KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Championship · Matchweek 26
MillwallMillwall
2–1
FT
Swansea CitySwansea City

Momentum

– MillwallSwansea City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
26

Venue

Stadium
The Den, London
Capacity
20,146
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,242

Teams

Coaches
Alex Neil · Vítor Matos
Position
7 · 17
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

John Busby

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
2.1° (feels -1.0°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
72%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Millwall

LLDWD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 6 · xG 4.33–7.08 · xPts 4.95

  • D A Southampton 0–0 xG 1.4–1.06 UK CHAMP
  • W H Bristol City 2–1 xG 1.07–1.14 UK CHAMP
  • D H Ipswich Town 0–0 xG 0.61–1.1 UK CHAMP
  • L A Blackburn Rovers 0–2 xG 0.66–1.86 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 1–3 xG 0.58–1.92 UK CHAMP

Swansea City

LWLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 6.7–4.4 · xPts 8.29

  • W H West Bromwich Albion 1–0 xG 0.92–1.6 UK CHAMP
  • W A Oxford United 1–0 xG 0.81–0.53 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 0–1 xG 1.43–1.26 UK CHAMP
  • W H Wrexham 2–1 xG 2.44–0.38 UK CHAMP
  • L A Stoke City 1–2 xG 1.1–0.63 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 18 matches since 2010

Millwall 65 draws7 Swansea City

Goals 15–21 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 39%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Millwall 53 draws2 Swansea City

Goals 10–9 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Millwall 41 draws0 Swansea City

Goals 6–2 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Millwall 2–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 1–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 1–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 0–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 0–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 0–3 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 2–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 2–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 0–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 0–0 Millwall neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMillwall all · 48Millwall at home · 24Swansea City all · 46Swansea City away · 23
Results
Matches48244623
Points per game1.751.751.391.09
W / D / L24 / 12 / 1213 / 3 / 818 / 10 / 187 / 4 / 12
Goals for / match1.331.381.241.00
Goals against / match1.061.131.281.39
Clean sheets40%46%26%22%
Failed to score21%21%22%35%
Both teams scored48%38%54%48%
Over 2.546%50%50%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.501.631.221.10
xG against / match1.331.151.371.37
xG difference0.180.49-0.15-0.27
Finishing vs xG-0.17-0.260.02-0.10
xPts / match1.471.631.281.19
Points vs xPts0.280.120.12-0.11
Game state
Scored first52%58%48%35%
PPG when scoring first2.602.572.362.38
PPG when conceding first0.790.560.480.36
Came back from behind43%27%28%20%
Leads held86%87%72%78%
Minutes leading27%34%25%22%
Minutes level56%50%48%47%
Minutes trailing17%16%27%31%
First goal (min)44374643
First goal conceded (min)43444042
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%52%65%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%82%52%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.330.350.26
Late goals against0.350.460.300.30
Style
Possession48%50%55%54%
Shots12.913.512.311.0
On target4.24.63.94.0
Shot conversion10%10%10%9%
Shots inside box68%71%58%56%
Big chances created2.32.41.71.8
Corners5.76.24.54.0
xG from set plays33%36%36%36%
Goals from headers16%19%13%9%
Pressure index11.914.812.810.5
Dominant minutes44.449.751.945.9
Pass accuracy70%72%79%79%
Fouls12.610.99.810.6
Cards1.901.382.002.09

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-4-21 2%0.01.03.01.932.01

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 44%3.1Draw 30% P 30%3.7Away 25% P 25%

Double Chance

1.28Millwall or Draw 37% P 37%1.36Millwall or Swansea 35% P 35%1.7Draw or Swansea 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46% P 47%1.72No 54% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.37Over 40% P 40%1.57Under 60% P 60%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44% P 38%1.66Under 56% P 62%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%44%-0.2
Draw30%30%28%-1.4
Away25%26%28%+1.6

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.540%39%39%+0.7

John Busby

Career
130 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.82 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 113 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.874.05-0.3335
Fouls / match20.921.8-0.89
Fouls per card5.55.4-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4029
Time added7.87.2+0.6871
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-29 11 130 76'10
2025-11-08 70 180 30'14
2025-11-01 30 260 34'8
2025-10-22 · Swansea City 51 170 29'7
2025-09-30 60 251 45'11
2025-09-20 · Swansea City 90 240 12'14
2025-08-23 · Millwall 70 270 41'6
2025-08-16 20 120 27'7
2025-05-09 40 220 21'7
2025-05-03 20 250 13'12