuracy84%84%83%82%
Fouls9.39.210.711.5
Cards1.611.081.882.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.61 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.60

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
3-4-1-23 6%1.01.672.670.881.17

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86
5-4-12 4%2.01.50.02.420.33

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 42%3.75Draw 25% P 26%3.0Away 32% P 32%

Double Chance

1.36Middlesbrough or Draw 34% P 34%1.25Middlesbrough or Southampton 37% P 37%1.66Draw or Southampton 28% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 61%2.2No 42% P 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42% P 39%1.61Under 58% P 61%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%41%41%-0.1
Draw26%28%26%-1.9
Away32%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes61%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Oliver Langford

Career
353 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.37 (3.23 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
20.9 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 119 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.824.05-0.4229
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.91
Fouls per card5.55.4-0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3731
Time added7.47.2+0.2157
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-29 50 230 57'4
2025-12-19 40 180 18'8
2025-12-09 · Middlesbrough 50 230 31'7
2025-12-02 40 230 10'6
2025-11-29 20 221 34'9
2025-10-04 · Southampton 60 200 15'7
2025-09-27 60 230 12'8
2025-09-20 30 190 55'5
2025-08-16 30 271 30'14
2025-08-09 30 160 71'8